[Vision2020] An Urgent Communiqué From The No Weatherman: McCain up by one

[No Weatherman]

Released: 11-01-2008
Next Release: 11-02-08, 1:00AM

UTICA, New York — Republican John McCain made a small gain against
Democrat Barack Obama and has pulled back within the margin of error,
now trailing Obama by five points, 49.1% to 44.1%, the latest
Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby daily tracking telephone poll shows.

Almost two days worth of the polling — or about half of the current
sample in the three-day rolling poll of likely voters nationwide, was
conducted after Obama's 30-minute commercial aired Wednesday evening.
There is no evidence it helped him, as he has dropped 1.1 points in
the last two days, while McCain has gained 0.8 points during the same
period.

Pollster John Zogby: "Is McCain making a move? The three-day average
holds steady, but McCain outpolled Obama today, 48% to 47%. He is
beginning to cut into Obama's lead among independents, is now leading
among blue collar voters, has strengthened his lead among investors
and among men, and is walloping Obama among NASCAR voters. Joe the
Plumber may get his license after all. "Obama's lead among women
declined, and it looks like it is occurring because McCain is
solidifying the support of conservative women, which is something we
saw last time McCain picked up in the polls. If McCain has a good day
tomorrow, we will eliminate Obama's good day three days ago, and we
could really see some tightening in this rolling average. But for now,
hold on."
http://www.zogby.com/main.htm