[Vision2020] Seattle All Time Record Highs: 103/71: Was: El Nino (ENSO) Announced July 9: Northwest Climate Shift

[Ted Moffett]

Wednesday Seattle's Hottest Day On Record Updated: 6:41 am PDT July 30, 2009

http://www.kirotv.com/weather/20191266/detail.html

*SEATTLE -- *The National Weather Service reported Sea-Tac Airport reaching
103 degrees, making it the hottest day in the history of local weather
records.
------
The official low at Sea-Tac was 71 degrees Wednesday morning, making it the
warmest low temperature on record. The old all-time record warm low of 69
degrees was set back on Sept. 2, 1974.

On 7/16/09, Ted Moffett <starbliss at gmail.com> wrote:

>  El Niño Arrives; Expected to Persist through Winter 2009-10
>
> July 9, 2009
>
> NOAA scientists today announced the arrival of El Niño, a climate
> phenomenon with a significant influence on global weather, ocean conditions
> and marine fisheries. El Niño, the periodic warming of central and eastern
> tropical Pacific waters, occurs on average every two to five years and
> typically lasts about 12 months.
>
> http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2009/20090709_elnino.html
> ----------------
> My comment:
>
> This may result in next winter being drier than the past few winters for
> the Northwest US.  As temperatures are predicted to hit the upper 90s F. the
> next few days in Moscow, this news may be unseasonal; but the arrival of an
> El Nino event is significant if you worry about plans for the snow removal
> budget in North Idaho.  Also, El Nino may have more immediate effects on US
> weather in other areas, and of course globally. Caps as appearing on NOAA
> website below (no intent to yell):
>
> http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/90day/fxus05.html
>
> SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SSTS)<http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/90day/seasglossary.html#ssts>IN THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL EQUATORIAL PACIFIC OCEAN ARE NOW WELL ABOVE
> NORMAL AND CPC<http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/90day/seasglossary.html#cpc>HAS DECLARED AN EL
> NINO<http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/90day/seasglossary.html#el+nino>IN EFFECT. WATER TEMPERATURES ARE WELL ABOVE NORMAL IN THE UPPER 200 METERS
> OF THE TROPICAL PACIFIC OCEAN, MAKING IT LIKELY THAT ABOVE NORMAL SSTS<http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/90day/seasglossary.html#ssts>WILL CONTINUE INTO THE REST OF SUMMER, FALL AND WINTER. THE CFS MODEL
> CORRECTLY ANTICIPATED THIS RAPID TRANSITION IN ITS FORECASTS FOR THE LAST
> FEW MONTHS, AND ITS CURRENT FORECAST SHOWS SST<http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/90day/seasglossary.html#sst>
> ANOMALIES<http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/90day/seasglossary.html#anomalies>APPROACHING 2 KELVIN IN THE COMING FEW MONTHS, SUGGESTING THAT MODERATE EL
> NINO<http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/90day/seasglossary.html#el+nino>CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF THE YEAR.
> -----------------
>
> THE TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK FOR ASO 2009 CALLS FOR AN ENHANCED LIKELIHOOD OF
> ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE SOUTH FROM ARIZONA TO FLORIDA. ABOVE
> NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE FAVORED IN NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND. CHANCES FOR BELOW
> NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE ENHANCED IN THE MIDWEST AND UPPER PLAINS. ELSEWHERE,
> EQUAL CHANCES OF BELOW, NEAR, AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE PREDICTED.
> ----------------
>
> A TREND<http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/90day/seasglossary.html#trend>-RELATED
> DRY FORECAST IS
> INDICATED FOR THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST.
> ----------------
> BELOW MEDIAN PRECIPITATION IS
> FAVORED IN EL NINO<http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/90day/seasglossary.html#el+nino>WINTERS FOR THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND PARTS OF THE OHIO AND TENNESSEE RIVER
> VALLEYS.
> ------------------------------------------
> Vision2020 Post: Ted Moffett
>
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