[Vision2020] City Council Election Predictions

[Tom Ivie]

Donovan,
  I can definitely tell you that 3 people will win the 4 yr seat and 1 will win the 2 yr seat.  You recommend who to vote for...can you tell us why to vote for them?  Do you already know their platforms?  I don't mean to be flippant, just confused by a couple of your statements.  If you say there are "shoe ins", why would you recommend someone else? What do you mean by "zero sum between Lamar and Pall"? That the difference in number of votes will be negligable?  Can you explain what makes Krauss a moderate? (I don't know him or his politics)

Donovan Arnold <donovanjarnold2005 at yahoo.com> wrote:
    This election looks interesting. Here is my predictions for the outcome (assuming all the candidates remain the same on election day). What are your predictions?
   
  4 Year Seat;
   
  Wayne Krauss
  Aaron Ament
  Tom Lamar or David A. Uberuaga
   
  2 Year Seat
   
  Walter Steed
   
  Commentary:
   
  Krauss and Ament are shoe ins 
   
  I think most moderate and conservatives will cast one vote for Krauss, and most liberals one vote for Ament. They are in. the question is, "Who takes the last seat?" 
   
   
   
  Tough Reelection for Pall and Lamar
   
  Interesting election this go around. I think Linda Pall and Lamar are in for a run for their seats. Anything can happen in this election. But I think Pall is in serious trouble for reelection. She must defeat Tom Lamar, David Uberuaga, and Dan Carscallen in order to capture the third four year seat. I could be wrong, but I don't think she can pull that off. Lamar is new, and has to win a seat with two other incumbents and a popular moderate, Wayne Krauss. I think he can beat Pall, but not Ament and Krauss. It could very well be a zero sum election between Lamar and Pall. 
   
   
  Riding the Coattails of Krauss: Best chance for Uberuaga and Carscallen
   
  I think the best chance for Uberuaga and Carscallen would be to ride the coattails of Krauss. His popularity, and a semi linked fiscal conservative pro-business agenda between the three could land two of the three (Krauss, Uberuaga, Carscallen) in the Council. 
   
  Walter Steed most likely to win 2 year seat:
   
  I think Walter Steed is a solid candidate, with good name recognition. I believe that the weakened MCA, strong name recognition, a good reputation, experience, coupled with Holmes scraping off a few liberal votes against a less established opponent, will give Steed a narrow victory. 
   
  RECOMMENDATION:
   
  I recommend that Moscow Vote:
   
  (4 Year)
  Wayne Krauss
  Linda Pall
  David A. Uberuaga
   
  (2 Year)
  Walter Steed
   
  * I believe if you vote for Lamar or Carscallen, you are also voting against Linda Pall, because that is who she will fighting for the third seat.
   
  Best,
   
  Donovan
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
  

   
    
---------------------------------
  Shape Yahoo! in your own image. Join our Network Research Panel today! =======================================================
List services made available by First Step Internet, 
serving the communities of the Palouse since 1994. 
http://www.fsr.net 
mailto:Vision2020 at moscow.com
=======================================================


Tom & Liz Ivie
       
---------------------------------
Fussy? Opinionated? Impossible to please? Perfect.  Join Yahoo!'s user panel and lay it on us.
-------------- next part --------------
An HTML attachment was scrubbed...
URL: http://mailman.fsr.com/pipermail/vision2020/attachments/20070907/85b641c6/attachment.html