<div dir="ltr"><div><font size="2"><div><span><span><span><span><span>Vision2020 Post: <span class="gmail-m_-7339551805261331343gmail-m_6608179617401443927gmail-m_1851098523129406012gmail-m_-3667973666522737725gmail-m_7150806634314455654gmail-m_7272584660306685438gmail-m_-279399555980630466gmail-il">Ted</span> <span class="gmail-m_-7339551805261331343gmail-m_6608179617401443927gmail-m_1851098523129406012gmail-m_-3667973666522737725gmail-m_7150806634314455654gmail-m_7272584660306685438gmail-m_-279399555980630466gmail-il">Moffett</span></span></span></span></span></span></div><span><span><div>***** Original material contained herein is <span class="gmail-m_-7339551805261331343gmail-m_6608179617401443927gmail-m_1851098523129406012gmail-m_-3667973666522737725gmail-m_7150806634314455654gmail-m_7272584660306685438gmail-il">Copyright</span> 2000 through life plus 70 years, <span class="gmail-m_-7339551805261331343gmail-m_6608179617401443927gmail-m_1851098523129406012gmail-m_-3667973666522737725gmail-m_7150806634314455654gmail-m_7272584660306685438gmail-m_-279399555980630466gmail-il">Ted</span> <span class="gmail-m_-7339551805261331343gmail-m_6608179617401443927gmail-m_1851098523129406012gmail-m_-3667973666522737725gmail-m_7150806634314455654gmail-m_7272584660306685438gmail-m_-279399555980630466gmail-il">Moffett</span>.  Do not copy, forward, excerpt, or reproduce outside the <a href="http://vision2020.moscow.com/" target="_blank">Vision2020.Moscow.com</a> forum without the express written permission of the author.*****</div></span></span></font></div><div><span><span>----------------------------------<br></span></span></div><div><a href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ensodisc.shtml">http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ensodisc.shtml</a><span></span></div><div><br></div><div>For the remainder of the Northern Hemisphere fall and winter 2017-18, a weak La Niña is favored in the model averages of the IRI/CPC plume <a href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/figure06.gif"><font color="#0066cc">[Fig. 6]</font></a> and also in the North American Multi-Model Ensemble (NMME) <a href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/figure07.gif"><font color="#0066cc">[Fig. 7]</font></a>. The consensus of forecasters is for the event to continue through approximately February-April 2018.  In summary, La Niña conditions are predicted to continue (~65-75% chance) at least through the Northern Hemisphere winter (click <a href="http://iri.columbia.edu/our-expertise/climate/forecasts/enso/current/?enso_tab=enso-cpc_plume"><font color="#0066cc">CPC/IRI consensus forecast</font></a> for the chance of each outcome for each 3-month period). </div><div><br></div><div>--------------------------------------</div><div><span><a href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/long_range/seasonal.php?lead=1">http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/long_range/seasonal.php?lead=1</a></span></div><div><span><br></span></div><div><span><span><table width="100%" align="center" border="1"><tbody><tr><td align="center"><a href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/long_range/lead01/off01_temp.gif"><img width="540" alt="/products/predictions/long_range/lead01/off01_temp.gif" src="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/long_range/lead01/off01_temp.gif" border="1"></a></td></tr><tr><td align="center"><a href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/long_range/lead01/off01_prcp.gif"><img width="540" alt="/products/predictions/long_range/lead01/off01_prcp.gif" src="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/long_range/lead01/off01_prcp.gif" border="1"></a></td></tr><tr><td align="center"><span></span></td></tr></tbody></table></span></span></div></div>