[Vision2020] Climate Prediction Center: Weak La Nina 3 Mo. Impacts N. Idaho Winter 2017-18

[Ted Moffett]

Vision2020 Post: Ted Moffett
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http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ensodisc.shtml

For the remainder of the Northern Hemisphere fall and winter 2017-18, a
weak La Niña is favored in the model averages of the IRI/CPC plume [Fig. 6]
<http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/figure06.gif>
and also in the North American Multi-Model Ensemble (NMME) [Fig. 7]
<http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/figure07.gif>.
The consensus of forecasters is for the event to continue through
approximately February-April 2018. In summary, La Niña conditions are
predicted to continue (~65-75% chance) at least through the Northern
Hemisphere winter (click CPC/IRI consensus forecast
<http://iri.columbia.edu/our-expertise/climate/forecasts/enso/current/?enso_tab=enso-cpc_plume>
for the chance of each outcome for each 3-month period).

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http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/long_range/seasonal.php?lead=1

[image: /products/predictions/long_range/lead01/off01_temp.gif]
<http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/long_range/lead01/off01_temp.gif>
[image: /products/predictions/long_range/lead01/off01_prcp.gif]
<http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/long_range/lead01/off01_prcp.gif>
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