[Vision2020] Climate Panel Cites Near Certainty on Warming

[Ted Moffett]

If Senator Inhofe's assertion that global warming is the "greatest hoax,"
as his book title indicates, is motivated solely by monetary gain from
fossil fuel industry contributions, he might consider an acting career,
given that he appears quite convinced that there is considerable scientific
evidence that global warming indeed is a "conspiracy!"

Listen to this interview with Senator Inhofe from April 2013, where he
lists a few of the quite commonly heard talking points adopted by
so called skeptics of global warming (previous scientific predictions of
global cooling, the hocky stick/MWP/LIA controversy), to refute the
scientific claim anthropogenic global warming is a well supported
scientific theory:  He states at the end of the interview, regarding the
Kyoto Protocol to control CO2 emissions, that "60 scientists in Canada are
now petitioning Prime Minister Harper to re-look at perhaps getting out,
since the science is showing the relationship between CO2 and climate
change doesn't seem to exist."
Jim Inhofe - Global Warming Debate
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kHJmhIHVyZk

--------------------------------
Also, listen to this gem of a short interview, March 2012, where Senator
Inhofe quotes the Bible to question the claim global warming could be
induced by human activity.  I thing he is expressing a very common belief
among many religious people, who don't think humans could have what is
arguably to some the power of God, to radically alter the God given climate
of he entire Earth:
Inhofe: The Bible Says Global Warming Is A Hoax
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EKd6UJPghUs
------------------------------------------
Vision2020 Post: Ted Moffett

On Wed, Aug 21, 2013 at 5:28 PM, Ron Force <rforce2003 at yahoo.com> wrote:

>
>
>
> Gosh, why would the good senator be a climate denier?
>
> Top 5 Industries, 2009-2014, Campaign Cmte
> IndustryTotalIndivsPACsOil & Gas$230,650$102,000$128,650Leadership PACs
> $85,362$500$84,862Retired$85,200$85,200$0Electric Utilities$72,250$4,500
> $67,750Defense Aerospace$66,400$9,400$57,000
>
>
> Ron Force
> Moscow Idaho USA
>
>   ------------------------------
>  *From:* Ted Moffett <starbliss at gmail.com>
> *To:* Art Deco <art.deco.studios at gmail.com>
> *Cc:* Moscow Vision 2020 <vision2020 at moscow.com>
> *Sent:* Wednesday, August 21, 2013 3:53 PM
> *Subject:* Re: [Vision2020] Climate Panel Cites Near Certainty on Warming
>
> "Near certainty on Warming?"
>
> Well, there's still room for doubt, so those brain washed warmers who
> think we absolutely need massive action to address anthropogenic climate
> change are obviously irrational and biased!
>
> Besides, if a US Senator writes a book titled
>
>
> http://www.amazon.com/Greatest-Hoax-Warming-Conspiracy-Threatens/dp/1936488493/ref=sr_1_1/184-0654468-2290203?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1377125265&sr=1-1&keywords=the+greatest+hoax+inhofe
> "The Greatest Hoax: How the Global Warming Conspiracy Threatens Your
> Future"
> then there must be some truth to the "hoax" theory... I mean, we don't
> have nut cases as US Senators, do we?
> Info on US Senator Inhofe's book mentioned above from the Amazon website:
> "Americans are over-regulated and over-taxed. When regulation escalates,
> the result is an increase in regulators. In other words, bigger government
> is required to enforce the greater degree of regulation. Bigger government
> means bigger budgets and higher taxes. "More" simply doesn't mean "better."
> A perfect example is the entire global warming, climate-change issue, which
> is an effort to dramatically and hugely increase regulation of each of our
> lives and business, and to raise our cost of living and taxes. In *The
> Greatest Hoax*, Senator James Inhofe will reveal the reasons behind those
> perpetuating the Hoax of global warming, who is benefitting from the
> general acceptance of the Hoax and why the premise statements are blatantly
> and categorically false."
> ------------------------------------------
> Vision2020 Post: Ted Moffett
>
>
> On Tue, Aug 20, 2013 at 6:28 AM, Art Deco <art.deco.studios at gmail.com>wrote:
>
>  [image: The New York Times] <http://www.nytimes.com/>
>
> ------------------------------
> August 19, 2013
> Climate Panel Cites Near Certainty on Warming By JUSTIN GILLIS<http://topics.nytimes.com/top/reference/timestopics/people/g/justin_gillis/index.html>
>  An international panel of scientists has found with near certainty that
> human activity is the cause of most of the temperature increases of recent
> decades, and warns that sea levels could conceivably rise by more than
> three feet by the end of the century if emissions continue at a runaway
> pace.
>  The scientists, whose findings are reported in a draft summary of the
> next big United Nations climate report, largely dismiss a recent slowdown
> in the pace of warming, which is often cited by climate change doubters,
> attributing it most likely to short-term factors.
>  The report emphasizes that the basic facts about future climate change
> are more established than ever, justifying the rise in global concern. It
> also reiterates that the consequences of escalating emissions are likely to
> be profound.
>  “It is extremely likely that human influence on climate caused more than
> half of the observed increase in global average surface temperature from
> 1951 to 2010,” the draft report says. “There is high confidence that this
> has warmed the ocean, melted snow and ice, raised global mean sea level and
> changed some climate extremes in the second half of the 20th century.”
>  The draft comes from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change<http://www.ipcc.ch/>,
> a body of several hundred scientists that won the Nobel Peace Prize in
> 2007, along with Al Gore. Its summaries, published every five or six years,
> are considered the definitive assessment of the risks of climate change,
> and they influence the actions of governments around the world. Hundreds of
> billions of dollars are being spent on efforts to reduce greenhouse
> emissions, for instance, largely on the basis of the group’s findings.
>  The coming report will be the fifth major assessment from the group,
> created in 1988. Each report has found greater certainty that the planet is
> warming and greater likelihood that humans are the primary cause.
>  The 2007 report found “unequivocal” evidence of warming, but hedged a
> little on responsibility, saying the chances were at least 90 percent that
> human activities were the cause. The language in the new draft is stronger,
> saying the odds are at least 95 percent that humans are the principal
> cause.
>  On sea level, which is one of the biggest single worries about climate
> change, the new report goes well beyond the assessment published in 2007,
> which largely sidestepped the question of how much the ocean could rise
> this century.
>  The new report also reiterates a core difficulty that has plagued climate
> science for decades: While averages for such measures as temperature can be
> predicted with some confidence on a global scale, the coming changes still
> cannot be forecast reliably on a local scale. That leaves governments and
> businesses fumbling in the dark as they try to plan ahead.
>  On another closely watched issue, the scientists retreated slightly from
> their 2007 position.
>  Regarding the question of how much the planet could warm if carbon
> dioxide levels in the atmosphere doubled, the previous report largely ruled
> out any number below 3.6 degrees Fahrenheit. The new draft says the rise
> could be as low as 2.7 degrees, essentially restoring a scientific
> consensus that prevailed from 1979 to 2007.
>  But the draft says only that the low number is possible, not that it is
> likely. Many climate scientists see only a remote chance that the warming
> will be that low, with the published evidence suggesting that an increase
> above 5 degrees Fahrenheit is more likely if carbon dioxide doubles.
>  The level of carbon dioxide, the main greenhouse gas, is up 41 percent
> since the Industrial Revolution, and if present trends continue it could
> double in a matter of decades.
>  Warming the entire planet by 5 degrees Fahrenheit would add a stupendous
> amount of energy to the climate system. Scientists say the increase would
> be greater over land and might exceed 10 degrees at the poles.
>  They add that such an increase would lead to widespread melting of land
> ice, extreme heat waves, difficulty growing food and massive changes in
> plant and animal life, probably including a wave of extinctions.
>  The new document is not final and will not become so until an intensive,
> closed-door negotiating session among scientists and government leaders in
> Stockholm in late September. But if the past is any guide, most of the core
> findings of the document will survive that final review.
>  The document was leaked over the weekend after it was sent to a large
> group of people who had signed up to review it. It was first reported on in
> detail by the Reuters news agency, and The New York Times obtained a copy
> independently to verify its contents.
>  The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change does no original research,
> but instead periodically assesses and summarizes the published scientific
> literature on climate change.
>  The draft document “is likely to change in response to comments from
> governments received in recent weeks and will also be considered by
> governments and scientists at a four-day approval session at the end of
> September,” the panel’s spokesman, Jonathan Lynn, said in a statement
> Monday. “It is therefore premature and could be misleading to attempt to
> draw conclusions from it.”
>  After winning the Nobel Peace Prize six years ago, the group became a
> political target for climate doubters, who helped identify minor errors in
> the 2007 report. This time, the panel adopted rigorous procedures in the
> hope of preventing such mistakes.
>  Some climate doubters challenge the idea that the earth is warming at
> all; others concede that it is, but deny human responsibility; still others
> acknowledge a human role, but assert that the warming is likely to be
> limited and the impacts manageable. Every major scientific academy in the
> world has warned that global warming is a serious problem.
>  The panel shifted to a wider range for the potential warming, dropping
> the plausible low end to 2.7 degrees, after a wave of recent studies saying
> higher estimates were unlikely. But those studies are contested, and
> scientists at Stockholm are likely to debate whether to stick with that
> language.
>  Michael E. Mann, a climate scientist at Pennsylvania State University,
> said he feared the intergovernmental panel, in writing its draft, had been
> influenced by criticism from climate doubters, who advocate even lower
> numbers. “I think the I.P.C.C. on this point has once again erred on the
> side of understating the degree of the likely changes,” Dr. Mann said.
>  However, Christopher B. Field, a researcher at the Carnegie Institution
> for Science <http://carnegiescience.edu/> who serves on the panel but was
> not directly involved in the new draft, said the group had to reflect the
> full range of plausible scientific views.
>  “I think that the I.P.C.C. has a tradition of being very conservative,”
> Dr. Field said. “They really want the story to be right.”
>  Regarding the likely rise in sea level over the coming century, the new
> report lays out several possibilities. In the most optimistic, the world’s
> governments would prove far more successful at getting emissions under
> control than they have been in the recent past, helping to limit the total
> warming.
>  In that circumstance, sea level could be expected to rise as little as 10
> inches by the end of the century, the report found. That is a bit more than
> the eight-inch increase in the 20th century, which proved manageable even
> though it caused severe erosion along the world’s shorelines.
>  At the other extreme, the report considers a chain of events in which
> emissions continue to increase at a swift pace. Under those conditions, sea
> level could be expected to rise at least 21 inches by 2100 and might
> increase a bit more than three feet, the draft report said.
>  Hundreds of millions of people live near sea level, and either figure
> would represent a challenge for humanity, scientists say. But a three-foot
> rise in particular would endanger many of the world’s great cities — among
> them New York; London; Shanghai; Venice; Sydney, Australia; Miami; and New
> Orleans.
>
>
>
> --
> Art Deco (Wayne A. Fox)
> art.deco.studios at gmail.com
>
>
>
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