[Vision2020] cellulosic alcohol (butanol)
Donovan Arnold
donovanjarnold2005 at yahoo.com
Sat Sep 2 06:54:35 PDT 2006
Ted and Jim,
The problem with switching to a plant or grown substance from gasoline is that change also impacts the environment because of the volume or whatever it is that you are growing. A billion new (insert plant here) is going to change the ecological system of the region. Also, if it replaces one crop, like say wheat, it messes with the wheat production which impacts world grain prices and could led to some nations not getting enough food, or a giant famine in some poorer parts of the world.
I think that whatever we switch to needs to be sustainable, preferably produced entirely, or mostly, here in the United States, or a friendly nation, not one that wishes us harm.
Ted, I don't think fixing the price of gasoline at a future date in time is politically unachievable. $7.50 a gallon is likely to be the price of gas anyways by the year 2012. But setting a price now adds predictability to the market and that will encourage companies to put capital into creating alternative fuel sources. If investors know that they can beat gasoline at $7.50 a gallon, then they know they have a marketable product. As it sits now, they don't know if gasoline will be $1 or $100 in 2012. So they are less likely to invest in researching and developing an alternative to fossil fuels.
Best,
_DJA
Jim Meyer <m1e2y3e4 at moscow.com> wrote: Ted and all,
Cellulosic alcohol is great idea. Alan Greenspan thinks it is a good
idea. I hadn't really known it had come of age before hearing Mr.
Greenspan talking about it. The big idea with cellulosic alcohol is that
it can be produced from plants that require very little oil based
fertilizer input. As I recall, and I might be wrong, corn requires about
300 pounds of nitrogen/acre. Even with the best legume crop rotation you
could never produce corn without external fertilizer. Cellulose on the
hand, can grow without external nitrogen sources. Furthermore, we do
have plenty of timber slash and marginal lands that can grow sturdy, low
input cellulosic crops. So I second your suggestion even to the point of
wanting to start my own plant, if that were even remotely possible.
Secondly, I would produce cellulosic butanol, not ethanol. See
http://www.butanol.com/. Supposedly it can replace gasoline directly
without any engine modifications. What could be better? Currently, if
you want to run an E85 vehicle, either you have to buy a vehicle so
designed or you have to do considerable retrofitting. Without the
necessity of retrofiting, butanol appears to have it all over ethanol,
not to mention generally better fuel characteristics than ethanol.
Jim Meyer
> ----------------------------------------------------------------------
>
> Message: 1
> Date: Thu, 31 Aug 2006 12:00:14 -0700
> From: "Ted Moffett"
> Subject: Re: [Vision2020] Inconvenient Truth -- What WE REALLY HAVE TO
> DO: " Apollo Project"
> To: "Chris Storhok" , "Vision 2020"
>
> Message-ID:
>
> Content-Type: text/plain; charset="iso-8859-1"
>
> Chris et. al.
>
> Yes, that was Donovan's idea about high gas taxes, and of course many think
> gas taxes should be raised, though some call it a "carbon tax" that could be
> used to develop the infrastructure and technology to transition away from
> fossil fuels. It's hard to see how addressing fossil fuel depletion and
> global warming can be economically pain free... However, raising gas taxes a
> lot is almost politically impossible.
>
> Thanks for the detailed info on the biofuels project you are working on. I
> agree there is good evidence that biofuels can be practical and efficient
> enough in some applications, as your discussion of the biofuels projects in
> Alaska indicate. Wait for the final implementation, though. As they say,
> the devil is in the details. Brazil, it appears, has a self supporting
> biofuels program based on sugar cane, much better than corn for biofuels,
> that supplies a lot of their fuel. From the analyses I have read, however,
> biofuels are not a dominant solution to supplying the USA, not to mention
> India and China, with the fuel we/they need, given current and expected
> future consumption levels, at least not with internal combustion engines.
>
> I would like to hear more about this wood based biofuels program in Alaska.
> It must be based on what is called "cellulosic" biofuels. I posted to
> Vision2020 the suggestion that the Moscow/Pullman area could have its own
> biofuels plant to produce fuel locally from the forest/agriculture biomass
> resources available in our greater area. I did not get a single response to
> this suggestion, but what the heck, it's only Vision2020.
>
> I don't think Vision2020 readers should need a "Warning" about your
> discussion of the biofuels projects in Alaska being boring. The same ideas
> might be applied here for affordable renewable biofuels at a local biofuels
> plant... If that's boring, I suppose Vision2020 readers will find 10 dollar
> a gallon fossil fuel gas to be very exciting!
>
> Ted Moffett
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