[Vision2020] Holiday Doldrums

[Art Deco]

 [image: The New York Times] <http://www.nytimes.com/>

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December 26, 2012
Holiday Doldrums By CHARLES M. BLOW

Republicans are apparently in a funk this holiday season.

According to recent polls, they are depressed and despondent.

A Gallup survey of our well-being released last week reported that
“Republicans’ ratings of their lives worsened significantly in November,
with their collective Life Evaluation Index score dropping to 40.3, from
47.0 in October.” Democrats’ life ratings, by contrast, have improved.

The report continued: “The gap between Democrats and Republicans on the
Life Evaluation Index is now 16.6 points — the largest it has ever been.
This is also a drastic change from early 2008, when Republicans’ life
ratings frequently surpassed Democrats’ by more than 10 points.”

After the 2008 election, Republicans’ ratings of their lives also plunged,
but then they bounced back a bit. That may have been the result of the
emergence of the Tea Party. But now the Tea Party appears to be in decline,
and we don’t yet know if something else will replace it. As The New York
Times put it this
week<http://www.nytimes.com/2012/12/26/us/politics/tea-party-its-clout-diminished-turns-to-fringe-issues.html?_r=0>,
“the Tea Party might not be over, but it is increasingly clear that the
election last month significantly weakened the once-surging movement, which
nearly captured control of the Republican Party through a potent
combination of populism and fury.” Exit
polls<http://www.cnn.com/election/2012/results/race/president#>in
November found that only 21 percent of voters supported the Tea Party
and nearly 9 out of 10 of those who did voted for Mitt Romney.

As if that weren’t enough, a Washington Post
poll<http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/wp/2012/12/24/poll-public-sours-on-what-2013-will-bring/>this
week found that only 25 percent of Republicans say that they’re
hopeful about their personal lives in the coming year. That number has been
falling since 2005, but it fell most precipitously after President Obama
was elected in 2008. Only 18 percent of Republicans now say they’re hopeful
about the world in general over the next year. By comparison, 75 percent of
Democrats say that they are hopeful about their personal lives and 61
percent say that they are hopeful about the world in general.

As the Post pointed out:

“Rising fears are concentrated among Republicans, peaking at 72 percent and
up a remarkable 52 percentage points from 2006. In 2008, after Obama’s
victory, Republicans split 44 to 54 percent between hope and fear.
Democrats are far more positive, with 75 percent hopeful about their
personal lives, exactly the same as 2008. Even during George W. Bush’s
presidency, majorities of Democrats expressed a hopeful outlook.
Independents splits about evenly between hope and fear.”

These people need a hug.

Much of this discontent is undoubtedly tied to President Obama’s trouncing
of Mitt Romney in November. To add insult to injury, Gallup found last week
that President Obama’s approval
rating<http://www.gallup.com/poll/159440/obama-approval-highest-october-2009.aspx>was
at its highest level since October of 2009.

In the meantime, Mitt Romney’s son Tagg — the one who joked that he wanted
to “take a swing<http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/10/17/tagg-romney-obama_n_1976186.html>”
at the president after one of the debates — told The Boston Globe last week
that his father “wanted to be president less than anyone I’ve met in my
life. He had no desire to . . . run.” He continued, “If he could have found
someone else to take his place . . . he would have been ecstatic to step
aside.”

Ouch. That has to hurt Romney’s ardent supporters, especially those who
invested their time and money in his candidacy. In the words of the R & B
singer Usher, “let it burn.”

Little seemed to go right for Republicans in November, including their
callous attempts to suppress turnout among minority voters. In fact, there
is growing evidence that those efforts backfired spectacularly

According to a Pew Research Center
report<http://www.pewsocialtrends.org/2012/12/26/the-growing-electoral-clout-of-blacks-is-driven-by-turnout-not-demographics/>issued
on Wednesday, “Blacks voted at a higher rate this year than other
minority groups and for the first time in history may also have voted at a
higher rate than whites.”

The report went on to say, “these participation milestones are notable not
just in light of the long history of black disenfranchisement, but also in
light of recently enacted state voter identification laws that some critics
contended would suppress turnout disproportionately among blacks and other
minority groups.”

There is nothing like trying to take something away from someone to make
that person value it more.

The report also found that “more Hispanics and Asian-Americans voted than
ever before. And their turnout rates also rose.”  By comparison, turnout
among whites, the only group that Republicans won in 2008 and 2012, fell.

Even on the most pressing issues of the moment, Republicans are losing in
the court of public opinion. Following the massacre of elementary school
children in Connecticut earlier this month, there was an important,
although modest, shift in public opinion on gun
control<http://www.people-press.org/2012/12/20/after-newtown-modest-change-in-opinion-about-gun-control/>,
according to another Pew Research Center
poll<http://www.people-press.org/2012/12/20/after-newtown-modest-change-in-opinion-about-gun-control/>.
That poll found that “49 percent say it is more important to control gun
ownership, while 42 percent say it is more important to protect the right
of Americans to own guns.” As the report pointed out, “this marks the first
time since Barack Obama took office that more Americans prioritize gun
control than the right to own guns.” And that poll was taken before the
N.R.A.’s disastrous news
conference<http://home.nra.org/pdf/Transcript_PDF.pdf>on the shooting.

Then there are the fiscal cliff
<http://www.pollingreport.com/budget.htm>negotiations. Polls continue
to show that the public approves of the way
the president is handling the situation and disapproves of the behavior of
the Republicans — and those margins are huge. If we go over the cliff, it
is clear that more people will blame Republicans than the president and his
party.

This may be the season to be jolly, but not if you are a Republican.



-- 
Art Deco (Wayne A. Fox)
art.deco.studios at gmail.com
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