[Vision2020] Nov. 2011 Monthly Precipitation Moscow Id. Far Below Avg. of 3.61 in. At 1.61 in.

[Paul Rumelhart]

I find it strange that we haven't been deluged by snow so far (knock on 
wood!).  I would have sworn a few months ago that we would be knee-deep 
in the stuff by now.  It's a good example of the complexity of the 
climate, when relatively simple rules of thumb like "usually indicates 
above average precipitation for the US Northwest winter" don't always 
seem to hold.  One of the reasons I feel there is room for honest 
skepticism of the models and expected results of anthropogenic climate 
change.  In what is (I think) a well-intentioned effort to closely 
examine the "CO2 drives climate" hypothesis, climate scientists have 
minimized the impacts of natural variation in what is a very complicated 
system.

Besides, winter ain't over yet.

Paul

On 12/14/2011 03:28 PM, Ted Moffett wrote:
> Despite La Nina, which usually indicates above average precipitation 
> for the US Northwest winter 
> ( http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ensodisc.pdf 
> <http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ensodisc.pdf> ), 
> so far Nov. and Dec. 2011 have seen well below average precipitation 
> in Moscow, Idaho.
> November 2011 Moscow, Idaho monthly precipitation was 1.61 in., 
> compared to an average of 3.61 in., according to Weather.com; and 
> December through today the 14th has seen 0 in. as in none!
> From Weather.com: http://www.weather.com/weather/monthly/83843?role= 
> http://www.weather.com/weather/monthly/83843?month=-1
> I recall seeing an ad recently in the "Inlander" magazine for an 
> Inland Empire ski resort, boldly declaring "La Nina" as evidence they 
> were going to have a great ski season, i. e. lots of snow.
> There's still time...
> ------------------------------------------
> Vision2020 Post: Ted Moffett
>
>
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