[Vision2020] what you don't know can hurt you
Mark Solomon
msolomon at moscow.com
Wed Apr 20 17:50:23 PDT 2005
Another leap down the path of smoke and mirrors.
Mark Solomon
Bush administration eliminating 19-year-old international terrorism report
Posted on Fri, Apr. 15, 2005
<http://www.realcities.com/mld/krwashington/11407689.htm>http://www.realcities.com/mld/krwashington/11407689.htm
By Jonathan S. Landay
Knight Ridder Newspapers
WASHINGTON - The State Department decided to stop publishing an
annual report on international terrorism after the government's top
terrorism center concluded that there were more terrorist attacks in
2004 than in any year since 1985, the first year the publication
covered.
Several U.S. officials defended the abrupt decision, saying the
methodology the National Counterterrorism Center used to generate
statistics for the report may have been faulty, such as the inclusion
of incidents that may not have been terrorism.
Last year, the number of incidents in 2003 was undercounted, forcing
a revision of the report, "Patterns of Global Terrorism."
But other current and former officials charged that Secretary of
State Condoleezza Rice's office ordered "Patterns of Global
Terrorism" eliminated several weeks ago because the 2004 statistics
raised disturbing questions about the Bush's administration's
frequent claims of progress in the war against terrorism.
"Instead of dealing with the facts and dealing with them in an
intelligent fashion, they try to hide their facts from the American
public," charged Larry C. Johnson, a former CIA analyst and State
Department terrorism expert who first disclosed the decision to
eliminate the report in The Counterterrorism Blog, an online journal.
Rep. Henry Waxman, D-Calif., who was among the leading critics of
last year's mix-up, reacted angrily to the decision.
"This is the definitive report on the incidence of terrorism around
the world. It should be unthinkable that there would be an effort to
withhold it - or any of the key data - from the public. The Bush
administration should stop playing politics with this critical
report."
A senior State Department official, speaking on condition of
anonymity because of the sensitivity of the issue, confirmed that the
publication was being eliminated, but said the allegation that it was
being done for political reasons was "categorically untrue."
According to Johnson and U.S. intelligence officials familiar with
the issue, statistics that the National Counterterrorism Center
provided to the State Department reported 625 "significant" terrorist
attacks in 2004.
That compared with 175 such incidents in 2003, the highest number in
two decades.
The statistics didn't include attacks on American troops in Iraq,
which President Bush as recently as Tuesday called "a central front
in the war on terror."
The intelligence officials requested anonymity because the
information is classified and because, they said, they feared White
House retribution. Johnson declined to say how he obtained the
figures.
Another U.S. official, who also requested anonymity, said analysts
from the counterterrorism center were especially careful in amassing
and reviewing the data because of the political turmoil created by
last year's errors.
Last June, the administration was forced to issue a revised version
of the report for 2003 that showed a higher number of significant
terrorist attacks and more than twice the number of fatalities than
had been presented in the original report two months earlier.
The snafu was embarrassing for the White House, which had used the
original version to bolster President Bush's election-campaign claim
that the war in Iraq had advanced the fight against terrorism.
U.S. officials blamed last year's mix-up on bureaucratic mistakes
involving the Terrorist Threat Integration Center, the forerunner of
the National Counterterrorism Center.
Created last year on the recommendation of the independent commission
that investigated the Sept. 11, 2001, terrorist attacks, the center
is the government's primary organization for analyzing and
integrating all U.S. government intelligence on terrorism.
The State Department published "Patterns of Global Terrorism" under a
law that requires it to submit to the House of Representatives and
the Senate Foreign Relations Committee a country-by-country terrorism
assessment by April 30 each year.
A declassified version of the report has been made public since 1986
in the form of a glossy booklet, even though there was no legal
requirement to produce one.
The senior State Department official said a report on global
terrorism would be sent this year to lawmakers and made available to
the public in place of "Patterns of Global Terrorism," but that it
wouldn't contain statistical data.
He said that decision was taken because the State Department believed
that the National Counterterrorism Center "is now the authoritative
government agency for the analysis of global terrorism. We believe
that the NCTC should compile and publish the relevant data on that
subject."
He didn't answer questions about whether the data would be made
available to the public, saying, "We will be consulting (with
Congress) ... on who should publish and in what form."
Another U.S. official said Rice's office was leery of the methodology
the National Counterterrorism Center used to generate the data for
2004, believing that analysts anxious to avoid a repetition of last
year's undercount included incidents that may not have been terrorist
attacks.
But the U.S. intelligence officials said Rice's office decided to
eliminate "Patterns of Global Terrorism" when the counterterrorism
center declined to use alternative methodology that would have
reported fewer significant attacks.
The officials said they interpreted Rice's action as an attempt to
avoid releasing statistics that would contradict the administration's
claims that it's winning the war against terrorism.
To read past "Patterns of Global Terrorism" reports online, go to
<http://www.mipt.org/Patterns-of-Global-Terrorism.asp>www.mipt.org/Patterns-of-Global-Terrorism.asp
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