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<div class="">January 15, 2013</div>
<h1>Obama’s 1-2 Punch?</h1>
<h6 class="">By
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<a href="http://topics.nytimes.com/top/opinion/editorialsandoped/oped/columnists/thomaslfriedman/index.html" rel="author" title="More Articles by THOMAS L. FRIEDMAN"><span>THOMAS L. FRIEDMAN</span></a></span></h6>
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<p>
If election campaigns are supposed to be an exercise in coming to grips
with our biggest problems, then the one we just went through was a
dismal failure. Our only real solution — a strategy to reignite
consistent growth so we can narrow our income gaps and lift the middle
class — never got a serious airing. Instead, each side was focused on
how to secure a bigger slice of a shrinking pie for its own base. This
lousy campaign produced the worst of all outcomes: President Obama won
on a platform that had little to do with our core problems and is only a
small part of the solution — raising taxes on the wealthy — so he has
little incentive to rethink his strategy. And the Republicans did not
lose badly enough — they held the House — to have to fully rethink their
strategy. It does not bode well. </p>
<p>
In his book “The Moral Consequences of Economic Growth,” the Harvard
economist Benjamin Friedman argues that periods of economic growth have
been essential to American political progress; periods of economic
prosperity were periods of greater social, political and religious
harmony and tolerance. On Sunday, The Times’s Annie Lowrey wrote a piece
quoting Friedman who wondered aloud whether we’re not now entering a
reverse cycle, “in which our absence of growth is delivering political
paralysis, and the political paralysis preserves the absence of growth.”
</p>
<p>
I think he’s right and that the only way to break out of this deadly
cycle is with extraordinary leadership. Republicans and Democrats would
have to govern in just the opposite way they ran their campaigns — by
offering bold plans that not only challenge the other’s base but their
own and thereby mobilizes the center, a big majority, behind their
agenda, to break the deadlock. If either party does that, not only will
it win the day but the country will win as well. </p>
<p>
What would that look like? If the Republican Party had a brain it would
give up on its debt-ceiling gambit and announce instead that it wants to
open negotiations immediately with President Obama on the basis of <em>his own</em>
deficit commission, the Simpson-Bowles plan. That would at least make
the G.O.P. a serious opposition party again — with a platform that might
actually appeal outside its base and challenge the president in a
healthy way. But the G.O.P. would have to embrace the tax reforms and
spending cuts in Simpson-Bowles first. Fat chance. And that’s a pity.
</p>
<p>
As for Obama, if he really wants to lead, he will have to finally trust
the American people with the truth. I’d love to see him use his Jan. 21
Inaugural Address and his Feb. 12 State of the Union Message as a
one-two punch to do just that — offer a detailed, honest diagnosis and
then a detailed, honest prescription. </p>
<p>
On the diagnosis side, Obama needs to explain to Americans the world in
which they’re now living. It’s a world in which the increasing velocity
of globalization and the Information Technology revolution are reshaping
every job, workplace and industry. As a result, the mantra that if you
“just work hard and play by the rules” you should expect a middle-class
lifestyle is no longer operable. Today you need to work harder and
smarter, learn and re-learn faster and longer to be in the middle class.
The high-wage, middle-skilled job is a thing of the past. Today’s
high-wage or decent-wage jobs all require higher skills, passion or
curiosity. Government’s job is to help provide citizens with as many
lifelong learning opportunities as possible to hone such skills. </p>
<p>
In the State of the Union, I’d love to see Obama lay out a detailed plan
for tax reform, spending cuts and investments — to meet the <em>real scale</em>
of our problem and spur economic growth. We’ll get much more bang for
our buck by deciding now what we’re going to do in all three areas, and
signaling markets that we are putting in place a truly balanced
approach, but gradually phasing it in. If you tell investors and savers
that we’re going to put our fiscal house in order with a credible plan,
but one that is gradually phased in, all the money now sitting on the
sidelines paralyzed by uncertainty will get off the sidelines and we’ll
have a real stimulus. </p>
<p>
As for investment, I’d love to see the president launch us on an
aspirational journey. My choice would be to connect every home and
business in America to the Internet at one gigabit per second, or about
200 times faster than our current national household average, in five
years. In an age when mining big data will be a huge industry, when
online lifelong learning will be a vital necessity, and when we can’t
stimulate our way to prosperity but have to invent our way there, no
project would be more relevant. </p>
<p>
I still believe that America’s rich and the middle classes would pay
more taxes and trim entitlements if they thought it was for a plan that
was fair, would truly address our long-term fiscal imbalances and set
America on a journey of renewal that would ensure our kids have a crack
at the American dream. Then again, I may be wrong. Maybe my baby-boomer
generation really does intend to eat it all and leave our kids a ticking
debt bomb. If only we had a second-term president, unencumbered by ever
having to run again, who was ready to test what really bold leadership
might produce. </p>
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