[Vision2020] What is it good for?

[Ted Moffett]

All:

The US will not allow Iraq to fragment into a Kurdish nation (Kurdistan?) in 
the north and Shi'ite nation in the south.  US ally Turkey would go 
ballistic (literally) over the establishment of a Kurdish nation on their 
border.  Turkey fought a very nasty and brutal campaign with human rights 
abuses galore (funny how here in the US this abuse of the Kurds in Turkey 
got meager coverage, yet we hear the mantra of Saddam's abuse of the Kurds 
every hour) to route Kurds within Turkey.  And you can bet the US does not 
want to empower another Islamic style government in the middle east with 
Shi'ites

The US will impose it's own government on Iraq while the spin is given that 
this government represents the Iraq people.  The US already has a list of 
exiled Iraq "leaders" they are considering to rule Iraq post Saddam.  True 
democracy will be difficult for Iraq, of course, but the US will keep Iraq 
together as a nation of sorts, even if it means force to quell a civil war.

It would be seen as a partial defeat of US foreign policy if we allowed Iraq 
to fragment.  Saddam is brutal and ugly, but I'll wager the US has the means 
to force the players in Iraq to "cooperate" with "success."

Ted





>From: "Dale Courtney" <dale@courtneys.us>
>To: <vision2020@moscow.com>
>Subject: RE: [Vision2020] What is it good for?
>Date: Thu, 3 Apr 2003 10:46:28 -0800
>
>Carl wrote:
> > And then you can have a war that enrages the Arab world, to
> > the point where
> > people in Iraq's neighboring countries, who have despised
> > Saddam Hussein,
> > now view him as a folk hero for standing up to what they
> > perceive as an
> > incredibly arrogant American administration.
>
>Perhaps. But today, the Shi'ite leader in Najaf urged his people *not* to
>hinder US troops in their operations there. This was *after* Hussein's call
>for jihad and terrorists to assist in routing the Americans.
>
>It will be interesting to see how this shakes out. Hussein has been
>suppressing ethnic and religious hatred in his country for years (Shi'ites,
>Kurds, etc). His totalitarianism and brutality have kept the pressure 
>cooker
>lid on. It will be interesting to see what happens when the lid comes off. 
>I
>don't think *anything* can keep this together without creating a Kurdish
>nation in the north and Shi'ite nation in the South.
>
>Best,
>Dale
>
>
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