[Vision2020] January-May 2015 Global Average Surface Temp. Highest in NCDC 136 Year Record

Ted Moffett starbliss at gmail.com
Sun Jul 12 16:11:50 PDT 2015


2014 set a record for the hottest calendar year global average surface
temperature in the instrumental record since 1880 according to NCDC, as you
can read below.  You can also read a refutation of the commonly
promoted falsehood in the media that there has been no significant warming
of Earth's climate since the super El Nino influenced warm year 1998, given
that nine of the ten warmest years have occurred since 1998, with three of
those years warmer than 1998:

https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/global/201413

"The year 2014 was the warmest year across global land and ocean surfaces
since records began in 1880. The annually-averaged temperature was 0.69°C
(1.24°F) above the 20th century average of 13.9°C (57.0°F), easily breaking
the previous records of 2005 and 2010 by 0.04°C (0.07°F). This also marks
the 38th consecutive year (since 1977) that the yearly global temperature
was above average. Including 2014, 9 of the 10 warmest years in the
135-year period of record have occurred in the 21st century. 1998 currently
ranks as the fourth warmest year on record."
------------------------------------
2015 is on course to exceed the 2014 record warmest year, given that so far
January-May 2015 global average temperatures are the warmest such period in
the NCDC record:

https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/global/201505

"The first five months of 2015 were the warmest such period on record
across the world's land and ocean surfaces, at 0.85°C (1.53°F) above the 20
th century average, surpassing the previous record set in 2010 by 0.09°C
(0.16°F)."
------------------------------------
That 2015 may exceed the 2014 record warm year is made more likely by the
development of a strong climate warming El Nino phase of the ENSO cycle,
predicted to persist into winter 2015:

https://www.climate.gov/news-features/blogs/enso/july-2015-el-ni%C3%B1o-update-bruce-lee

"El Niño continued to build during June, despite some shorter-term
fluctuations in the climate system (here’s looking at you, MJO
<https://www.climate.gov/news-features/blogs/enso/what-mjo-and-why-do-we-care>).
CPC/IRI forecasters
<http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ensodisc.html>
are still very confident that this event will persist through the winter,
and they continue to favor a strong event
<http://www.climate.gov/news-features/blogs/enso/june-el-ni%C3%B1o-update-damn-torpedoes-full-speed-ahead>,
with the three-month average sea surface temperature in the Niño3.4 region
expected to peak at more than 1.5°C above normal."
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Vision2020 Post: Ted Moffett
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