[Vision2020] Can Clinton Win?(Forgetting something)
Tom Hansen
thansen@moscow.com
Sun, 4 Jan 2004 16:19:37 -0800
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I agree, Ted. When an opponent shows a large lead in a poll, voters within
the trailing party tend to show up at the voting booths in decreasing
numbers, believing that their vote is insignificant (since the opponent has
"already won"). That attitude, coupled with an obsolete electoral college,
results in what I consider to be invalidated elections.
I say do away with polls (something I am sure will never happen) and
eliminate the electoral college. Let's reestablish general elections as
straight popular vote.
Take care,
Tom Hansen
Moscow, Idaho
-----Original Message-----
From: Aldoussoma@aol.com [mailto:Aldoussoma@aol.com]
Sent: Sunday, January 04, 2004 4:06 PM
To: thansen@moscow.com; vision2020@moscow.com
Subject: Re: [Vision2020] Can Clinton Win?(Forgetting something)
All:
In the Gore v Bush 2000 election, I monitored 5-6 polls in the week before
the election. None of them gave Gore a significant lead. Most had Gore
behind Bush by significant margins. We know Gore beat Bush by about half a
percentage point in the overall popular vote. Why did major polls before
the election show Bush with a significant lead, yet none showed Gore with a
significant lead? Is it possible polls are manipulated to create a "winners
side" psychology to stimulate momentum behind one candidate to encourage
voters to be on the winning rather than the losing side? After all,
Americans are obsessed with winning and being number one, are they not?
Ted
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<DIV><SPAN class=3D979320800-05012004><FONT color=3D#0000ff size=3D2>I =
agree,=20
Ted. When an opponent shows a large lead in a poll, voters within =
the=20
trailing party tend to show up at the voting booths =
in decreasing=20
numbers, believing that their vote is insignificant (since the opponent =
has=20
"already won"). That attitude, coupled with an obsolete electoral =
college,=20
results in what I consider to be invalidated =
elections.</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D979320800-05012004><FONT color=3D#0000ff=20
size=3D2></FONT></SPAN> </DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D979320800-05012004><FONT color=3D#0000ff size=3D2>I =
say do away=20
with polls (something I am sure will never happen) and eliminate the =
electoral=20
college. Let's reestablish general elections as straight popular=20
vote.</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D979320800-05012004><FONT color=3D#0000ff=20
size=3D2></FONT></SPAN> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2><FONT color=3D#0000ff><SPAN =
class=3D979320800-05012004>Take=20
care,</SPAN></FONT></FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2><FONT color=3D#0000ff><SPAN=20
class=3D979320800-05012004></SPAN><SPAN=20
class=3D979320800-05012004></SPAN></FONT></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D979320800-05012004><FONT color=3D#0000ff size=3D2>Tom =
Hansen</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D979320800-05012004><FONT color=3D#0000ff =
size=3D2>Moscow,=20
Idaho</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE=20
style=3D"PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; BORDER-LEFT: #0000ff 2px =
solid">
<DIV class=3DOutlookMessageHeader dir=3Dltr align=3Dleft><FONT =
face=3DTahoma=20
size=3D2>-----Original Message-----<BR><B>From:</B> Aldoussoma@aol.com =
[mailto:Aldoussoma@aol.com]<BR><B>Sent:</B> Sunday, January 04, 2004 =
4:06=20
PM<BR><B>To:</B> thansen@moscow.com; =
vision2020@moscow.com<BR><B>Subject:</B>=20
Re: [Vision2020] Can Clinton Win?(Forgetting=20
something)<BR><BR></FONT></DIV><FONT face=3Darial,helvetica><FONT =
size=3D2=20
PTSIZE=3D"10"><BR>All: <BR><BR>In the Gore v Bush 2000 election, I =
monitored 5-6=20
polls in the week before the election. None of them gave Gore a=20
significant lead. Most had Gore behind Bush by significant =
margins.=20
We know Gore beat Bush by about half a percentage point in the =
overall=20
popular vote. Why did major polls before the election show Bush =
with a=20
significant lead, yet none showed Gore with a significant lead? =
Is it=20
possible polls are manipulated to create a "winners side" psychology =
to=20
stimulate momentum behind one candidate to encourage voters to be on =
the=20
winning rather than the losing side? After all, Americans are =
obsessed=20
with winning and being number one, are they not? <BR><BR>Ted</FONT>=20
</FONT></BLOCKQUOTE></BODY></HTML>
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