<div dir="ltr"><br clear="all"><div><div class="" style="margin:0px auto;padding:0px;max-width:730px;min-width:initial;width:586.591px;line-height:1.5em;font-family:NotoNashkArabic,"Helvetica Neue",Helvetica,Roboto,Arial,sans-serif;font-size:medium"><p style="margin:0px 0px 20px;padding:0px;font-size:1.0625rem;line-height:27px"><span style="font-size:1.0625rem"> </span><img src="http://i.huffpost.com/gen/425366/original.jpg" alt="" style="font-size: 1.0625rem; border-style: none; max-width: 100%; height: auto;"><br></p><p style="margin:0px 0px 20px;padding:0px;font-size:1.0625rem;line-height:27px">Donald Trump introduced Indiana Gov. Mike Pence as his running mate July 16, but, in doing so, oversold Indiana’s economic performance under Pence:</p><ul style="margin:0px 0px 20px;padding:0px 0px 0px 2em"><li style="margin:0px 0px 5px;padding:0px;font-size:15px;line-height:22px">Trump praised Pence for reducing the state’s unemployment rate, which has declined by 3.4 percentage points since January 2013. But that tracked the national average, which dropped 3.3 percentage points during that time.</li><li style="margin:0px 0px 5px;padding:0px;font-size:15px;line-height:22px">Trump said it was “very unusual” that Indiana has added 147,000 private-sector jobs. Not really. Florida (12.7 percent) and Utah (12.4 percent), for example, grew jobs at twice the rate of Indiana (5.9 percent). In fact, Indiana’s rate lagged behind 20 states and the District of Columbia.</li><li style="margin:0px 0px 5px;padding:0px;font-size:15px;line-height:22px">Trump praised Pence for balancing the state budget. “Can you imagine a balanced budget,” Trump marveled. But Indiana is legally required to balance the budget, as are all states except Vermont.</li><li style="margin:0px 0px 5px;padding:0px;font-size:15px;line-height:22px">Trump said Indiana has an AAA bond rating. But that has been true since July 2008 — nearly five years before Pence took office. He also said “very few states have that,” when, in fact, 15 states do.</li><li style="margin:0px 0px 5px;padding:0px;font-size:15px;line-height:22px">Trump correctly said that Indiana’s labor force has increased by more than 186,000 people under Pence. But he suggested that that was unusual, saying it is going “down, down, down” in other states. The labor force has gone up in 41 states.</li></ul></div><span style="font-size:1.0625rem;line-height:27px">As the presumptive Republican presidential nominee, Trump introduced his running mate to voters at a</span><span style="font-size:1.0625rem;line-height:27px"> </span><a href="http://www.c-span.org/video/?412804-1/donald-trump-announces-governor-mike-pence-running-mate" style="font-size:1.0625rem;line-height:27px;color:rgb(46,112,97)">July 16 campaign event</a><span style="font-size:1.0625rem;line-height:27px"> </span><span style="font-size:1.0625rem;line-height:27px">in New York. Pence has been Indiana’s governor since</span><span style="font-size:1.0625rem;line-height:27px"> </span><a href="http://www.in.gov/gov/2358.htm" style="font-size:1.0625rem;line-height:27px;color:rgb(46,112,97)">Jan. 14, 2013</a><span style="font-size:1.0625rem;line-height:27px">, and the economy in Indiana, and elsewhere in the country, has improved since then, as the country slowly recovered from the Great Recession, which lasted from</span><span style="font-size:1.0625rem;line-height:27px"> </span><a href="http://www.nber.org/cycles/cyclesmain.html" style="font-size:1.0625rem;line-height:27px;color:rgb(46,112,97)">December 2007 to June 2009</a><span style="font-size:1.0625rem;line-height:27px">.</span><br><div class="" style="margin:0px auto;padding:0px;max-width:730px;min-width:initial;width:586.591px;line-height:1.5em;font-family:NotoNashkArabic,"Helvetica Neue",Helvetica,Roboto,Arial,sans-serif;font-size:medium"><p style="margin:0px 0px 20px;padding:0px;font-size:1.0625rem;line-height:27px">At the event, Trump read from a list of Indiana’s economic statistics, which his campaign later emailed to the media. (He starts speaking about Pence at <a href="http://www.c-span.org/video/?412804-1/donald-trump-announces-governor-mike-pence-running-mate" style="color:rgb(46,112,97)">20 minutes into the C-Span video</a>.) The statistics he cited were accurate. But, in some cases, the businessman embellished the stats with his commentary.</p><h3 style="margin:20px 0px;padding:0px;font-family:ProximaNovaCond-Extrabld,NotoKufiArabic-Bold,"Helvetica Neue",Helvetica,Roboto,Arial,sans-serif;line-height:1em;font-weight:normal;color:rgb(68,68,68);font-size:1.75rem"><strong style="">Unemployment Rate</strong></h3><p style="margin:0px 0px 20px;padding:0px;font-size:1.0625rem;line-height:27px">Trump said the “primary reason” for selecting Pence was the decline in his state’s unemployment rate, which Trump said dropped to “less than 5 percent” this year. That’s close to accurate. As of May, the state’s rate was 5 percent — down from 8.4 percent in January 2013, when Pence became governor, as Trump said. That’s a drop of 3.4 percentage points, according to the <a href="http://data.bls.gov/timeseries/LASST180000000000003" style="color:rgb(46,112,97)">U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics</a>.</p><p style="margin:0px 0px 20px;padding:0px;font-size:1.0625rem;line-height:27px">However, Indiana’s unemployment rate has roughly tracked the national average. During that same time, the national unemployment rate declined from 8 percent to 4.7 percent — a drop of 3.3 percentage points, <a href="http://data.bls.gov/timeseries/LNS14000000" style="color:rgb(46,112,97)">according to BLS</a>.</p><h3 style="margin:20px 0px;padding:0px;font-family:ProximaNovaCond-Extrabld,NotoKufiArabic-Bold,"Helvetica Neue",Helvetica,Roboto,Arial,sans-serif;line-height:1em;font-weight:normal;color:rgb(68,68,68);font-size:1.75rem"><strong style="">Private Sector Growth</strong></h3><p style="margin:0px 0px 20px;padding:0px;font-size:1.0625rem;line-height:27px">Trump also praised Pence for adding private sector jobs. “Private sector job growth is up by more than 147,000 jobs since 2013,” Trump said. “That’s, like, very unusual.”</p><p style="margin:0px 0px 20px;padding:0px;font-size:1.0625rem;line-height:27px">It’s not unusual at all.</p><p style="margin:0px 0px 20px;padding:0px;font-size:1.0625rem;line-height:27px">Indiana has added <a href="http://data.bls.gov/timeseries/SMS18000000500000001" style="color:rgb(46,112,97)">147,800 jobs</a> since 2013, according to BLS. But 18 other states added more jobs. Predictably, larger states such as California (<a href="http://data.bls.gov/timeseries/SMS06000000500000001" style="color:rgb(46,112,97)">1.3 million</a>) and Texas (<a href="http://data.bls.gov/timeseries/SMS48000000500000001" style="color:rgb(46,112,97)">840,000</a>) had larger gains, but so did states with smaller<a href="http://factfinder.census.gov/faces/tableservices/jsf/pages/productview.xhtml?src=bkmk" style="color:rgb(46,112,97)">populations</a>, such as South Carolina (<a href="http://data.bls.gov/timeseries/SMS45000000500000001" style="color:rgb(46,112,97)">152,000</a>) and Oregon (<a href="http://data.bls.gov/timeseries/SMS41000000500000001" style="color:rgb(46,112,97)">157,000</a>).</p><p style="margin:0px 0px 20px;padding:0px;font-size:1.0625rem;line-height:27px">More importantly, Indiana’s private-sector job growth rate — the percent change in the state’s number of private-sector jobs — lagged behind 20 states and the District of Columbia, according to <a href="http://cdn.factcheck.org/UploadedFiles/2016/07/Job-Growth.xlsx" style="color:rgb(46,112,97)">our analysis of BLS data</a>.</p><p style="margin:0px 0px 20px;padding:0px;font-size:1.0625rem;line-height:27px">Indiana’s job growth rate was 5.9 percent. Florida led the way with a 12.7 percent increase, followed by Utah (12.4 percent) and Oregon (11.5 percent).</p><h3 style="margin:20px 0px;padding:0px;font-family:ProximaNovaCond-Extrabld,NotoKufiArabic-Bold,"Helvetica Neue",Helvetica,Roboto,Arial,sans-serif;line-height:1em;font-weight:normal;color:rgb(68,68,68);font-size:1.75rem"><strong style="">Balanced Budgets</strong></h3><p style="margin:0px 0px 20px;padding:0px;font-size:1.0625rem;line-height:27px">Trump also praised Pence for balancing the state budget, suggesting that it was unusual. But it is not at all unusual at the state level because of constitutional and legal requirements.</p><blockquote style="margin:5px 0px 25px;padding:15px 15px 15px 30px;color:rgb(141,141,141);border:none;line-height:1.5em;font-size:15px;font-style:italic;background:transparent"><p style="margin:0px;padding:0px;font-size:1.0625rem;line-height:27px"><strong style="">Trump, July 16</strong>: Governor Pence balanced the budget — can you imagine a balanced budget? Our budget is so out of whack in this country we don’t know what we are doing. We’re going to owe very soon $21 trillion dollars. He balanced the budget. They don’t know what that means.</p></blockquote><p style="margin:0px 0px 20px;padding:0px;font-size:1.0625rem;line-height:27px">Like nearly all states, Indiana is <a href="http://www.ncsl.org/research/fiscal-policy/state-constitutional-and-statutory-requirements-fo.aspx#in" style="color:rgb(46,112,97)">legally required</a> to balance the budget. “All the states except Vermont have a legal requirement of a balanced budget,”<a href="http://www.ncsl.org/research/fiscal-policy/state-balanced-budget-requirements.aspx" style="color:rgb(46,112,97)">according to the National Conference of State Legislatures</a>.</p><h3 style="margin:20px 0px;padding:0px;font-family:ProximaNovaCond-Extrabld,NotoKufiArabic-Bold,"Helvetica Neue",Helvetica,Roboto,Arial,sans-serif;line-height:1em;font-weight:normal;color:rgb(68,68,68);font-size:1.75rem"><strong style="">Indiana’s Bond Rating</strong></h3><p style="margin:0px 0px 20px;padding:0px;font-size:1.0625rem;line-height:27px">Trump also touted Indiana’s bond rating. “It’s also rated triple A — their bonds, are rated triple A. Very few states have that,” Trump said.</p><p style="margin:0px 0px 20px;padding:0px;font-size:1.0625rem;line-height:27px">Indiana does have a AAA bond rating, but that has been the case since July 18, 2008,<a href="https://www.globalcreditportal.com/ratingsdirect/renderArticle.do?articleId=1603734&SctArtId=380256&from=CM&nsl_code=LIME&sourceObjectId=2185306&sourceRevId=190&fee_ind=N&exp_date=20260329-19:55:35" style="color:rgb(46,112,97)">according to Standard & Poor’s latest “History of U.S. State Ratings</a>.” That’s nearly five years before Pence took office.</p><p style="margin:0px 0px 20px;padding:0px;font-size:1.0625rem;line-height:27px">As of July 11, 2016, 14 other states currently have AAA ratings, so Trump exaggerates when he says that “very few states have that.” They are: Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Iowa, Maryland, Missouri, Nebraska, North Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Virginia and Wyoming. That’s nearly one third of all states.</p><h3 style="margin:20px 0px;padding:0px;font-family:ProximaNovaCond-Extrabld,NotoKufiArabic-Bold,"Helvetica Neue",Helvetica,Roboto,Arial,sans-serif;line-height:1em;font-weight:normal;color:rgb(68,68,68);font-size:1.75rem"><strong style="">Indiana’s Labor Force</strong></h3><p style="margin:0px 0px 20px;padding:0px;font-size:1.0625rem;line-height:27px">Trump correctly said that Indiana’s labor force has increased by more than 186,000 people under Pence. But then he suggested that it was unusual for a state to see an increase in its labor force, based on his experience campaigning in other states.</p><blockquote style="margin:5px 0px 25px;padding:15px 15px 15px 30px;color:rgb(141,141,141);border:none;line-height:1.5em;font-size:15px;font-style:italic;background:transparent"><p style="margin:0px;padding:0px;font-size:1.0625rem;line-height:27px"><strong style="">Trump, July 16</strong>: Since January 2013, Indiana’s labor force has increased by more than 186,000 jobs. You have to understand I’ve gone around to all these states — I’ve gone to all of them — and every time I have statisticians, and I say, “Give me the stats on a state,” and it’s always bad. Down, down, down. Down 40 percent, 50 percent, 60 percent in some cases. Here’s somebody where it’s gone up.</p></blockquote><p style="margin:0px 0px 20px;padding:0px;font-size:1.0625rem;line-height:27px">Indiana has seen an above average increase in its labor force. The addition of 186,527 people in the state’s labor force since January 2013 represents a 5.9 percent increase, <a href="http://data.bls.gov/timeseries/LASST180000000000006" style="color:rgb(46,112,97)">according to BLS</a>. Our <a href="http://cdn.factcheck.org/UploadedFiles/2016/07/Labor-Force-Statistics.xlsx" style="color:rgb(46,112,97)">analysis</a> shows that only six states and the District of Columbia have seen greater growth rates, with Delaware (8.9 percent) leading the way.</p><p style="margin:0px 0px 20px;padding:0px;font-size:1.0625rem;line-height:27px">However, to imply that no other state has seen an increase — or that they have seen steep decreases — is wrong.</p><p style="margin:0px 0px 20px;padding:0px;font-size:1.0625rem;line-height:27px">A total of 41 states and the District of Columbia have all seen increases in its labor force. Nine states have seen decreases. They are Virginia, New Mexico, Rhode Island, Alaska, Vermont, Wyoming, West Virginia, Maine and Kentucky.</p><p style="margin:0px 0px 20px;padding:0px;font-size:1.0625rem;line-height:27px">Trump is hardly the first to overstate economic achievements. We have written <a href="http://www.factcheck.org/2007/08/richardsons-job-boast/" style="color:rgb(46,112,97)">numerous</a> <a href="http://www.factcheck.org/2012/01/romneys-shaky-job-claims/" style="color:rgb(46,112,97)">such</a> <a href="http://www.factcheck.org/2014/11/bidens-boasts/" style="color:rgb(46,112,97)">stories</a> <a href="http://www.factcheck.org/2015/04/chris-christie-spins-economic-data/" style="color:rgb(46,112,97)">over</a> <a href="http://www.factcheck.org/2015/05/huckabee-exaggerates-states-income-gains/" style="color:rgb(46,112,97)">the</a> <a href="http://www.factcheck.org/2014/05/tom-corbetts-tall-story/" style="color:rgb(46,112,97)">years</a>. He is just the latest to do so.</p></div><h4 class="" style="margin:8px auto;padding:0px;line-height:22px;font-size:0.875rem;color:rgb(153,153,153);max-width:630px;min-width:initial;width:586.591px">Also on HuffPost</h4></div>-- <br><div class="gmail_signature" data-smartmail="gmail_signature"><div dir="ltr"><div> <div style="height:auto;width:auto"> <div> <div><div><br></div></div></div></div></div><div><div><div><div><div><div><div><font size="2"><span style="font-size:10pt"><div><span style="font-size:13.3333px">A society grows great when old men plant trees whose shade they know they shall never sit in. </span><br style="font-size:13.3333px"><br style="font-size:13.3333px"><span style="font-size:13.3333px">-Greek proverb</span></div><div><br>
“Enlightenment is man’s emergence from his self-imposed immaturity.
Immaturity is the inability to use one’s understanding without guidance
from another. This immaturity is self- imposed when its cause lies not
in lack of understanding, but in lack of resolve and courage to use it
without guidance from another. Sapere Aude! ‘Have courage to use your
own understand-ing!—that is the motto of enlightenment.<br>
<br>
--Immanuel Kant<br>
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