<div><a href="http://www.accuweather.com/mt-news-blogs.asp?partner=accuweather&blog=Clark&pgurl=/mtweb/content/Clark/archives/2009/07/extreme_heat_from_the_northwest_to_southeast_alaska.asp">http://www.accuweather.com/mt-news-blogs.asp?partner=accuweather&blog=Clark&pgurl=/mtweb/content/Clark/archives/2009/07/extreme_heat_from_the_northwest_to_southeast_alaska.asp</a><br>
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<div>From website above:</div>
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<div>I am back from a really wonderful vacation where I cruised through the Inside Passage of Alaska for seven days. It's my second trip to this area and I am always in awe of the beauty. It was typically cool and cloudy for most of the trip, except the last day when we stopped in Victoria, B.C.
<p>One of the reasons I mention this is to contrast the weather I experienced to the weather this week from southeastern Alaska south through western Washington and Oregon. A large dome of unseasonably hot air is building and dominates the weather at least the next few days. Record high temperatures are likely to fall in many places, especially in the Pacific Northwest, where temperatures will easily climb to as high as 104 to 109 Tuesday and Wednesday in the hottest places. Even in typically cool and cloudy southeastern Alaska, places like Juneau and Ketchikan will break 80 with some places just inland rising well into the 80s. Vancouver, B.C., will be near 90 and certainly areas just inland will be above 90. </p>
<p>The temperatures in southeastern Alaska do not look that hot to the casual observer. However, the average high this time of year is only the middle 60s and last week it was in the upper 50s. With temperatures rising well into the 70s and 80s, streams and rivers will likely see rapid rises and fast flows due to the rapid melting of still existing snow in the higher mountains and also from glacier melt. </p>
<p>The heat in the Pacific Northwest will be at dangerous levels since air conditioning is no common in many houses. It will also be hot in the interior Northwest, but in these areas, temperatures will not be nearly as far above average as coastal areas will be.</p>
<p>Here are some expected high temperatures through Thursday for select cities. <br>
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<p><img src="http://vortex.accuweather.com/adc2004/pub/includes/columns/clark/2009/Northwesttemps.jpg"></p></p></div>
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<div>Vision2020 Post: Ted Moffett<br> </div>
<div><span class="gmail_quote">On 7/16/09, <b class="gmail_sendername">Ted Moffett</b> <<a href="mailto:starbliss@gmail.com">starbliss@gmail.com</a>> wrote:</span>
<blockquote class="gmail_quote" style="PADDING-LEFT: 1ex; MARGIN: 0px 0px 0px 0.8ex; BORDER-LEFT: #ccc 1px solid">
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<h2>El Niño Arrives; Expected to Persist through Winter 2009-10</h2>
<p>July 9, 2009 </p>
<p>NOAA scientists today announced the arrival of El Niño, a climate phenomenon with a significant influence on global weather, ocean conditions and marine fisheries. El Niño, the periodic warming of central and eastern tropical Pacific waters, occurs on average every two to five years and typically lasts about 12 months. </p>
<p><a onclick="return top.js.OpenExtLink(window,event,this)" href="http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2009/20090709_elnino.html" target="_blank">http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2009/20090709_elnino.html</a></p></div>
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<div>My comment:</div>
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<div>This may result in next winter being drier than the past few winters for the Northwest US. As temperatures are predicted to hit the upper 90s F. the next few days in Moscow, this news may be unseasonal; but the arrival of an El Nino event is significant if you worry about plans for the snow removal budget in North Idaho. Also, El Nino may have more immediate effects on US weather in other areas, and of course globally. Caps as appearing on NOAA website below (no intent to yell):</div>
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<div><a onclick="return top.js.OpenExtLink(window,event,this)" href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/90day/fxus05.html" target="_blank">http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/90day/fxus05.html</a></div>
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<div>SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES <a onclick="return top.js.OpenExtLink(window,event,this)" href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/90day/seasglossary.html#ssts" target="_blank">(SSTS)</a> IN THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL EQUATORIAL PACIFIC OCEAN ARE NOW WELL ABOVE NORMAL AND <a onclick="return top.js.OpenExtLink(window,event,this)" href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/90day/seasglossary.html#cpc" target="_blank">CPC</a> HAS DECLARED AN <a onclick="return top.js.OpenExtLink(window,event,this)" href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/90day/seasglossary.html#el+nino" target="_blank">EL NINO</a> IN EFFECT. WATER TEMPERATURES ARE WELL ABOVE NORMAL IN THE UPPER 200 METERS OF THE TROPICAL PACIFIC OCEAN, MAKING IT LIKELY THAT ABOVE NORMAL <a onclick="return top.js.OpenExtLink(window,event,this)" href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/90day/seasglossary.html#ssts" target="_blank">SSTS</a> WILL CONTINUE INTO THE REST OF SUMMER, FALL AND WINTER. THE CFS MODEL CORRECTLY ANTICIPATED THIS RAPID TRANSITION IN ITS FORECASTS FOR THE LAST FEW MONTHS, AND ITS CURRENT FORECAST SHOWS <a onclick="return top.js.OpenExtLink(window,event,this)" href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/90day/seasglossary.html#sst" target="_blank">SST</a> <a onclick="return top.js.OpenExtLink(window,event,this)" href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/90day/seasglossary.html#anomalies" target="_blank">ANOMALIES</a> APPROACHING 2 KELVIN IN THE COMING FEW MONTHS, SUGGESTING THAT MODERATE <a onclick="return top.js.OpenExtLink(window,event,this)" href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/90day/seasglossary.html#el+nino" target="_blank">EL NINO</a> CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF THE YEAR. </div>
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<div>THE TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK FOR ASO 2009 CALLS FOR AN ENHANCED LIKELIHOOD OF ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE SOUTH FROM ARIZONA TO FLORIDA. ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE FAVORED IN NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND. CHANCES FOR BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE ENHANCED IN THE MIDWEST AND UPPER PLAINS. ELSEWHERE, EQUAL CHANCES OF BELOW, NEAR, AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE PREDICTED. <br>
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<div>A <a onclick="return top.js.OpenExtLink(window,event,this)" href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/90day/seasglossary.html#trend" target="_blank">TREND</a>-RELATED DRY FORECAST IS <br>INDICATED FOR THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. </div>
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<div>BELOW MEDIAN PRECIPITATION IS <br>FAVORED IN <a onclick="return top.js.OpenExtLink(window,event,this)" href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/90day/seasglossary.html#el+nino" target="_blank">EL NINO</a> WINTERS FOR THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND PARTS OF THE OHIO AND TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEYS. </div>
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<div>Vision2020 Post: Ted Moffett</div></blockquote></div><br>