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    On 07/13/2011 04:32 PM, Ted Moffett wrote:
    <blockquote
cite="mid:CAJ-QB6VATxywkw-k64Na484dZFCD01y_Gc+33e=W9rrWWW+s-w@mail.gmail.com"
      type="cite">
      <div>Thanks for posting the article on climate and science.</div>
      <div> </div>
      <div>I have written a long comment on "Experts and Global Warming"
      </div>
      <div>that I will not post till I rewrite and edit, assuming I get
        around to it...</div>
      <div> </div>
      <div>But the statement "I'm just not comfortable following the
        orders of our Global Climate Science Overlords blindly, because
        I've learned not to trust them." is so incredible, I hope that
        it was meant in jest, or as a parody, or as bait for discussion.</div>
    </blockquote>
    <br>
    The "Global Climate Science Overlords" bit was in direct response to
    the article that was arguing that we should not question the science
    of the climate experts.   It's a reference to a Simpson's quote that
    I see on the Internet regularly as a standing joke of the form "I,
    for one, welcome our new _______ overlords."<br>
    <br>
    <blockquote
cite="mid:CAJ-QB6VATxywkw-k64Na484dZFCD01y_Gc+33e=W9rrWWW+s-w@mail.gmail.com"
      type="cite">
      <div> </div>
      <div>The level of paranoid extreme conspiracy implied by this
        statement is so over the top all I can do is laugh, except when
        I realize there are a scary number of people who actually
        literally in all seriousness think in this manner...</div>
    </blockquote>
    <br>
    I find it just as frightening that *any* criticism of climate
    scientists is seen as a statement that there is a "paranoid extreme
    conspiracy".  I have good reasons for not trusting some of the major
    figures in climate science.  Mann, for example, and his "hockey
    stick" graph.<br>
    <br>
    <blockquote
cite="mid:CAJ-QB6VATxywkw-k64Na484dZFCD01y_Gc+33e=W9rrWWW+s-w@mail.gmail.com"
      type="cite">
      <div> </div>
      <div>Then I stop laughing!</div>
      <div> </div>
      <div>Do you really, really believe the numerous competent and
        professional scientists involved with numerous scientific
        organizations in many nations, who have been researching and
        publishing on climate science for over 100 years, represent some
        sort of global conspiracy as "Global Climate Science
        Overlords?"  </div>
    </blockquote>
    <br>
    Nope.  But I do think that some of the more prominent ones have
    forgotten they are actual scientists and not political figures of
    some kind.  That's just my opinion, though.<br>
    <br>
    <blockquote
cite="mid:CAJ-QB6VATxywkw-k64Na484dZFCD01y_Gc+33e=W9rrWWW+s-w@mail.gmail.com"
      type="cite">
      <div> </div>
      <div>An in-depth study of the history of climate science reveals
        that by 1980, the general outlines of the science indicating
        that human sourced CO2 emissions, if continued unabated, were
        likely to substantially alter climate, was already established,
        long before this issue became a political, ideological and
        economic battleground.  These scientists were for the most part
        humbly pursuing their discipline in obscurity, trying to do
        competent science and pursue their careers.  To imply they were
        a part of an order of "Global Overlords" is hilarious and
        incredible!  Since 1980, the scientific evidence, after
        extensive and rigorous skepticism and re-examination, has only
        for the most part further confirmed the work of those earlier
        climate scientists.  </div>
    </blockquote>
    <br>
    Climate science is a young field.  The first actual degree offered
    in climatology was a BS in climatology offered by the University of
    South Queensland in Australia with the first enrollments in the
    degree in 2001.  I think it's a bit soon in a field that looks at
    time spans of 30+ years to say that we've pretty much concluded what
    the answers are.<br>
    <br>
    <blockquote
cite="mid:CAJ-QB6VATxywkw-k64Na484dZFCD01y_Gc+33e=W9rrWWW+s-w@mail.gmail.com"
      type="cite">
      <div> </div>
      <div>The field of climate science is perhaps the most vigorously
        vetted and critically examined scientific field, in part because
        of the intense political and ideological attacks against its
        integrity.  There is substantial evidence that the primary
        scientific fraud or hoax involved in climate science in the
        media and Internet, is the well funded and politically supported
        junk science agenda to discredit the work of the aforementioned
        climate scientists, who had no agenda except competent science (<a
          moz-do-not-send="true"
          href="http://www.mark-bowen.com/book_cs.html">http://www.mark-bowen.com/book_cs.html</a> : 
        <span id="btAsinTitle">Censoring Science: Inside the Political
          Attack on Dr. James Hansen and the Truth of Global Warming ).</span></div>
    </blockquote>
    <br>
    There may indeed be a well funded, politically supported junk
    science agenda, I wouldn't know.  That's not where I get my info.  <br>
    <br>
    I'll have to get a copy of that book, it looks interesting.  <br>
    <br>
    Paul<br>
    <br>
    <blockquote
cite="mid:CAJ-QB6VATxywkw-k64Na484dZFCD01y_Gc+33e=W9rrWWW+s-w@mail.gmail.com"
      type="cite">
      <div> </div>
      <div>I could expand on this theme for a thousand pages, but I'll
        simply once again offer an essay on the history of the
        scientific study of the CO2 greenhouse effect, going back over
        100 years, from the American Institute of Physics... And then
        for those inclined to paranoid conspiracy theories about climate
        science "Global Overlords", I'll once again reference one of the
        best satires on this paranoia, "The Knights Carbonic," from
        George Monbiot:</div>
      <div> </div>
      <div><font size="5">The</font><a moz-do-not-send="true"
          name="L000"></a><font size="5"> Carbon Dioxide Greenhouse
          Effect</font></div>
      <p><a moz-do-not-send="true"
          href="http://www.aip.org/history/climate/co2.htm">http://www.aip.org/history/climate/co2.htm</a></p>
      <div>------------------------------------------------------</div>
      <div>
        <h1 class="firstChild">The Knights Carbonic</h1>
        <h2 class="lastChild">November 23, 2009 <br>
          <a moz-do-not-send="true"
            href="http://www.monbiot.com/2009/11/23/the-knights-carbonic/">http://www.monbiot.com/2009/11/23/the-knights-carbonic/</a></h2>
        <p>Yes, the hacked climate emails are damaging. But here’s the
          one you’d need to see if you wanted to show that manmade
          global warming is a scam.</p>
        <p><span id="more-1224" class="firstChild lastChild"></span></p>
        <p>By George Monbiot, published in the Guardian, 23rd November
          2009</p>
        <p>It’s no use pretending that this isn’t a major blow. The
          emails extracted by a hacker from the climatic research unit
          at the University of East Anglia could scarcely be more
          damaging(<a moz-do-not-send="true" class="firstChild
            lastChild" href="http://www.anelegantchaos.org/"><font
              color="#cc0000">1</font></a>). I am now convinced that
          they are genuine, and I’m dismayed and deeply shaken by them.</p>
        <p>Yes, the messages were obtained illegally. Yes, all of us say
          things in emails that would be excruciating if made public.
          Yes, some of the comments have been taken out of context. But
          there are some messages that require no spin to make them look
          bad. There appears to be evidence here of attempts to prevent
          scientific data from being released(<a moz-do-not-send="true"
            class="firstChild"
href="http://www.anelegantchaos.org/cru/emails.php?eid=914&amp;filename=1219239172.txt"><font
              color="#cc0000">2</font></a>,<a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="http://www.anelegantchaos.org/cru/emails.php?eid=490&amp;filename=1107454306.txt"><font
              color="#cc0000">3</font></a>), and even to destroy
          material that was subject to a freedom of information request(<a
            moz-do-not-send="true" class="lastChild"
href="http://www.anelegantchaos.org/cru/emails.php?eid=891&amp;filename=1212063122.txt"><font
              color="#cc0000">4</font></a>).</p>
        <p>Worse still, some of the emails suggest efforts to prevent
          the publication of work by climate sceptics(<a
            moz-do-not-send="true" class="firstChild"
href="http://www.anelegantchaos.org/cru/emails.php?eid=307&amp;filename=1051190249.txt"><font
              color="#cc0000">5</font></a>,<a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="http://www.anelegantchaos.org/cru/emails.php?eid=484&amp;filename=1106322460.txt"><font
              color="#cc0000">6</font></a>), or to keep it out of a
          report by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change(<a
            moz-do-not-send="true" class="lastChild"
href="http://www.anelegantchaos.org/cru/emails.php?eid=419&amp;filename=1089318616.txt"><font
              color="#cc0000">7</font></a>). I believe that the head of
          the unit, Phil Jones, should now resign. Some of the data
          discussed in the emails should be re-analysed.</p>
        <p>But do these revelations justify the sceptics’ claims that
          this is “the final nail in the coffin” of global warming
          theory?(<a moz-do-not-send="true" class="firstChild"
href="http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/jamesdelingpole/100017393/climategate-the-final-nail-in-the-coffin-of-anthropogenic-global-warming/"><font
              color="#cc0000">8</font></a>,<a moz-do-not-send="true"
            class="lastChild"
            href="http://www.wnd.com/index.php?fa=PAGE.view&amp;pageId=116882"><font
              color="#cc0000">9</font></a>) Not at all. They damage the
          credibility of three or four scientists. They raise questions
          about the integrity of one or perhaps two out of several
          hundred lines of evidence. To bury manmade climate change, a
          far wider conspiracy would have to be revealed. Luckily for
          the sceptics, and to my intense disappointment, I have now
          been passed the damning email which confirms that the entire
          science of global warming is indeed a scam. Had I known that
          it was this easy to rig the evidence, I wouldn’t have wasted
          years of my life promoting a bogus discipline. In the
          interests of open discourse, I feel obliged to reproduce it
          here.</p>
        <p>“From: <a moz-do-not-send="true"
            href="mailto:ernst.kattweizel@redcar.ac.uk">ernst.kattweizel@redcar.ac.uk</a><br
            class="firstChild">
          Sent: 29th October 2009<br class="lastChild">
          To: The Knights Carbonic</p>
        <p>Gentlemen, the culmination of our great plan approaches fast.
          What the Master called “the ordering of men’s affairs by a
          transcendent world state, ordained by God and answerable to no
          man”, which we now know as Communist World Government,
          advances towards its climax at Copenhagen. For 185 years since
          the Master, known to the laity as Joseph Fourier, launched his
          scheme for world domination, the entire physical science
          community has been working towards this moment.</p>
        <p>The early phases of the plan worked magnificently. First the
          Master’s initial thesis – that the release of infrared
          radiation is delayed by the atmosphere – had to be accepted by
          the scientific establishment. I will not bother you with
          details of the gold paid, the threats made and the blood spilt
          to achieve this end. But the result was the elimination of the
          naysayers and the disgrace or incarceration of the Master’s
          rivals. Within 35 years the 3rd Warden of the Grand Temple of
          the Knights Carbonic (our revered prophet John Tyndall) was
          able to “demonstrate” the Master’s thesis. Our control of
          physical science was by then so tight that no major objections
          were sustained.</p>
        <p>More resistence was encountered (and swiftly despatched) when
          we sought to install the 6th Warden (Svante Arrhenius) first
          as professor of physics at Stockholm University, then as
          rector. From this position he was able to project the Master’s
          second grand law – that the infrared radiation trapped in a
          planet’s atmosphere increases in line with the quantity of
          carbon dioxide the atmosphere contains. He and his followers
          (led by the Junior Warden Max Planck) were then able to adapt
          the entire canon of physical and chemical science to sustain
          the second law.</p>
        <p>Then began the most hazardous task of all: our attempt to
          control the instrumental record. Securing the consent of the
          scientific establishment was a simple matter. But thermometers
          had by then become widely available, and amateur
          meteorologists were making their own readings. We needed to
          show a steady rise as industrialisation proceeded, but some of
          these unfortunates had other ideas. The global co-option of
          police and coroners required unprecedented resources, but so
          far we have been able to cover our tracks.</p>
        <p>The over-enthusiasm of certain of the Knights Carbonic in
          1998 was most regrettable. The high reading in that year has
          proved impossibly costly to sustain. Those of our enemies who
          have yet to be silenced maintain that the lower temperatures
          after that date provide evidence of global cooling, even
          though we have ensured that eight of the ten warmest years
          since 1850 have occurred since 2001(<a moz-do-not-send="true"
            class="firstChild lastChild"
href="http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/corporate/pressoffice/2008/pr20081216.html"><font
              color="#cc0000">10</font></a>). From now on we will
          engineer a smoother progression.</p>
        <p>Our co-option of the physical world has been just as
          successful. The thinning of the Arctic ice cap was a
          masterstroke. The ring of secret nuclear power stations around
          the Arctic Circle, attached to giant immersion heaters,
          remains undetected, as do the space-based lasers dissolving
          the world’s glaciers.</p>
        <p>Altering the migratory and reproductive patterns of the
          world’s wildlife has proved more challenging. Though we have
          now asserted control over the world’s biologists, there is no
          accounting for the unauthorised observations of farmers,
          gardeners, bird-watchers and other troublemakers. We have
          therefore been forced to drive migrating birds, fish and
          insects into higher latitudes, and to release several million
          tonnes of plant pheromones every year to accelerate flowering
          and fruiting. None of this is cheap, and ever more public
          money, secretly diverted from national accounts by compliant
          governments, is required to sustain it.</p>
        <p>The co-operation of these governments requires unflagging
          effort. The capture of George W. Bush, a late convert to the
          cause of Communist World Government, was made possible only by
          the threatened release of footage filmed by a knight at Yale,
          showing the future president engaged in coitus with a Ford
          Mustang. Most ostensibly-capitalist governments remain
          apprised of where their real interests lie, though I note with
          disappointment that we have so far failed to eliminate Vaclav
          Klaus. Through the offices of compliant states, the Master’s
          third grand law has been accepted: world government will be
          established under the guise of controlling manmade emissions
          of greenhouse gases.</p>
        <p>Keeping the scientific community in line remains a challenge.
          The national academies are becoming ever more querulous and
          greedy, and require higher pay-offs each year. The
          inexplicable events of the past month, in which the windows of
          all the leading scientific institutions were broken and a
          horse’s head turned up in James Hansen’s bed, appear to have
          staved off the immediate crisis, but for how much longer can
          we maintain the consensus?</p>
        <p>Knights Carbonic, now that the hour of our triumph is at
          hand, I urge you all to redouble your efforts. In the name of
          the Master, go forth and terrify.</p>
        <p>Professor Ernst Kattweizel, University of Redcar. 21st Grand
          Warden of the Temple of the Knights Carbonic.”</p>
        <p>This is the kind of conspiracy the deniers need to reveal to
          show that manmade climate change is a con. The hacked emails
          are a hard knock, but the science of global warming withstands
          much more than that.</p>
        <p>------------------------------------------</p>
        <p>Vision2020 Post: Ted Moffett</p>
      </div>
      <div class="gmail_quote">On Wed, Jul 13, 2011 at 12:59 PM, Paul
        Rumelhart <span dir="ltr">&lt;<a moz-do-not-send="true"
            href="mailto:godshatter@yahoo.com">godshatter@yahoo.com</a>&gt;</span>
        wrote:</div>
      <div class="gmail_quote"><br>
         </div>
      <blockquote style="border-left: 1px solid rgb(204, 204, 204);
        margin: 0px 0px 0px 0.8ex; padding-left: 1ex;"
        class="gmail_quote">
        <div>
          <div style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); font-family:
            times new roman,new york,times,serif; color: rgb(0, 0, 0);
            font-size: 12pt;">
            <div><span>I can't help being dismayed that someone whose 
                posts are praised as ones that "apply critical thinking
                to information and events in the news" would come down
                on the side of arguing *for* argument from authority. 
                That seems to me to be about as uncritical as you can
                get.  <br>
              </span></div>
            <div><br>
              <span></span></div>
            <div><span>One question to ask, in fact, one that's been
                lying around just begging to be asked is: why do experts
                in the field of climate science feel the need to argue
                from authority in the first place?  Shouldn't they let
                their methodology and conclusions speak for themselves? 
                This is science, after all.  Why did they deny multiple
                FOIA requests for their data simply because the person
                requesting them might be critical of their results?  Why
                did one of them specify in one of the Climategate emails
                that they would delete the information before they would
                allow themselves to be forced to give it up?  Why did
                they "lose" the original unadjusted data?  Why do they
                feel obligated to get in the middle of policy-making? 
                Shouldn't they be conservatively stating their
                conclusions, with caveats, and letting the policy-makers
                decide their importance?</span></div>
            <div><br>
              <span></span></div>
            <div><span>Science is supposed to be egalitarian.  It
                shouldn't matter if an award-winning climate scientist
                submitted a paper or a fourteen-year-old Japanese school
                girl submitted it.  The paper should stand or fall on
                it's own merits.</span></div>
            <div><br>
              <span></span></div>
            <div><span>Also, "consensus among scientists" can be
                misleading.  In one poll I looked at (<a
                  moz-do-not-send="true"
                  href="http://www.ens-newswire.com/ens/jan2009/2009-01-20-02.asp"
                  target="_blank">http://www.ens-newswire.com/ens/jan2009/2009-01-20-02.asp</a>),
                scientists had to agree or disagree with two items: </span>in
              the past 200 years, mean global temperatures have been
              rising, and that human activity is a "significant
              contributing factor" in changing mean global
              temperatures.  I would unequivocally answer "yes" to the
              first one, and probably answer "yes" to the second one. 
              The word "significant" has a special meaning in science. 
              The CO2 signature could be "significant" and not be very
              large.  These statements also say nothing about the
              expected impact of global warming.  A person could answer
              "yes" to both statements and still feel that global
              warming is not a danger.  I would expect a critical
              thinker to wonder, if that's the case, why such importance
              is placed on such statements.  The right talks about
              "loyalty oaths", and I can sometimes see their point.</div>
            <div><br>
            </div>
            <div>I would also like to argue that a person doesn't have
              to be a complete "expert" in a field of study to see
              problems in one.  We live in a world in which we can
              educate ourselves quickly on very specific topics with a
              little motivation and a fair amount of time available.</div>
            <div><br>
            </div>
            <div>I'm just not comfortable following the orders of our
              Global Climate Science Overlords blindly, because I've
              learned not to trust them.<br>
            </div>
            <div><br>
            </div>
            <div>Paul<br>
            </div>
            <div><br>
            </div>
            <div style="font-family: times new roman,new
              york,times,serif; font-size: 12pt;">
              <div style="font-family: times new roman,new
                york,times,serif; font-size: 12pt;"><font face="Arial"
                  size="2">
                  <hr size="1">
                  <b><span style="font-weight: bold;">From:</span></b>
                  Art Deco &lt;<a moz-do-not-send="true"
                    href="mailto:art.deco.studios@gmail.com"
                    target="_blank">art.deco.studios@gmail.com</a>&gt;<br>
                  <b><span style="font-weight: bold;">To:</span></b> <a
                    moz-do-not-send="true"
                    href="mailto:vision2020@moscow.com" target="_blank">vision2020@moscow.com</a><br>
                  <b><span style="font-weight: bold;">Sent:</span></b>
                  Wednesday, July 13, 2011 3:35 AM<br>
                  <b><span style="font-weight: bold;">Subject:</span></b>
                  [Vision2020] Climate &amp; Science<br>
                </font>
                <div>
                  <div class="h5"><br>
                    <div>
                      <div>
                        <h1><a moz-do-not-send="true" title="Go to
                            Opinionator Home"
                            href="http://opinionator.blogs.nytimes.com/"
                            rel="nofollow" target="_blank"><img
                              moz-do-not-send="true" alt="Opinionator -
                              A Gathering of Opinion From Around the
                              Web"
src="http://graphics8.nytimes.com/images/blogs_v3/opinionator/opinionator_print.png"></a></h1>
                      </div>
                      <div>
                        <div align="left"><span
                            title="2011-07-12T16:01:22+00:00">July 12,
                            2011, <span>4:01 pm</span></span>
                          <h3>On Experts and Global Warming</h3>
                          <address>By <a moz-do-not-send="true"
                              title="See all posts by GARY GUTTING"
                              href="http://opinionator.blogs.nytimes.com/author/gary-gutting/"
                              rel="nofollow" target="_blank">GARY
                              GUTTING</a></address>
                          <div>
                            <div>
                              <div>
                                <div><a moz-do-not-send="true"
                                    href="http://opinionator.blogs.nytimes.com/category/the-stone/"
                                    rel="nofollow" target="_blank">The
                                    Stone</a> is a forum for
                                  contemporary philosophers on issues
                                  both timely and timeless.</div>
                              </div>
                              <div>
                                <h4>Tags:</h4>
                                <div><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="http://opinionator.blogs.nytimes.com/tag/anthropogenic-global-warming/"
                                    rel="nofollow" target="_blank">anthropogenic
                                    global warming</a>, <a
                                    moz-do-not-send="true"
                                    href="http://opinionator.blogs.nytimes.com/tag/climate-change/"
                                    rel="nofollow" target="_blank">climate
                                    change</a>, <a
                                    moz-do-not-send="true"
                                    href="http://opinionator.blogs.nytimes.com/tag/global-warming/"
                                    rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Global
                                    Warming</a>, <a
                                    moz-do-not-send="true"
                                    href="http://opinionator.blogs.nytimes.com/tag/plato/"
                                    rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Plato</a>,
                                  <a moz-do-not-send="true"
                                    href="http://opinionator.blogs.nytimes.com/tag/science/"
                                    rel="nofollow" target="_blank">science</a></div>
                              </div>
                            </div>
                            <div><br>
                              <i>The Stone is featuring occasional posts
                                by Gary Gutting, a professor of
                                philosophy at the University of Notre
                                Dame, that apply critical thinking to
                                information and events that have
                                appeared in the news.<br>
                              </i><br>
                              Experts have always posed a problem for
                              democracies.  Plato scorned democracy,
                              rating it the worst form of government
                              short of tyranny, largely because it gave
                              power to the ignorant many rather than to
                              knowledgeable experts (philosophers, as he
                              saw it).  But, if, as we insist, the
                              people must ultimately decide, the
                              question remains: How can we, non-experts,
                              take account of expert opinion when it is
                              relevant to decisions about public policy?</div>
                            <div>
                              <div>
                                <blockquote>One we accept the expert
                                  authority of climate science, we have
                                  no basis for supporting the minority
                                  position.</blockquote>
                              </div>
                            </div>
                            <div>To answer this question, we need to
                              reflect on the logic of appeals to the
                              authority of experts.  First of all, such
                              appeals require a decision about who the
                              experts on a given topic are.  Until there
                              is agreement about this, expert opinion
                              can have no persuasive role in our
                              discussions.  Another requirement is that
                              there be a consensus among the experts
                              about points relevant to our discussion.  
                              Precisely because we are not experts, we
                              are in no position to adjudicate disputes
                              among those who are.  Finally, given a
                              consensus on a claim among recognized
                              experts, we non-experts have no basis for
                              rejecting the truth of the claim.<br>
                              <br>
                              These requirements may seem trivially
                              obvious, but they have serious
                              consequences.  Consider, for example,
                              current discussions about climate change,
                              specifically about whether there is
                              long-term global warming caused primarily
                              by human activities (anthropogenic global
                              warming or A.G.W.).  All creditable
                              parties to this debate recognize a group
                              of experts designated as “climate
                              scientists,” whom they cite in either
                              support or opposition to their claims
                              about global warming.  In contrast to
                              enterprises such as astrology or
                              homeopathy, there is no serious objection
                              to the very project of climate science. 
                              The only questions are about the
                              conclusions this project supports about
                              global warming.</div>
                            <div>There is, moreover, no denying that
                              there is a <a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="http://www.skepticalscience.com/global-warming-scientific-consensus-intermediate.htm"
                                rel="nofollow" target="_blank">strong
                                consensus</a> among climate scientists
                              on the existence of A.G.W. — in their
                              view, human activities are warming the
                              planet.  There are climate scientists who
                              doubt or deny this claim, but even they
                              show a clear sense of opposing a view that
                              is dominant in their discipline.  
                              Non-expert opponents of A.G.W. usually
                              base their case on various criticisms that
                              a small minority of climate scientists
                              have raised against the consensus view.  
                              But non-experts are in no position to
                              argue against the consensus of expert
                              opinion.   As long as they accept the
                              expert authority of the discipline of
                              climate science, they have no basis for
                              supporting the minority position.  Critics
                              within the community of climate scientists
                              may have a cogent case against A.G.W.,
                              but, given the overall consensus of that
                              community, we non-experts have no basis
                              for concluding that this is so.  It does
                              no good to say that we find the consensus
                              conclusions poorly supported.  Since we
                              are not experts on the subject, our
                              judgment  has no standing.</div>
                            <div>It follows that a non-expert who wants
                              to reject A.G.W. can do so only by arguing
                              that climate science lacks the scientific
                              status needed be taken seriously in our
                              debates about public policy.  There may
                              well be areas of inquiry (e.g., various
                              sub-disciplines of the social sciences)
                              open to this sort of critique.  But there
                              does not seem to be a promising case
                              against the scientific authority of
                              climate science.  As noted, opponents of
                              the consensus on global warming themselves
                              argue from results of the discipline, and
                              there is no reason to think that they
                              would have had any problem accepting a
                              consensus of climate scientists against
                              global warming, had this emerged.</div>
                            <div>Some non-expert opponents of global
                              warming have made much of a number of
                              e-mails written and circulated among a
                              handful of climate scientists that they
                              see as evidence of bias toward global
                              warming. But unless this group is willing
                              to argue from this small (and
                              questionable) sample to the general
                              unreliability of climate science as a
                              discipline, they have no alternative but
                              to accept the consensus view of climate
                              scientists that <a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="http://dotearth.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/07/07/gate-fever-breaks/#more-22259"
                                rel="nofollow" target="_blank">these
                                e-mails do not undermine the core result
                                of global warming</a>.</div>
                            <div>
                              <div>Related <a moz-do-not-send="true"
                                  href="http://opinionator.blogs.nytimes.com/category/the-stone/"
                                  rel="nofollow" target="_blank">More
                                  From The Stone</a>
                                <div>Read previous contributions to this
                                  series.</div>
                                <ul>
                                  <li><a moz-do-not-send="true"
                                      href="http://opinionator.blogs.nytimes.com/category/the-stone/"
                                      rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Go
                                      to All Posts »</a></li>
                                </ul>
                              </div>
                            </div>
                            <div>I am not arguing the absolute authority
                              of scientific conclusions in democratic
                              debates.  It is not a matter of replacing
                              Plato’s philosopher-kings with
                              scientist-kings in our <i>polis</i>. We
                              the people still need to decide (perhaps
                              through our elected representatives) which
                              groups we accept as having cognitive
                              authority in our policy deliberations. Nor
                              am I denying that there may be a logical
                              gap between established scientific results
                              and specific policy decisions.  The fact
                              that there is significant global warming
                              due to human activity does not of itself
                              imply any particular response to this
                              fact.  There remain pressing questions,
                              for example, about the likely long-term
                              effects of various plans for limiting CO2
                              emissions, the more immediate economic
                              effects of such plans, and, especially,
                              the proper balance between actual present
                              sacrifices and probable long-term gains. 
                              Here we still require the input of
                              experts, but we must also make fundamental
                              value judgments, a task that, <i>pace</i>
                              Plato, we cannot turn over to experts.</div>
                            <div>The essential point, however, is that
                              once we have accepted the authority of a
                              particular scientific discipline, we
                              cannot consistently reject its
                              conclusions.  To adapt Schopenhauer’s
                              famous remark about causality, science is
                              not a taxi-cab that we can get in and out
                              of whenever we like.  Once we board the
                              train of climate science, there is no
                              alternative to taking it wherever it may
                              go.</div>
                          </div>
                        </div>
                      </div>
                      <br clear="all">
                      <br>
                      -- <br>
                      Art Deco (Wayne A. Fox)<br>
                      <a moz-do-not-send="true"
                        href="mailto:art.deco.studios@gmail.com"
                        rel="nofollow" target="_blank">art.deco.studios@gmail.com</a><br>
                    </div>
                    <br>
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