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<p class=MsoNormal><font size=3 face=Arial><span style='font-size:12.0pt;
font-family:Arial'>Hi All,<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=3 face=Arial><span style='font-size:12.0pt;
font-family:Arial'> Tonight you may be able to enjoy a decent aurora
display over <st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Moscow</st1:place></st1:City>
(weather permitting).<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=3 face=Arial><span style='font-size:12.0pt;
font-family:Arial'><o:p> </o:p></span></font></p>
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<p class=MsoNormal><font size=3 face=Arial><span style='font-size:12.0pt;
font-family:Arial'>From the University of <st1:State w:st="on">Alaska</st1:State>
<st1:City w:st="on">Fairbanks</st1:City> Geophysical Institute <st1:City
w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Aurora</st1:place></st1:City> Forecast for
12/13/06: <a href="http://www.gedds.alaska.edu/AuroraForecast/">http://www.gedds.alaska.edu/AuroraForecast/</a>
<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=3 face=Arial><span style='font-size:12.0pt;
font-family:Arial'><o:p> </o:p></span></font></p>
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<p class=MsoNormal><font size=3 face="Times New Roman"><span
style='font-size:12.0pt'>“Name of forecaster: Charles Deehr <o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p><font size=3 face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:12.0pt'>Time
of prediction: 12/13/2006 9:48:00 AM*<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
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<p class=MsoNormal><b><font size=3 face="Times New Roman"><span
style='font-size:12.0pt;font-weight:bold'>Forecast:</span></font></b><span
id=Forecast>Auroral activity will be high(+). Weather permitting, highly
active auroral displays will be visible overhead from Barrow to as far
south as Kodiak and <st1:City w:st="on">Minneapolis</st1:City>, and visible
low on the horizon from <st1:City w:st="on">Salem</st1:City>, <st1:State
w:st="on">Oregon</st1:State> and <st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Chicago</st1:place></st1:City>.</span>
<o:p></o:p></p>
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<p class=MsoNormal><b><font size=3 face="Times New Roman"><span
style='font-size:12.0pt;font-weight:bold'>Additional Forecaster comments:</span></font></b>
The solar active region that came around the limb last week is now facing
Earth. There was a large solar flare with attendant coronal mass ejection
from this region at 0224 GMT on the 13th. This interplanetary disturbance
should reach the Earth on the morning of the 14th GMT. It could take up to
12 hours to transfer its power to the geomagnetic field. The conclusion is
watch the sky tonight and tomorrow night in North America perhaps as far
south as the middle <st1:country-region w:st="on">US</st1:country-region>
and tomorrow night in Europe as far south as northern <st1:place w:st="on">Europe</st1:place>.
The aurora should be visible also from <st1:State w:st="on">Tasmania</st1:State>
and <st1:place w:st="on">South New Zealand</st1:place>.<br>
You can watch our simulation of the shock travel from the sun to the
planets if you go to http://www.gedds.alaska.edu/AuroraForecast/<br>
and click on the black map on the left side of the page to watch the Java
movie of the interplanetary shock.<br>
Click on the short-term (1 hr) forecast map on the right hand side of the
page to see what will happen in the next hour. That way you won't have to
stand around outside like those in the maritimes right now in a 36 deg.
drizzle and watch the cloudy sky. <br>
If it is clear where you are, watch for the Geminid meteors too. <o:p></o:p></p>
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<li class=MsoNormal style='mso-list:l0 level1 lfo1'><font size=2
face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>Alaska Daylight
Time (AKDT) is 8 hours behind Greenwich Mean Time (GMT) or Universal
Time (UT). Alaska Standard Time (AKST) is 9 hours behind GMT or UT. “<o:p></o:p></span></font></li>
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<p class=MsoNormal><font size=3 face="Times New Roman"><span
style='font-size:12.0pt'><o:p> </o:p></span></font></p>
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<p class=MsoNormal><font size=3 face="Times New Roman"><span
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<p class=MsoNormal><font size=3 face=Arial><span style='font-size:12.0pt;
font-family:Arial'>Hopefully you will be able to enjoy the show.<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=3 face=Arial><span style='font-size:12.0pt;
font-family:Arial'>Chris<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
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