<div>Written in response to "Off List" respondent:</div>
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<div>The irony: as nations plan for water shortages impacting hundreds of millions of people due to climate change, North Dakota is now facing record floods. </div>
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<div>It is difficult to directly link anthropogenic caused global warming to the North Dakota floods, given they are a local weather event, rather than a major climate event (the world wide recession of glaciers is likely related to "global climate change," rather than just an expression of local weather variability). But increases in record flooding events are predicted by climate scientists studying the effects of climate change. As are record droughts, heat waves and related fires, such as recently occurred in Australia's tragic loss of life in the incredible record setting bush fires.</div>
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<div>Ted Moffett</div>
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<div style="FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </div>
<div style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial"><b>From:</b> <a title="starbliss@gmail.com" onclick="return top.js.OpenExtLink(window,event,this)" href="mailto:starbliss@gmail.com" target="_blank">Ted Moffett</a> </div>
<div style="FONT: 10pt arial"><b>To:</b> <a title="gussie443@hotmail.com" onclick="return top.js.OpenExtLink(window,event,this)" href="mailto:gussie443@hotmail.com" target="_blank">Ellen Roskovich</a> </div>
<div style="FONT: 10pt arial"><b>Cc:</b> <a title="vision2020@moscow.com" onclick="return top.js.OpenExtLink(window,event,this)" href="mailto:vision2020@moscow.com" target="_blank">vision2020@moscow.com</a> </div>
<div style="FONT: 10pt arial"><b>Sent:</b> Tuesday, March 24, 2009 9:59 AM</div>
<div style="FONT: 10pt arial"><b>Subject:</b> Re: [Vision2020] "sustainable" water</div>
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<div>"---a talley that does not include the impacts of climate change."</div>
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<div>Consider this report from India, which mentions developing military capabilities for "outright military conflict" resulting from the impacts of climate change, of which one of the major changes will be the melting of the Tibetan plateau glaciers, reducing the amount of water available feeding major rivers in Asia:</div>
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<div>Climate Change and National Security: Preparing India for New Conflict Scenarios:</div>
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<div><a onclick="return top.js.OpenExtLink(window,event,this)" href="http://nationalinterest.in/wp-content/uploads/2008/04/inipolicybrief-no1-climatechangeandnationalsecurity-nitinpai-april2008.pdf" target="_blank">http://nationalinterest.in/wp-content/uploads/2008/04/inipolicybrief-no1-climatechangeandnationalsecurity-nitinpai-april2008.pdf</a></div>
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<div>I quote:</div>
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<div> "Deterring Water Wars. India must consider reviewing its strategic doctrines to deter 'water wars.' India's current "no first use" nuclear doctrine threatens punitive retaliation upon a nuclear attack on Indian territory or on its forces. While bringing water wars directly inside the nuclear red line might be disproportionately escalatory, a commitment to the use of force in the event of unilateral diversion of water resources by the upper riparian is likely to have a deterrent effect."</div>
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<div>Vision2020 Post: Ted Moffett</div>
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<div><span class="gmail_quote">On 3/24/09, <b class="gmail_sendername">Ellen Roskovich</b> <<a onclick="return top.js.OpenExtLink(window,event,this)" href="mailto:gussie443@hotmail.com" target="_blank">gussie443@hotmail.com</a>> wrote:</span></div>
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<div><strong>A little reading material with that early morning cup of coffee. . . </strong></div>
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<div><strong>Ellen A. Roskovich</strong></div>
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<div>Coming soon: 'Sustainable water' certification</div>
<p><span>Mar 17, 2009</span></p>ISTANBUL (AFP) — ---------</div></blockquote>
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<div><br>By 2030, according to a report issued on Tuesday by the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), 3.9 billion people, or nearly half of the world's population, could be living in severe water stress -- a tally that does not include the impacts of climate change.<br>
<p><span>Copyright © 2009 AFP. All rights reserved. <a onclick="return top.js.OpenExtLink(window,event,this)" href="http://www.google.com/hostednews/afp/copyright?hl=en" target="_blank">More »</a></span></p><br> </div></blockquote>
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