<div dir="ltr">I need to read more carefully... The word "hard" was not misspelled in the title to Gavin Schmidt's Realclimate.org article referenced below. Schmidt must have deliberately made a play on the name of the author of the questionable article, Hermann<font size="4"> Harde.</font><br><div class="gmail_quote">----------------------------------------<br><div dir="ltr"><div>Some of the claims in this article even a layperson student of climate science</div><div>such as myself would immediately know to be false. Good grief! Has "fake news" invaded science publishing?</div><div><br></div><div>The flawed article is given below, from Global and Planetary Change, in an issue that is pending (note the May 2017 reference), though the article is "final and fully citable:"</div><div><br></div><div><a href="http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921818116304787" target="_blank">http://www.sciencedirect.com/<wbr>science/article/pii/<wbr>S0921818116304787</a></div><div><br></div><div><strong>H. Harde, "Scrutinizing the carbon cycle and CO2 residence time in the atmosphere", <i>Global and Planetary Change</i>, 2017</strong>. <a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.gloplacha.2017.02.009" target="_blank"><font color="#000080">http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.<wbr>gloplacha.2017.02.009</font></a></div>------------------------------<wbr>-------- <div class="m_-6801013823813063105gmail-addthis_toolbox m_-6801013823813063105gmail-addthis_default_style m_-6801013823813063105gmail-addthis_">Gavin Schmidt's commentary from Realclimate.org is below, with the comments (42 as of now) section readable at the website below. I just had to correct the misspelling of "hard" as "harde" though a genius like Schmidt could care less about the pedantic spelling police (me):</div><div class="m_-6801013823813063105gmail-addthis_toolbox m_-6801013823813063105gmail-addthis_default_style m_-6801013823813063105gmail-addthis_">------------------------------<wbr>---------</div><div class="m_-6801013823813063105gmail-addthis_toolbox m_-6801013823813063105gmail-addthis_default_style m_-6801013823813063105gmail-addthis_">Vision2020 Post: Ted Moffett</div><div class="m_-6801013823813063105gmail-addthis_toolbox m_-6801013823813063105gmail-addthis_default_style m_-6801013823813063105gmail-addthis_"><br></div><div class="m_-6801013823813063105gmail-addthis_toolbox m_-6801013823813063105gmail-addthis_default_style m_-6801013823813063105gmail-addthis_"><a href="http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2017/02/something-harde-to-believe/" target="_blank">http://www.realclimate.org/<wbr>index.php/archives/2017/02/<wbr>something-harde-to-believe/</a></div><div class="m_-6801013823813063105gmail-addthis_toolbox m_-6801013823813063105gmail-addthis_default_style m_-6801013823813063105gmail-addthis_"><h3 class="m_-6801013823813063105gmail-storytitle" id="m_-6801013823813063105gmail-post-20160">Something Harde to believe…</h3><div class="m_-6801013823813063105gmail-meta">Filed under: <ul class="m_-6801013823813063105gmail-post-categories"><li><a href="http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/category/climate-science/carbon-cycle/" target="_blank" rel="category tag"><font color="#000080">Carbon cycle</font></a></li> <li><a href="http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/category/climate-science/" target="_blank" rel="category tag"><font color="#000080">Climate Science</font></a></li> <li><a href="http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/category/climate-science/ipcc/" target="_blank" rel="category tag"><font color="#000080">IPCC</font></a></li></ul> — gavin @ 25 February 2017 </div><div class="m_-6801013823813063105entry"><div class="m_-6801013823813063105gmail-kcite-section"><p>A commenter brings news of an obviously wrong paper that has just appeared in <a href="http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/09218181" target="_blank"><font color="#000080">Global and Planetary Change</font></a>. <span id="m_-6801013823813063105gmail-cite_ITEM-20160-0" name="citation"><a href="http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2017/02/something-harde-to-believe/#ITEM-20160-0" target="_blank"><font color="#000080">The paper</font></a></span> purports to be a radical revision of our understanding of the carbon cycle by Hermann Harde. The key conclusions are (and reality in green):</p><ul><li>The average residence time of CO2 in the atmosphere is found to be 4 years. <p class="m_-6801013823813063105gmail-response">[The residence time for an individual molecule is not the same as the perturbation response time of the carbon cycle which has timescales of decades to thousands of years.]</p></li><li>The anthropogenic fraction of CO2 in the atmosphere is only 4.3%. <p class="m_-6801013823813063105gmail-response">[Actually, it’s 30%.]</p></li><li>Human emissions only contribute 15% to the CO2 increase over the Industrial Era. <p class="m_-6801013823813063105gmail-response">[It’s all of it.]</p></li></ul><p>Since these points contradict <a href="https://www.skepticalscience.com/human-co2-smaller-than-natural-emissions-intermediate.htm" target="_blank"><font color="#000080">multiple</font></a> <a href="http://www.realclimate.org/index.php?p=87" target="_blank"><font color="#000080">independent</font></a> <a href="http://www.realclimate.org/index.php?p=160" target="_blank"><font color="#000080">sources</font></a> of evidence, I can, without hesitation, predict that there are fundament flaws in this paper that will raise serious questions about the quality of the peer-review that this paper went through. Oddly, this paper is labeled as an “Invited Research Article” and so maybe some questions might be asked of the editor responsible too. </p><p>Notwithstanding <a href="http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2017/02/someone-c-a-r-e-s/" target="_blank"><font color="#000080">our last post</font></a> on the difficulty in getting comments published, this paper is crying out for one. </p><p>But this kind of thing has been done before, does not require any great sophistication or computer modeling to rebut, and has come up so many times before (<a href="https://www.skepticalscience.com/salby_correlation_conundrum.html" target="_blank"><font color="#000080">Salby</font></a> (also <a href="https://quantpalaeo.wordpress.com/2015/04/28/the-most-interesting-part-of-murry-salbys-lecture/" target="_blank"><font color="#000080">here</font></a>), <a href="http://www.biomind.de/treibhaus/180CO2/Response-Beck-by-R-Keeling-2.doc" target="_blank"><font color="#000080">Beck</font></a>, <a href="http://forskning.no/meninger/kronikk/2008/08/co2-okningen-er-ikke-naturlig" target="_blank"><font color="#000080">Segalstad</font></a>, Jaworowski etc.), that perhaps a crowd-sourced rebuttal would be useful. </p><p>So, we’ll set up an <a href="http://overleaf.com" target="_blank">overleaf.com</a> page for this (a site for collaborative LaTeX projects), and anyone who wants to contribute should put the gist of their point in the comments and we’ll send the link so you can add it to the draft. Maybe the citizen scientists among you can pull together a rebuttal faster than the professionals?</p><h2>References</h2><ol><li><a name="m_-6801013823813063105_ITEM-20160-0"></a> H. Harde, "Scrutinizing the carbon cycle and CO2 residence time in the atmosphere", <i>Global and Planetary Change</i>, 2017. <a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.gloplacha.2017.02.009" target="_blank"><font color="#000080">http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.<wbr>gloplacha.2017.02.009</font></a> </li></ol></div> <div class="m_-6801013823813063105gmail-addthis_toolbox m_-6801013823813063105gmail-addthis_default_style m_-6801013823813063105gmail-addthis_"><a title="Facebook" class="m_-6801013823813063105gmail-addthis_button_facebook m_-6801013823813063105gmail-addthis_button_preferred_1 m_-6801013823813063105gmail-at300b" href="http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2017/02/something-harde-to-believe/#" target="_blank"><span class="m_-6801013823813063105gmail-at-icon-wrapper" style="width:16px;height:16px;line-height:16px;background-color:rgb(59,89,152)"></span></a> <a title="Twitter" class="m_-6801013823813063105gmail-addthis_button_twitter m_-6801013823813063105gmail-addthis_button_preferred_2 m_-6801013823813063105gmail-at300b" href="http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2017/02/something-harde-to-believe/#" target="_blank"><span class="m_-6801013823813063105gmail-at-icon-wrapper" style="width:16px;height:16px;line-height:16px;background-color:rgb(29,161,242)"></span></a> <a title="Print" class="m_-6801013823813063105gmail-addthis_button_print m_-6801013823813063105gmail-addthis_button_preferred_3 m_-6801013823813063105gmail-at300b" href="http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2017/02/something-harde-to-believe/#" target="_blank"><span class="m_-6801013823813063105gmail-at-icon-wrapper" style="width:16px;height:16px;line-height:16px;background-color:rgb(115,138,141)"></span></a> <a title="Email" class="m_-6801013823813063105gmail-addthis_button_email m_-6801013823813063105gmail-addthis_button_preferred_4 m_-6801013823813063105gmail-at300b" href="http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2017/02/something-harde-to-believe/#" target="_blank"><span class="m_-6801013823813063105gmail-at-icon-wrapper" style="width:16px;height:16px;line-height:16px;background-color:rgb(132,132,132)"></span></a> <a class="m_-6801013823813063105gmail-addthis_button_compact m_-6801013823813063105gmail-at300m" href="http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2017/02/something-harde-to-believe/#" target="_blank"><span class="m_-6801013823813063105gmail-at-icon-wrapper" style="width:16px;height:16px;line-height:16px;background-color:rgb(255,101,80)"></span></a> <a class="m_-6801013823813063105gmail-addthis_counter m_-6801013823813063105gmail-addthis_bubble_style" style="display:inline-block" href="http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2017/02/something-harde-to-believe/#" target="_blank"></a><a title="More" class="m_-6801013823813063105gmail-addthis_button_expanded" href="http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2017/02/something-harde-to-believe/#" target="_blank"><font color="#000080">9</font></a><a class="m_-6801013823813063105gmail-atc_s m_-6801013823813063105gmail-addthis_button_compact">Share<span></span></a> <a class="m_-6801013823813063105gmail-addthis_button_compact m_-6801013823813063105gmail-at300m" href="http://www.realclimate.org/#" target="_blank"><span class="m_-6801013823813063105gmail-at-icon-wrapper" style="width:16px;height:16px;line-height:16px;background-color:rgb(255,101,80)"></span></a> </div></div></div></div>
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