[Vision2020] "Future of humanity will be profoundly affected... Don’t make a choice that your children will regret”

Ted Moffett starbliss at gmail.com
Mon Nov 7 20:48:48 PST 2016


http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2016/11/dont-make-a-choice-that-your-children-will-regret/#comments
Don’t make a choice that your children will regret
<http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2016/11/dont-make-a-choice-that-your-children-will-regret/>
Filed under:

   - Climate Science
   <http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/category/climate-science/>
   - Communicating Climate
   <http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/category/communicating-climate/>

— group @ 4 November 2016

Dear US voters,

the world is holding its breath. The stakes are high in the upcoming US
elections. At stake is a million times more than which email server one
candidate used, or how another treated women. The future of humanity will
be profoundly affected by your choice, for many generations to come.

The coming four years is the last term during which a US government still
has the chance, jointly with the rest of the world, to do what is needed to
stop global warming well below 2°C and closer to 1.5°C, as was unanimously
decided by 195 nations in the Paris Agreement last December. The total
amount of carbon dioxide the world can still emit in order to have at least
a 50% chance to stop warming at 1.5 °C will, at the current rate of
emissions, be all used up in under ten years
<https://www.carbonbrief.org/analysis-only-five-years-left-before-one-point-five-c-budget-is-blown>!
This time can only be stretched out by making emissions fall rapidly.

Even 2°C of global warming is very likely to spell the end of most coral
reefs <http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v3/n2/full/nclimate1674.html> on
Earth. 2°C would mean a largely ice-free Arctic ocean
<http://science.sciencemag.org/content/early/2016/11/02/science.aag2345> in
summer, right up to the North Pole. Even 2°C of warming is likely to
destabilize continental ice sheets and commit the world to many meters of
sea-level rise
<http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v6/n4/full/nclimate2923.html>,
lasting for millennia. Further global warming will likely lead to increasing
extreme weather
<http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v2/n7/full/nclimate1452.html>,
droughts
<http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v3/n1/full/nclimate1633.html>,
harvest failures, and the risk of armed conflict
<http://www.pnas.org/content/113/33/9216.abstract> and mass migration.

In case you have any doubts about the science: in the scientific community
there is a long-standing consensus
<http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/4/048002> that
humans are causing dangerous global warming, reflected in the clear statements
of many scientific academies and societies
<http://climate.nasa.gov/scientific-consensus/> from around the world. None
of the 195 governments that signed the Paris Agreement saw any reasons for
doubting the underlying scientific facts; doubts about the science that you
see in some media are largely manufactured
<https://www.theguardian.com/environment/planet-oz/2015/mar/05/doubt-over-climate-science-is-a-product-with-an-industry-behind-it>
by interest groups trying to fool you.

You have a fateful choice to make. The policies of candidates and parties
on climate change could hardly be more different. Hillary Clinton would
continue to work with the international community to tackle the global
warming crisis and help the transition to modern clean and renewable
energies. Donald Trump denies that the problem even exists
<http://www.huffingtonpost.com/michael-e-mann/yes-donald-trump-is-a-thr_b_12299874.html>
and has promised to go back to coal and to undo the Paris Agreement,
which comes
into force today, the 4th of November 2016
<https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2016/nov/04/paris-climate-change-agreement-enters-into-force>,
as culmination of over twenty years of negotiations.

Please consider this carefully. This is not an election about
personalities, it is about policies that will determine our future for a
long time to come. While the presidential race has gotten the most
attention, voters should consider climate not just at the ‘top of the
ticket’, but all the way down the ballot. Don’t make a choice that you,
your children and your children’s children will regret forever.

*David Archer, Rasmus Benestad, Ray Bradley, Michael Mann, Ray
Pierrehumbert, Stefan Rahmstorf and Eric Steig*

*---------------------------------------*

*Vision2020 Post: Ted Moffett*
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