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<div class="timestamp">May 20, 2012</div>
<h1>Dimon’s Déjà Vu Debacle</h1>
<span><h6 class="byline">By <a rel="author" href="http://topics.nytimes.com/top/opinion/editorialsandoped/oped/columnists/paulkrugman/index.html?inline=nyt-per" title="More Articles by Paul Krugman" class="meta-per">PAUL KRUGMAN</a></h6>
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<p>
Sometimes it’s hard to explain why we need strong <a href="http://topics.nytimes.com/topics/reference/timestopics/subjects/c/credit_crisis/financial_regulatory_reform/index.html?inline=nyt-classifier" title="More articles about financial regulatory reform." class="meta-classifier">financial regulation</a>
— especially in an era saturated with pro-business, pro-market
propaganda. So we should always be grateful when someone makes the case
for regulation more compelling and easier to understand. And this week,
that means offering a special shout-out to two men: <a href="http://topics.nytimes.com/top/reference/timestopics/people/d/james_dimon/index.html?inline=nyt-per" title="More articles about James Dimon." class="meta-per">Jamie Dimon</a> and <a href="http://elections.nytimes.com/2012/primaries/candidates/mitt-romney?inline=nyt-per" title="More articles about Mitt Romney." class="meta-per">Mitt Romney</a>. </p>
<p>
I’ll come back shortly to the troubles at JPMorgan Chase, the bank Mr.
Dimon runs. First, however, let me talk about Mr. Romney, whose remarks
about those troubles were so off-point that they constitute a teachable
moment. </p>
<p>
Here’s what the presumptive Republican presidential nominee said about
JPMorgan’s $2 billion loss (which may actually have been $3 billion, or
$5 billion, or more, but who’s counting?): “This was a loss to
shareholders and owners of JPMorgan and that’s the way America works.
Some people experienced a loss in this case because of a bad decision.
By the way, there was someone who made a gain.” </p>
<p>
What’s wrong with this statement? Well, suppose that someone — say,
Jimmy Stewart in the movie “It’s a Wonderful Life” — runs a bank that
takes in deposits and invests the money in various ways. And suppose
that one of those investments is a risky bet on some complex financial
instrument, with Mr. Potter, the evil plutocrat, on the other side.
</p>
<p>
If Jimmy Stewart’s bet pays off, we’re in Romneyworld: he’s made money,
Mr. Potter has lost money, and that’s that. But suppose Jimmy Stewart
loses his bet. If the bet was big enough, he no longer has enough assets
to pay off his depositors. His bank collapses, probably in a chaotic
bank run that takes down the whole town’s economy as collateral damage.
Mr. Potter makes money on the deal, but so what? </p>
<p>
The point is that it’s not O.K. for banks to take the kinds of risks
that are acceptable for individuals, because when banks take on too much
risk they put the whole economy in jeopardy — unless they can count on
being bailed out. And the prospect of such bailouts, of course, only
strengthens the case that banks shouldn’t be allowed to run wild, since
they are in effect gambling with taxpayers’ money. </p>
<p>
Incidentally, how is it possible that Mr. Romney doesn’t understand all
of this? His whole candidacy is based on the claim that his experience
at extracting money from troubled businesses means that he’ll know how
to run the economy — yet whenever he talks about economic policy, he
comes across as completely clueless. </p>
<p>
Anyway, it goes without saying that Jamie Dimon is no Jimmy Stewart. But
he has, in a way, been playing Jimmy Stewart on TV, posing as a
responsible banker who knows how to manage risk — and therefore the
point man in Wall Street’s fight to block any tightening of regulations
despite the immense damage deregulated banks have already inflicted on
our economy. Trust us, Mr. Dimon has in effect been saying, we’ve got
this covered and it won’t happen again. </p>
<p>
Now the truth is coming out. That multibillion-dollar loss wasn’t an
isolated event; it was an accident waiting to happen. For even as Mr.
Dimon was giving speeches about responsible banking, his own institution
was heaping on the risk. “The unit at the center of JPMorgan’s $2
billion trading loss,” reports The Financial Times, “has built up
positions totaling more than $100 billion in asset-backed securities and
structured products — the complex, risky bonds at the center of the
financial crisis in 2008. These holdings are in addition to those in
credit <a href="http://topics.nytimes.com/top/reference/timestopics/subjects/d/derivatives/index.html?inline=nyt-classifier" title="More articles about derviatives." class="meta-classifier">derivatives</a> which led to the losses.” </p>
<p>
And what was going on as these positions were being accumulated? According to a fascinating report in <a title="Times article." href="http://www.nytimes.com/2012/05/20/business/discord-at-jpmorgan-investment-office-blamed-in-huge-loss.html?_r=1&hp">Sunday’s Times</a>,
the reality behind JPMorgan’s facade of competence was a scene all too
reminiscent of the behavior that brought down firms like A.I.G. in 2008:
arrogant executives shouting down anyone who tried to question their
activities, top management that didn’t ask questions as long as the
money kept rolling in. It really is déjà vu all over again. </p>
<p>
The point, again, is that an institution like JPMorgan — a
too-big-to-fail bank, not to mention a bank whose deposits are already
guaranteed by U.S. taxpayers — shouldn’t be engaged in this kind of
speculative investment at all. And that’s why we need a return to much
stronger financial regulation, stronger even than the Dodd-Frank
regulations passed back in 2010. </p>
<p>
Will we get that kind of regulation? Not if Mr. Romney wins, obviously;
he wants to repeal Dodd-Frank, and in general has made it clear that he
would do everything in his power to set us up for another financial
crisis. Even if President Obama is re-elected, getting the kind of
regulation we need will be an uphill struggle. But as Mr. Dimon’s
debacle has just demonstrated, that struggle remains as necessary as
ever. </p>
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<br clear="all"><br>-- <br>Art Deco (Wayne A. Fox)<br><a href="mailto:art.deco.studios@gmail.com" target="_blank">art.deco.studios@gmail.com</a><br>