[Vision2020] Hurricane Katrina
Joan Opyr
joanopyr at earthlink.net
Sun Aug 28 23:57:31 PDT 2005
Dear Visionaries:
Hurricane Katrina is now a Category 5, with winds topping 175 mph and
gusts above 200. As a North Carolinian, I've seen my fair share of
hurricanes; there's nothing like them. They spawn tornados, flooding
-- they are disasters of Biblical (whatever translation you may use)
proportion. Hurricane Hugo blew Charlotte, NC, to bits, and that city
is more than five hours inland from the coast. New Orleans, as many of
you may know, is below sea level, situated in the midst of the
Mississippi River, the Gulf of Mexico, and Lake Pontchartrain. Water,
water everywhere, and a vast pumping system that doesn't stand a hope
in hell of keeping the city dry.
For decades, disaster preparedness experts have feared what would
happen if a Category 5 ever hit New Orleans. The levees are designed
to keep the water out of the city, but in a storm like this, they'll
more likely serve to keep the storm surge in. To put things in
perspective, nearly 3000 people were killed on 9/11. If Katrina hits
New Orleans full force tomorrow, it could kill as many as 44,000. Let
us hope and pray that it does not.
Joan
Joan Opyr/Auntie Establishment
www.auntie-establishment.com
From the Associated Press:
Hurricane Could Leave 1 Million Homeless
- - - - - - - - - - - -
By MATT CRENSON AP National Writer
August 28,2005 | -- When Hurricane Katrina hits New Orleans on Monday,
it could turn one of America's most charming cities into a vast
cesspool tainted with toxic chemicals, human waste and even coffins
released by floodwaters from the city's legendary cemeteries.
Experts have warned for years that the levees and pumps that usually
keep New Orleans dry have no chance against a direct hit by a Category
5 storm.
That's exactly what Katrina was as it churned toward the city. With top
winds of 165 mph and the power to lift sea level by as much as 28 feet
above normal, the storm threatened an environmental disaster of
biblical proportions, one that could leave more than 1 million people
homeless.
"All indications are that this is absolutely worst-case scenario," Ivor
van Heerden, deputy director of the Louisiana State University
Hurricane Center, said Sunday afternoon.
The center's latest computer simulations indicate that by Tuesday, vast
swaths of New Orleans could be under water up to 30 feet deep. In the
French Quarter, the water could reach 20 feet, easily submerging the
district's iconic cast-iron balconies and bars.
Estimates predict that 60 percent to 80 percent of the city's houses
will be destroyed by wind. With the flood damage, most of the people
who live in and around New Orleans could be homeless.
"We're talking about in essence having -- in the continental United
States -- having a refugee camp of a million people," van Heerden said.
Aside from Hurricane Andrew, which struck Miami in 1992, forecasters
have no experience with Category 5 hurricanes hitting densely populated
areas.
"Hurricanes rarely sustain such extreme winds for much time. However we
see no obvious large-scale effects to cause a substantial weakening the
system and it is expected that the hurricane will be of Category 4 or 5
intensity when it reaches the coast," National Hurricane Center
meteorologist Richard Pasch said.
As they raced to put meteorological instruments in Katrina's path
Sunday, wind engineers had little idea what their equipment would
record.
"We haven't seen something this big since we started the program," said
Kurt Gurley, a University of Florida engineering professor. He works
for the Florida Coastal Monitoring Program, which is in its seventh
year of making detailed measurements of hurricane wind conditions using
a set of mobile weather stations.
Experts have warned about New Orleans' vulnerability for years, chiefly
because Louisiana has lost more than a million acres of coastal
wetlands in the past seven decades. The vast patchwork of swamps and
bayous south of the city serves as a buffer, partially absorbing the
surge of water that a hurricane pushes ashore.
Experts have also warned that the ring of high levees around New
Orleans, designed to protect the city from floodwaters coming down the
Mississippi, will only make things worse in a powerful hurricane.
Katrina is expected to push a 28-foot storm surge against the levees.
Even if they hold, water will pour over their tops and begin filling
the city as if it were a sinking canoe.
After the storm passes, the water will have nowhere to go.
In a few days, van Heerden predicts, emergency management officials are
going to be wondering how to handle a giant stagnant pond contaminated
with building debris, coffins, sewage and other hazardous materials.
"We're talking about an incredible environmental disaster," van Heerden
said.
He puts much of the blame for New Orleans' dire situation on the very
levee system that is designed to protect southern Louisiana from
Mississippi River floods.
Before the levees were built, the river would top its banks during
floods and wash through a maze of bayous and swamps, dropping
fine-grained silt that nourished plants and kept the land just above
sea level.
The levees "have literally starved our wetlands to death" by directing
all of that precious silt out into the Gulf of Mexico, van Heerden
said.
It has been 40 years since New Orleans faced a hurricane even
comparable to Katrina. In 1965, Hurricane Betsy, a Category 3 storm,
submerged some parts of the city to a depth of seven feet.
Since then, the Big Easy has had nothing but near misses. In 1998,
Hurricane Georges headed straight for New Orleans, then swerved at the
last minute to strike Mississippi and Alabama. Hurricane Lili blew
herself out at the mouth of the Mississippi in 2002. And last year's
Hurricane Ivan obligingly curved to the east as it came ashore, barely
grazing a grateful city.
Salon provides breaking news articles from the Associated Press as a
service to its readers, but does not edit the AP articles it publishes.
© 2005 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. The information
contained in the AP News report may not be published, broadcast,
rewritten or redistributed without the prior written authority of The
Associated Press.
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