[Vision2020] The Genie Is Out Of The Bottle

[Tbertruss at aol.com]

Donovan et. al.

Donovan wrote:

"Am I just being paranoid thinking that pro-UBL Pakistanis would give nuclear 

weapons to UBL to use against the US and/or that Bush has everything under 
control?"

Maybe paranoid, but a world with nuclear weapons is by definition a paranoid 
world.  Anyone who isn't paranoid with large numbers of nuclear weapons that 
can be launched and delivered to their targets in an hour or two needs to 
become paranoid.  The strategy of MAD (mutually assured destruction) is just that, 
MAD, yet it is the theoretical foundation of US nuclear policy between Russia 
and the USA.  People forget that the cold war nuclear standoff that was 
between the Soviet Union and the USA is now between Russia and the USA.  We are 
still only hours away from a massive nuclear war.  Tensions are reduced between 
the USA and Russia, but massive nuclear attack systems are still in place and 
ready to go with fingers on the buttons ... the unthinkable is still a 
possibility.

Musharaff's hold on power in Pakistan has been tenuous for years.  Their was 
an assassination attempt on his life since 9/11 that failed.  If Pakistan had 
a takeover by more extreme anti-US elements, Pakistan's nuclear weapons would 
become a major risk (as if they are not now already!), but I do not think 
Pakistan can deliver nuclear weapons to the USA with its current missile 
technology.  Nor do I think they would be inclined to give a nuclear weapon away given 
the small number of nuclear weapons they possess, when they need them as a 
deterrent against India's nuclear arsenal.  Pakistan is more worried about 
Hindu's than they are about us.  Pakistan is no doubt a sponsor of terrorism inside 
India, and harbors elements who are very anti-US, but the USA does not worry 
about that too much as long as Pakistan plays our game.

It is amazing that the obvious fact that the USA has not pursued Osama Bin 
Laden with the full resources possible continues to fly under the radar of 
public opinion in the USA.  Some think the USA wants Bin Laden still at large, 
though marginalized, to continue the scare tactics against the citizens of the USA 
with the War on Terror using Bin Laden as a bogey man.  

Anyway, the people of the USA are distracted, so why beat our heads against 
"The Wall" trying to inform them?  "The bleeding hearts and artists make their 
stand..." goes the song lyrics.

I am more concerned with weapons grade nuclear material that has been "lost" 
in the breakdown of the Soviet Union, weapons material that could be used to 
build a nuclear weapon.  Or the rumored "suitcase" nuclear weapons that may 
have "disappeared" from the former Soviet Union.

It is only a matter of time before some nation or group uses a nuclear weapon 
somewhere.

The genie is out of the bottle!

Ted Moffett


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