[Vision2020] Climate Panel Cites Near Certainty on Warming
Paul Rumelhart
godshatter at yahoo.com
Thu Aug 22 08:56:49 PDT 2013
I seriously doubt that he denies that there is a climate :)
Paul
________________________________
From: Ron Force <rforce2003 at yahoo.com>
To: Moscow Vision2020 <vision2020 at moscow.com>
Sent: Wednesday, August 21, 2013 5:28 PM
Subject: [Vision2020] Climate Panel Cites Near Certainty on Warming
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>Gosh, why would the good senator be a climate denier?
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>Top 5 Industries, 2009-2014, Campaign Cmte
>Industry
>Total
>Indivs
>PACs
>Oil & Gas $230,650 $102,000 $128,650
>Leadership PACs $85,362 $500 $84,862
>Retired $85,200 $85,200 $0
>Electric Utilities $72,250 $4,500 $67,750
>Defense Aerospace $66,400 $9,400 $57,000
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>Ron Force
>Moscow Idaho USA
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>>________________________________
>> From: Ted Moffett <starbliss at gmail.com>
>>To: Art Deco <art.deco.studios at gmail.com>
>>Cc: Moscow Vision 2020 <vision2020 at moscow.com>
>>Sent: Wednesday, August 21, 2013 3:53 PM
>>Subject: Re: [Vision2020] Climate Panel Cites Near Certainty on Warming
>>
>>
>>
>>"Near certainty on Warming?"
>>
>>Well, there's still room for doubt, so those brain washed warmers who think we absolutely need massive action to address anthropogenic climate change are obviously irrational and biased!
>>
>>Besides, if a US Senator writes a book titled
>>
>>http://www.amazon.com/Greatest-Hoax-Warming-Conspiracy-Threatens/dp/1936488493/ref=sr_1_1/184-0654468-2290203?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1377125265&sr=1-1&keywords=the+greatest+hoax+inhofe
>>
>>"The Greatest Hoax: How the Global Warming Conspiracy Threatens Your Future"
>>then there must be some truth to the "hoax" theory... I mean, we don't have nut cases as US Senators, do we?
>>Info on US Senator Inhofe's book mentioned above from the Amazon website:
>>
>>"Americans are over-regulated and over-taxed. When regulation escalates,
the result is an increase in regulators. In other words, bigger
government is required to enforce the greater degree of regulation.
Bigger government means bigger budgets and higher taxes. "More" simply
doesn't mean "better." A perfect example is the entire global warming,
climate-change issue, which is an effort to dramatically and hugely
increase regulation of each of our lives and business, and to raise our
cost of living and taxes. In The Greatest Hoax, Senator James
Inhofe will reveal the reasons behind those perpetuating the Hoax of
global warming, who is benefitting from the general acceptance of the
Hoax and why the premise statements are blatantly and categorically
false."
>>------------------------------------------
>>Vision2020 Post: Ted Moffett
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>On Tue, Aug 20, 2013 at 6:28 AM, Art Deco <art.deco.studios at gmail.com> wrote:
>>
>>
>>>>>>________________________________
>>>
>>>August 19, 2013
>>>Climate Panel Cites Near Certainty on Warming
>>>By JUSTIN GILLIS
>>>An international panel of scientists has found with near certainty that
human activity is the cause of most of the temperature increases of
recent decades, and warns that sea levels could conceivably rise by more than three feet by the end of the century if emissions continue at a
runaway pace.
>>>The scientists, whose findings are reported in a draft summary of the
next big United Nations climate report, largely dismiss a recent
slowdown in the pace of warming, which is often cited by climate change
doubters, attributing it most likely to short-term factors.
>>>The report emphasizes that the basic facts about future climate change
are more established than ever, justifying the rise in global concern.
It also reiterates that the consequences of escalating emissions are
likely to be profound.
>>>“It is extremely likely that human influence on climate caused more than half of the observed increase in global average surface temperature
from 1951 to 2010,” the draft report says. “There is high confidence
that this has warmed the ocean, melted snow and ice, raised global mean
sea level and changed some climate extremes in the second half of the
20th century.”
>>>The draft comes from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, a body of several hundred scientists that won the Nobel Peace Prize in
2007, along with Al Gore. Its summaries, published every five or six
years, are considered the definitive assessment of the risks of climate
change, and they influence the actions of governments around the world.
Hundreds of billions of dollars are being spent on efforts to reduce
greenhouse emissions, for instance, largely on the basis of the group’s
findings.
>>>The coming report will be the fifth major assessment from the group,
created in 1988. Each report has found greater certainty that the planet is warming and greater likelihood that humans are the primary cause.
>>>The 2007 report found “unequivocal” evidence of warming, but hedged a
little on responsibility, saying the chances were at least 90 percent
that human activities were the cause. The language in the new draft is
stronger, saying the odds are at least 95 percent that humans are the
principal cause.
>>>On sea level, which is one of the biggest single worries about climate
change, the new report goes well beyond the assessment published in
2007, which largely sidestepped the question of how much the ocean could rise this century.
>>>The new report also reiterates a core difficulty that has plagued
climate science for decades: While averages for such measures as
temperature can be predicted with some confidence on a global scale, the coming changes still cannot be forecast reliably on a local scale. That leaves governments and businesses fumbling in the dark as they try to
plan ahead.
>>>On another closely watched issue, the scientists retreated slightly from their 2007 position.
>>>Regarding the question of how much the planet could warm if carbon
dioxide levels in the atmosphere doubled, the previous report largely
ruled out any number below 3.6 degrees Fahrenheit. The new draft says
the rise could be as low as 2.7 degrees, essentially restoring a
scientific consensus that prevailed from 1979 to 2007.
>>>But the draft says only that the low number is possible, not that it is
likely. Many climate scientists see only a remote chance that the
warming will be that low, with the published evidence suggesting that an increase above 5 degrees Fahrenheit is more likely if carbon dioxide
doubles.
>>>The level of carbon dioxide, the main greenhouse gas, is up 41 percent
since the Industrial Revolution, and if present trends continue it could double in a matter of decades.
>>>Warming the entire planet by 5 degrees Fahrenheit would add a stupendous amount of energy to the climate system. Scientists say the increase
would be greater over land and might exceed 10 degrees at the poles.
>>>They add that such an increase would lead to widespread melting of land
ice, extreme heat waves, difficulty growing food and massive changes in
plant and animal life, probably including a wave of extinctions.
>>>The new document is not final and will not become so until an intensive, closed-door negotiating session among scientists and government leaders in Stockholm in late September. But if the past is any guide, most of
the core findings of the document will survive that final review.
>>>The document was leaked over the weekend after it was sent to a large
group of people who had signed up to review it. It was first reported on in detail by the Reuters news agency, and The New York Times obtained a copy independently to verify its contents.
>>>The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change does no original research, but instead periodically assesses and summarizes the published
scientific literature on climate change.
>>>The draft document “is likely to change in response to comments from
governments received in recent weeks and will also be considered by
governments and scientists at a four-day approval session at the end of
September,” the panel’s spokesman, Jonathan Lynn, said in a statement
Monday. “It is therefore premature and could be misleading to attempt to draw conclusions from it.”
>>>After winning the Nobel Peace Prize six years ago, the group became a
political target for climate doubters, who helped identify minor errors
in the 2007 report. This time, the panel adopted rigorous procedures in
the hope of preventing such mistakes.
>>>Some climate doubters challenge the idea that the earth is warming at
all; others concede that it is, but deny human responsibility; still
others acknowledge a human role, but assert that the warming is likely
to be limited and the impacts manageable. Every major scientific academy in the world has warned that global warming is a serious problem.
>>>The panel shifted to a wider range for the potential warming, dropping
the plausible low end to 2.7 degrees, after a wave of recent studies
saying higher estimates were unlikely. But those studies are contested,
and scientists at Stockholm are likely to debate whether to stick with
that language.
>>>Michael E. Mann, a climate scientist at Pennsylvania State University,
said he feared the intergovernmental panel, in writing its draft, had
been influenced by criticism from climate doubters, who advocate even
lower numbers. “I think the I.P.C.C. on this point has once again erred
on the side of understating the degree of the likely changes,” Dr. Mann
said.
>>>However, Christopher B. Field, a researcher at the Carnegie Institution for Science who serves on the panel but was not directly involved in the new draft, said the group had to reflect the full range of plausible scientific
views.
>>>“I think that the I.P.C.C. has a tradition of being very conservative,”
Dr. Field said. “They really want the story to be right.”
>>>Regarding the likely rise in sea level over the coming century, the new
report lays out several possibilities. In the most optimistic, the
world’s governments would prove far more successful at getting emissions under control than they have been in the recent past, helping to limit
the total warming.
>>>In that circumstance, sea level could be expected to rise as little as
10 inches by the end of the century, the report found. That is a bit
more than the eight-inch increase in the 20th century, which proved
manageable even though it caused severe erosion along the world’s
shorelines.
>>>At the other extreme, the report considers a chain of events in which
emissions continue to increase at a swift pace. Under those conditions,
sea level could be expected to rise at least 21 inches by 2100 and might increase a bit more than three feet, the draft report said.
>>>Hundreds of millions of people live near sea level, and either figure
would represent a challenge for humanity, scientists say. But a
three-foot rise in particular would endanger many of the world’s great
cities — among them New York; London; Shanghai; Venice; Sydney,
Australia; Miami; and New Orleans.
>>>
>>>
>>>--
>>>Art Deco (Wayne A. Fox)
>>>art.deco.studios at gmail.com
>>>
>>>
>>>
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