[Vision2020] May & June 2014 Set Record High Monthly Global Average Temps. With Low Solar Activity, No El Nino & Aerosol Cooling

[Ted Moffett]

http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/global/2014/6

"The combined average temperature across global land and ocean surfaces for
June 2014 was record high for the month, at 0.72°C (1.30°F) above the 20th
century average. This surpasses the previous record, set in June 1998, by
0.03°C (0.05°F). Nine of the ten warmest Junes on record have occurred
during the 21st century, including each of the past five years. June 2014
also marks the second consecutive month with record high global
temperatures. With the exception of February (21st warmest), every month to
date in 2014 has ranked among the four warmest for its respective month.
Additionally, June 2014 marked the 38th consecutive June and 352nd
consecutive month with a global temperature above the 20th century average.
The last below-average global temperature for June was June 1976 and the
last below-average global temperature for any month was February 1985."
----------------------------------
My comment:

These temperatures are occurring after years of low solar activity, ironic
considering the often heard anthropogenic skeptic talking point that solar
activity is a primary driver of recent global warming, not human greenhouse
gas emissions!  The following websites from NASA, Space.com and
SkepticalScience explore recent solar activity and global warming causation:

http://science.nasa.gov/science-news/science-at-nasa/2009/01apr_deepsolarminimum/
Deep Solar Minimum -----------------------------------
http://www.space.com/19131-sun-solar-space-weather-2013.html
Sun's 2013 Solar Storm Peak Expected to Hit Century Low

------------------------------------
http://www.skepticalscience.com/solar-activity-sunspots-global-warming.htm
Sun & Climate: moving in opposite directions

-------------------------------------

I continue:

Also, note that June 2014 was warmer than June 1998 (as indicated in quote
at top of page), the very warm June 1998 being driven in part by a super El
Niino, while during June 2014, we experienced ENSO neutral conditions,
though a weak or moderate El Nino is expected to develop later in 2014:

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ensodisc.html
*EL NIÑO/SOUTHERN OSCILLATION (ENSO)*   *DIAGNOSTIC DISCUSSION*   issued by
CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER/NCEP/NWS
and the International Research Institute for Climate and Society   10 July
2014

*ENSO Alert System Status:** El Niño Watch
<http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/enso-alert-readme.shtml>*


*Synopsis:* *The chance of El Niño is about 70% during the Northern
Hemisphere summer and is close to 80% during the fall and early winter.*

*----------------------*


*I add:*

*When also considering the climate cooling impacts of human sourced
aerosols, much of this from burning coal, especially from massive increases
in coal burning in China, anthropogenic global warming is not stalling or
stopping, as we often hear from the so called skeptics, but continuing:*

*From the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences website:*


*http://www.pnas.org/site/misc/selections_7_4_11.shtml?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+pnas%2FvmhE+%28Recent+Press+Highlights%29#global
<http://www.pnas.org/site/misc/selections_7_4_11.shtml?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+pnas%2FvmhE+%28Recent+Press+Highlights%29#global>*


*Dimmer switch on globalwarming explained*

The authors further noted that China doubled its coal consumption from the
years 2003 to 2007, leading to a huge increase in sulfur emissions that may
have had a cooling effect on the planet. The researchers suggest that this
cooling effect may have counteracted ongoing warming due to increased
carbon dioxide concentrations, permitting natural forces to predominate the
planet’s temperature. The proposed explanation may portend a future period
of rapid global warming as solar input rises and as China installs
scrubbers that remove aerosols from coal-fired boilers, according to the
authors.

*-------------------------*


*Stopping burning coal, necessary to prevent catastrophic global warming, *


*unless employing massive CO2 sequestration, may in the short term cause *

*a spike in global temperatures, as the cooling from coal sourced aerosols*

*dissipates!*

*-----------------------------*


*Vision2020 Post: Ted Moffett*
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