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<DIV><FONT face=Arial>It's rather difficult to take all the indignation and self
righteousness expressed by a certain element on this list as seriously as one
might otherwise. Why is Sitler singled out for all the condemnation (not
that he doesn't deserve every ounce of it) when there has there
been nary a peep when it comes to others who have committed the very same (or
worse) crime in this county and also still reside here. Where is your
"legitimate fears" when it comes to Michael Ashcraft, Christopher Busting, and
Mike Brazington? Why are you not so vocally "concerned" about Robert Buckingham,
Frank Burkgart, and Harvey Hamilton? What about the likelihood of reoffense for
Michael Hardway, Dennis Hendrix, Wayne Jacobs, Knute Klingler, and Kevin
Osterberg? Could it be that they get no Vision 2020 scrutiny
and castigation because to do so would not further an agenda? I'm
afraid that the pious blather that comes from History Daddy and his little
band of likeminded friends would be far easier to stomach were it not
so blatantly just another cynical means to an end.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial>g</FONT></DIV></DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE
style="PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
<DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
<DIV
style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black"><B>From:</B>
<A title=kjajmix1@msn.com href="mailto:kjajmix1@msn.com">keely emerinemix</A>
</DIV>
<DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A title=vpschwaller@gmail.com
href="mailto:vpschwaller@gmail.com">Glenn Schwaller</A> ; <A
title=bherodotus@yahoo.com href="mailto:bherodotus@yahoo.com">Bob
Herodotus</A> ; <A title=vision2020@moscow.com
href="mailto:vision2020@moscow.com">vision2020@moscow.com</A> </DIV>
<DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Tuesday, May 29, 2007 7:52 AM</DIV>
<DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> Re: [Vision2020] A personal
invitation to Mr. Schwaller</DIV>
<DIV><BR></DIV>Somewhere between five and 98 percent of all Visionaires who
read the post below detect an undercurrent of snarling, manly
arrogance. I'm guessing that the two percent were raising their Sabbath
glasses to him.<BR><BR>Either way, his attempts to mask his disdain for his
questioner by quoting the gamut of statistics that might address the Sitler
situation fell flat. I'm afraid indifference to the genuine concern
expressed by other Visionaires and disdain for them for expressing it leaked
out like a robust Syrah in cloudy, cracked stemware.<BR><BR>I'll try it the
simple, albeit shrill and insistent, manner Schwaller by now knows me
for:<BR><BR>Can you possibly grasp the anger this community has toward Sitler
and those who dealt with him, and can you understand the legitimate fears of
those concerned that he's out of jail? <BR><BR>keely<BR><BR>
<BLOCKQUOTE>
<HR>
Date: Mon, 28 May 2007 14:18:47 -0700<BR>From: vpschwaller@gmail.com<BR>To:
bherodotus@yahoo.com; vision2020@moscow.com<BR>Subject: Re: [Vision2020] A
personal invitation to Mr. Schwaller<BR><BR>Visionaries and Mr
Herodotus,<BR><BR>Thank you for the invitation to "return" but I never
really left. I was simply a bit busy over the past few days taking
advantage of the weather break to plant the begonias, nasturtiums, and
geraniums.<BR><BR>I'll attempt to answer your questions, but I do so
assuming you are being genuine and not disingenuous in your query. I
mention this only because another visionary has questioned "the truth about
(your) opinions", that this individual "Doesn't believe I'll do that"
(accept the truth of my opinions), "thank you very much.", then proceeds to
demand the answer to 3 additional questions.<BR><BR>So, on to your
questions. These are important, timely questions that deserve
answers. However, I don't believe I can give you full nor adequate
answers to any of them. I don't know that definitive answers exist,
however one can find just about any answer one wants to fit one's
position. That being said:<BR><BR>"1. Can you please tell us the
recidivism rate for serial pedophiles?"<BR><BR>I don't believe a thorough
statistical study has been done for over 10 years. So keeping that in
mind, according to the U.S. Department of Justice Bureau of Justice
Statistics, within 3 years of release from incarceration, a little more than
5 percent of sex offenders were rearrested for another sex crime. If
one looks at ALL crimes committed, about 40 percent of sex offenders were
rearrested for other offenses.<BR><BR>Within this three year period, 3.5
percent of convicted sex offenders were convicted again for a sex crime, 24
percent convicted for new crimes, and about 40 percent are imprisoned again
because of a parole or probation violation.<BR><BR>However, if you're Joan
Opyr, in an article she published not quite a year ago, she quotes a 75%
recidivism rate.<BR><BR>The USDJ study also looked at the relationship
between offenders and victims and reported that overall, 46 percent of the
victims were a family member. A 2005 study by the National Crime
Victimization Survey reports that 73 percent of sexual assaults were known
by the victim: 38 percent were a friend or acquaintance, 28 percent were
involved in an "intimate" relationship, and 7 percent were another
relative. <BR><BR>An NPR story in 2005 offered a 98
percent recidivism rate over a 25 year period, with a 60 percent likelihood
of offending again within 5 years under the best treatment available., there
is a 60% occurrence of re-offence within five years. The story also mentions
that the offender in most sexual abuse cases is a family member or friend of
the family (97 percent for victims under the age of 6, and 95 percent
of those between the ages 6 and 12).<BR><BR>So, somewhere between 5 and 95
percent?<BR><BR>"2. Can you please share with us the average number of
children that repeat offenders violate before their
discovery?"<BR><BR>Again, I have no concrete statistics. There is
apparently some information on Mr Sitler's repeated violations before he was
discovered (I'm sure Mr Hansen can give you that number off the top of his
head). The numbers seem to run from one to dozens over decades for
catholic priests. And in Portugal, a driver and gardener was accused
of molesting children at the school where he was worked. After
questioning and examining more than 600 children, over 125 were reported to
have been victimized by this individual.<BR><BR>So, somewhere between 1 and
more than 125? <BR><BR>"3, Can you please describe for us a worst-case
scenario for the children of Moscow (number of victims, age of victims,
types of abuse, etc.), if Mr. Sitler resumes his pattern of serial
predation?"<BR><BR>Quite frankly, I sense an undercurrent of sarcasm in this
last question, but hey . . .<BR><BR>Maybe you can ask me how many polar
bears, perched on their ever-diminishing slab of ice, are going to starve
tonight?<BR><BR>Well, obviously I can't give you the answers you would like
to hear. I doubt even Mr Sitler himself would know, given the worst
possible case, what would be the answers to those questions. However,
if you refer back to the replies to Question 1, you may find some answers of
sorts in there.<BR><BR>I'd like to think I have the community's, but perhaps
not that of starving polar bear's, interests at
heart.<BR><BR>Schwaller<BR><BR>"You can always see it commin', but you can
never stop it."<BR> --Michael
Timmins<BR><BR><BR><BR><BR><BR><BR><BR><BR>
<DIV><SPAN class=EC_gmail_quote>On 5/28/07, <B class=EC_gmail_sendername>Bob
Herodotus</B> <<A href="mailto:bherodotus@yahoo.com">bherodotus@yahoo.com
</A>> wrote:</SPAN>
<BLOCKQUOTE class=EC_gmail_quote style="PADDING-LEFT: 1ex">Visionaries and
Mr. Schwaller,<BR><BR>I personally invite Mr. Schwaller to return to this
forum because I for one found his posts both provocative and enlightening.
Hard facts about serial pedophiles are difficult to ascertain and I
commend him for sharing his knowledge of this unseemly subject with us so
that we as a community can be better prepared to address a predator in our
midst.<BR><BR>With this in mind, I have a couple of questions for Mr.
Schwaller.<BR><BR>1. Can you please tell us the recidivism rate for serial
pedophiles?<BR><BR>2. Can you please share with us the average number of
children that repeat offenders violate before their discovery?<BR><BR>3.
Finally, given your familiarity with Steven Sitler's case file, can you
please describe for us a worst-case scenario for the children of Moscow
(number of victims, age of victims, types of abuse, etc.), if Mr. Sitler
resumes his pattern of serial predation?<BR><BR>I believe that these are
reasonable questions for a community to ask and I believe that you have
our community's best interests at heart.<BR><BR>Thank
you,<BR><BR>Herodotus<BR><BR><BR><BR><BR><BR>____________________________________________________________________________________<BR>Looking
for earth-friendly autos? <BR>Browse Top Cars by "Green Rating" at Yahoo!
Autos' Green Center.<BR><A href="http://autos.yahoo.com/green_center/"
target=_blank>http://autos.yahoo.com/green_center/
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