<div class="post-9474 post type-post status-publish format-standard hentry category-uncategorized tag-barack-obama tag-mitt-romney entry " id="entry-9474"><span class="timestamp published" title="2012-04-04T21:33:25+00:00"> <span class="date">April 4, 2012, <em>9:33 pm The New York Times</em></span></span><h1 class="entry-title">
It’s Mitt! Oh No.</h1> <address class="byline author vcard">By <a href="http://campaignstops.blogs.nytimes.com/author/charles-m-blow/" class="url fn" title="See all posts by CHARLES M. BLOW">CHARLES M. BLOW</a></address><div class="entry-content">
<p>The
dream is dying. There will be no dynamic, charismatic, Reaganesque
Republican presidential nominee this cycle. There won’t even be a
consistent conservative. There will only be Mitt Romney.</p><p>With his
wins on Tuesday in Wisconsin, Maryland and the District of Columbia,
Romney has virtually guaranteed his lock on the Republican nomination
and has practically thrown a bucket of ice water on his party’s desire
for a transformative right-wing figure who could convincingly sell its
draconian budget priorities and regressive social agenda to an
increasingly weary middle.</p><p>Rick Santorum may continue his quixotic
crusade to be the regional candidate of the deeply reticent Deep South,
but with each contest the math becomes increasingly more difficult,
even impossible, to deny. Romney will win. We’re just waiting for “The
Rooster” to crow, and for the real contest to begin.</p><p>As the Washington Post pointed out Wednesday:</p><blockquote><p>Mitt
Romney won some elusive demographics. Exit polls from the Wisconsin
primary Tuesday showed Romney expanding his appeal to groups that have
consistently voted against him this year, including evangelical
Christians, voters who describe themselves as “very conservative,”
strong supporters of the Tea Party movement and voters making less than
$50,000 per year.</p></blockquote><p>But this is likely the result of
resignation, not enthusiasm. Those very conservative holdouts could hold
back Mitt’s money and momentum for only so long. Eventually, wishful
thinking gives way to pragmatism. The reckoning always comes. </p><p>It’s Mitt — the flavorless force who is willing to flow in any direction to get a vote.</p><p>For
many Republicans, Romney’s greatest virtue is that he is not President
Obama. But that may also be his greatest weakness. Being A.B.O. (anyone
but Obama) doesn’t necessarily make you able. The protest vote will
carry a candidate only so far. It ensures the support of the base, but
not the middle. And in a general election, the middle must be won.
Candidates must connect with the people there and passionately sell a
vision of America that resonates with them.</p><p>This may well be
Romney’s biggest challenge. Obama can be scintillating on the campaign
trail. Romney has shown himself to be nearly catatonic. Obama is such an
impressive speaker that it sometimes feels as if he’s trying too hard
to prove something; Romney is such an awkward speaker that it often
feels as if he’s hiding something. But when framing a vision, even
magniloquence beats ineloquence.</p><p>Furthermore, Romney let the
primary season push him dangerously far to the right, in an effort to
capture that elusive “severely conservative” vote. That’s good for now,
but bad for later. Modern elections are fought over a thin margin in the
middle. No amount of Etch A Sketch, shake-it-up-and-start-all-over
resets will be able to expunge the rhetoric of a hyper-partisan primary.
YouTube, ever heard of it? </p><p>According to <a href="http://abcnews.go.com/blogs/politics/2012/03/record-number-see-romney-negatively-obama-outpaces-him-in-popularity/">an ABC/Washington Post poll</a> released last week:</p>
<blockquote><p>Mitt
Romney trails Barack Obama by 19 points in basic popularity as the 2012
presidential contest inches closer to the main event, with a record 50
percent of Americans in the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll now
rating Romney unfavorably over all.</p></blockquote><p>Perhaps more ominously, <a href="http://www.usatoday.com/news/politics/story/2012-04-01/swing-states-poll/53930684/1#.T3jAbMmy4go.twitter">USA Today reported</a> this week that:</p>
<blockquote><p>President
Obama has opened the first significant lead of the 2012 campaign in the
nation’s dozen top battleground states, a USA TODAY/Gallup Poll finds,
boosted by a huge shift of women to his side.</p></blockquote><p>That
sound you hear is the sound of despair — the hard swallowing and deep
breathing by reluctant Republicans crossing their fingers and praying
for the best.</p><p>Maybe Romney will pick a game-changing running mate. Remember how well that worked last time?</p></div></div>