[Vision2020] tony's worries for american women

[Tom Hansen]

Concerning the actual Iraqi civil war death toll, we can place our trust in,
etiher:

1)  "The Human Cost of the War in Iraq, A Mortality Study 2002 - 2006"

A report:

Downloadable at:

http://web.mit.edu/cis/human-cost-war-101106.pdf

Researched and prepared by

The Bloomberg School of Public Health
Johns Hopkins University
Baltimore, Maryland

And

The School of Medicine
Al Mustansiriya University
Baghdad, Iraq

In cooperation with

The Center for International Studies
Massachusetts Institute of technology (MIT)
Cambridge, Massachusetts

Or we can accept the word of Slate.com at

http://www.slate.com/id/2108887/

An admitted conservative magazine, whose headlines on December 11, 2006
read:

The Bride of Frankensteer
My 2,000-pound steer falls in love
http://www.slate.com/id/2154954/


I will leave this decision to the fine people of V2020.

Seeya round town, Moscow.

Tom Hansen
Moscow, Idaho


"Madness does not always howl.  Sometimes, it is the quiet voice at the end
of the day saying, 'Hey, is there room in your head for one more?'"

- Author Unknown

-----Original Message-----

From: vision2020-bounces at moscow.com [mailto:vision2020-bounces at moscow.com]
On Behalf Of g. crabtree
Sent: Saturday, December 16, 2006 8:44 AM
To: Andreas Schou; Tony
Cc: vision2020 at moscow.com; Bookpeople of Moscow
Subject: Re: [Vision2020] tony's worries for american women

>From Slate magazine (no friend to conservatives)

100,000 Dead-or 8,000How many Iraqi civilians have died as a result of the 
war?
By Fred Kaplan
Posted Friday, Oct. 29, 2004, at 6:49 PM ET
The authors of a peer-reviewed study, conducted by a survey team from Johns 
Hopkins University, claim that about 100,000 Iraqi civilians have died as a 
result of the war. Yet a close look at the actual study, published online 
today by the British medical journal the Lancet, reveals that this number is

so loose as to be meaningless.

The report's authors derive this figure by estimating how many Iraqis died 
in a 14-month period before the U.S. invasion, conducting surveys on how 
many died in a similar period after the invasion began (more on those 
surveys later), and subtracting the difference. That difference-the number 
of "extra" deaths in the post-invasion period-signifies the war's toll. That

number is 98,000. But read the passage that cites the calculation more 
fully:

  We estimate there were 98,000 extra deaths (95% CI 8000-194 000) during 
the post-war period.

Readers who are accustomed to perusing statistical documents know what the 
set of numbers in the parentheses means. For the other 99.9 percent of you, 
I'll spell it out in plain English-which, disturbingly, the study never 
does. It means that the authors are 95 percent confident that the war-caused

deaths totaled some number between 8,000 and 194,000. (The number cited in 
plain language-98,000-is roughly at the halfway point in this absurdly vast 
range.)

This isn't an estimate. It's a dart board.



You can read the rest of the article at http://www.slate.com/id/2108887/

I hope that helps.



g