<html><body><div style="color:#000; background-color:#fff; font-family:tahoma, new york, times, serif;font-size:10pt"><div style="RIGHT: auto"><SPAN style="RIGHT: auto">This leads me to ask a few questions.</SPAN></div>
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<div style="RIGHT: auto"><SPAN style="RIGHT: auto">Wouldn't it be wiser to put the seeds in places all over the world rather than one single spot. If a natural <SPAN style="RIGHT: auto" id=misspell-0><SPAN>catastrophe</SPAN></SPAN> were to occur, it would seem more likely the species would <SPAN style="RIGHT: auto" id=misspell-1><SPAN>survive</SPAN></SPAN> spread out rather than putting all the seeds (eggs) in one vault (basket). As if humans really know where the safest spot is. </SPAN></div>
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<div style="RIGHT: auto"><SPAN style="RIGHT: auto">Wouldn't the same world conditions that wiped out the plant life also wipe out the seeds once or if they became a plant?</SPAN></div>
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<div style="RIGHT: auto"><SPAN style="RIGHT: auto">Isn't it likely that a billion starving people would just eat the seeds rather than starve to death waiting for a plant to bear fruit? As has happened many places before.</SPAN></div>
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<div style="RIGHT: auto"><SPAN style="RIGHT: auto">As for people not finding enough calories, I don't think that is a problem in the <SPAN style="RIGHT: auto" id=misspell-3><SPAN>foreseeable</SPAN></SPAN> future for the US with 2/3 of adults on the verge of obesity. Many Americans could stop stuffing their faces right now and still have enough calories to last them to 2050.</SPAN></div>
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<div style="RIGHT: auto"><SPAN style="RIGHT: auto">If you really want to ensure <VAR id=yui-ie-cursor></VAR>the <SPAN style="RIGHT: auto" id=misspell-0><SPAN>survival</SPAN></SPAN> of plants in the future, lock 4.5 billion humans inside a big vault in Longyearbyen instead. </SPAN></div>
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<div style="RIGHT: auto"><SPAN style="RIGHT: auto">Donovan J. Arnold</SPAN></div>
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<DIV style="BORDER-BOTTOM: #ccc 1px solid; BORDER-LEFT: #ccc 1px solid; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; LINE-HEIGHT: 0; MARGIN: 5px 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 0px; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; HEIGHT: 0px; FONT-SIZE: 0px; BORDER-TOP: #ccc 1px solid; BORDER-RIGHT: #ccc 1px solid; PADDING-TOP: 0px" class=hr contentEditable=false readonly="true"></DIV><B><SPAN style="FONT-WEIGHT: bold">From:</SPAN></B> Ted Moffett <starbliss@gmail.com><BR><B><SPAN style="FONT-WEIGHT: bold">To:</SPAN></B> Moscow Vision 2020 <vision2020@moscow.com> <BR><B><SPAN style="FONT-WEIGHT: bold">Sent:</SPAN></B> Sunday, May 20, 2012 11:54 AM<BR><B><SPAN style="FONT-WEIGHT: bold">Subject:</SPAN></B> [Vision2020] Documentary "Seed Warriors"<BR></FONT></DIV><BR>Fascinating documentary "Seed Warriors" features University of<BR>Washington climate scientist David Battisti, who has published science<BR>relating to anthropogenic climate change impacts on global food<BR>production.<BR><BR>Info about the
global seed bank, is at websites below. Lower down is<BR>info on a paper authored by Battisti in "Science" magazine, on global<BR>food production under global warming:<BR><BR>http://www.linktv.org/programs/seed-warriors<BR><BR>http://www.viewchange.org/videos/seed-warriors<BR><BR>http://seedwarriors.org/en/film/<BR><BR>In the remote Norwegian town of Longyearbyen, just 1000 kilometres<BR>from the North Pole, politicians from around the world came to<BR>celebrate the opening of the world’s first global seed bank. After<BR>years of difficult negotiations and searching for the right spot, this<BR>was deemed to be the safest place on earth. Eventually, 4.5 million<BR>seed samples will be stored in this "Doomsday Vault" and ensure the<BR>continued existence of biodiversity.<BR><BR>But is the dream of global food security achievable? By 2050<BR>temperatures worldwide are expected to rise by at least 2 degrees.<BR>This will result in a 30 per cent drop
in production of food crops. By<BR>this time global food demand will have doubled. How will we feed the<BR>world?<BR><BR>--------------------------------<BR>http://www.sciencemag.org/content/323/5911/240.short<BR><BR>Science 9 January 2009:<BR>Vol. 323 no. 5911 pp. 240-244<BR>DOI: 10.1126/science.1164363<BR><BR>Historical Warnings of Future Food Insecurity with Unprecedented Seasonal Heat<BR><BR>David. S. Battisti1 and Rosamond L. Naylor2<BR><BR>Higher growing season temperatures can have dramatic impacts on<BR>agricultural productivity, farm incomes, and food security. We used<BR>observational data and output from 23 global climate models to show a<BR>high probability (>90%) that growing season temperatures in the<BR>tropics and subtropics by the end of the 21st century will exceed the<BR>most extreme seasonal temperatures recorded from 1900 to 2006. In<BR>temperate regions, the hottest seasons on record will represent the<BR>future norm in many
locations. We used historical examples to<BR>illustrate the magnitude of damage to food systems caused by extreme<BR>seasonal heat and show that these short-run events could become<BR>long-term trends without sufficient investments in adaptation.<BR>------------------------------------------<BR>Vision2020 Post: Ted Moffett<BR><BR>=======================================================<BR>List services made available by First Step Internet,<BR>serving the communities of the Palouse since 1994.<BR> http://www.fsr.net<BR> mailto:<A href="mailto:Vision2020@moscow.com" ymailto="mailto:Vision2020@moscow.com">Vision2020@moscow.com</A><BR>=======================================================<BR><BR><BR></DIV></DIV></div></body></html>