[Vision2020] NSIDC: 2010 Arctic Sea Ice Decline Highest for Month of May During Satellite Record.

[Ted Moffett]

*Please refrain from distorting my carefully worded statements.  You are
misrepresenting what I wrote.*

I will quote from my first post on the record Arctic sea ice decline for the
month of May, in 2010:

"...*they may need* to construct more powerful confirmation bias
filters,* if 2010 trends continue as they have.*  We are on course in 2010
to
set a new warmest annual average global temperature year, and Arctic sea ice
also is on track to tie or exceed the previous record low of 2007.

Of course, these trends *could change substantially."*
------------
This quote does not indicate that I think the trend for the 2010 Arctic sea
ice to be the lowest surface area coverage on record, to be "set in stone,"
as you wrote (I state that the trends "could change substantially").

I was only pointing out that if the 2010 trends so far, both for average
global temperature, and Arctic sea ice area decline, *continue,* it will be
evidence against the claims of some anthropogenic climate change skeptics,
who have insisted global warming is not progressing in the global
temperature record since the record high years 1998 and/or 2005, and that
the Arctic ice has "recovered" from the 2007 record low.

But one way or the other, the confirmation bias prevalent among many of the
anthropogenic climate change skeptics will result in them dismissing a
record warm average global temperature for 2010, or record low Arctic sea
ice extent 2010, as not very important.  Greenland could slip into the
ocean, and Manhattan rendered a loss due to flooding, and many of the
anthropogenic climate change skeptics would insist these were natural
climate change events.

They employ their confirmation bias to dismiss the overwhelming evidence
from the numerous studies of climate sensitivity (increase in global average
temperature from a doubling of atmospheric CO2), one of the most important
questions in climate science, that have been conducted since Arrhenius in
1896, that demonstrate climate sensitivity to be significant; and that the
radiative physics/mathematics regarding CO2's operation in the Earth's
atmosphere is well established science, demonstrating that human sourced CO2
emissions are significantly warming the Earth's climate:

http://bartonpaullevenson.com/ClimateSensitivity.html

http://www.aip.org/history/climate/Radmath.htm

-------------------------------------------
Vision2020 Post: Ted Moffett


On Sun, Jun 20, 2010 at 9:31 AM, Paul Rumelhart <godshatter at yahoo.com>wrote:

>   My main reason for responding to Ted was based on his comment that
> skeptics will have to beef up their confirmation bias filters to not believe
> that sea ice will fall below 2007 levels.  I wanted to point out that those
> kinds of conclusions are not as set in stone as he thinks.
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