[Vision2020] El Nino Dry Northwest Winter Predictions Holding True

[Glenn Schwaller]

I'm curious about a couple of things.  I've heard several comments
that the "magic number" is 2 degrees - the ceiling at which we want to
keep the "average" global temperature from rising.  Assuming for a
moment we can know what an average global temperature is at any point
in time, and what the "majic number" is, does anyone have the
slightest idea what the concentrations of carbon dioxide, methane,
water vapor and any other components (some yet undiscovered?!?!?) of
greenhouse gases needs to be to raise or maintain an average
temperature?  Is the ratio of these components critical?  What happens
if we are so hugely successful in reducing emissions that the pendulum
swings the other way?  How can we control that?  I'm all for emission
reduction and waste management just on common sense grounds, but to
set an artificial target and think we can hit it much less maintain
it?  Seriously??

GS

On Thu, Jan 7, 2010 at 10:29 AM, Ted Moffett <starbliss at gmail.com> wrote:
> According to Weather.com, Moscow Idaho's average and 2009 actual
> precipitation amounts for Nov. and Dec. are:
>
> Nov. average 3.54 in.: Actual 1 in.
> Dec. average 3.14 in. Actual .81 in.
>
> Nov./Dec. 2009 only had 27% of average precipitation in Moscow.
>
> Vision2020 post about El Nino arrival from summer 2009, with predictions for
> a drier less snowy winter 2009-10 in the Northwest:
>
> http://mailman.fsr.com/pipermail/vision2020/2009-July/064999.html
> ------------------------------------------
> Vision2020 Post: Ted Moffett
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