[Vision2020] GISS Global May 2011 Temp. Color Map Shows Northwest US Cold Anomaly

Paul Rumelhart godshatter at yahoo.com
Mon Jun 20 06:56:51 PDT 2011

Maybe I should go into more detail.  Take, for example, historical 
thermometer readings for the U of I and see how well they correlate with 
thermometer readings in Pullman, Spokane, Lewiston, and other nearby 
thermometer stations.  The idea is to find out just how far out from 
Moscow the readings from the U of I's thermometer extends with some 
minimum level of confidence.  Can we trust it as far out as, say, Moses 
Lake?  Probably not.  I'd be curious how well Lewiston and Moscow's 
temperature data sets correlate.

Intuitively, some thermometers would not extend very far because of the 
geography of the area, and some might extend farther.  So, for each 
thermometer in the data set, find out how far they can reliably be 
extended and draw that circle on a map, colored in with the appropriate 
color based on their temperature anomaly.  If, for example, Moscow's 
circle doesn't make it halfway to Spokane and vice-versa, then that area 
between Spokane and Moscow should show up as gray (meaning that no 
reliable thermometer data covers that region), instead of assuming it's 
value is some blend of the two.  This is more important where 
thermometers are very far apart, of course, then it is in the 
continental U.S.  That way, a small number of thermometers don't affect 
the bottom-line global values unduly.


On 06/20/2011 05:31 AM, Joe Campbell wrote:
> "What I'd like to see somebody do is take every thermometer in the 
> data sets and find out exactly how well they correlate with their 
> nearest neighbors." This is what I was commenting on.
> On Jun 19, 2011, at 9:51 PM, Dan Carscallen <areaman at moscow.com 
> <mailto:areaman at moscow.com>> wrote:
>> I read that Paul is questioning whether there are enough thermometers
>> DC
>> On Jun 19, 2011, at 19:46, Joe Campbell <philosopher.joe at gmail.com 
>> <mailto:philosopher.joe at gmail.com>> wrote:
>>> You are questioning whether the thermometers are accurate? This is a 
>>> pretty skeptical move. I should think the scientists know whether or 
>>> not the thermometers are accurate.
>>> How do you know you have a head, that you're not in the Matrix 
>>> world, that you typed the post to which I am responding?
>>> On Jun 19, 2011, at 3:42 PM, Paul Rumelhart <godshatter at yahoo.com 
>>> <mailto:godshatter at yahoo.com>> wrote:
>>>> Not surprisingly, I'm skeptical of the temperature anomalies map 
>>>> too.  Mainly because the highest temperatures, which count greatly 
>>>> towards these hottest year records, are at the poles where we 
>>>> coincidentally have the fewest thermometers.
>>>> What I'd like to see somebody do is take every thermometer in the 
>>>> data sets and find out exactly how well they correlate with their 
>>>> nearest neighbors.  Come up with a value between 0 and 1 for each 
>>>> thermometer within, say 100 miles of any one thermometer and use 
>>>> that data to come up with a radius within which the temperature is 
>>>> correlated with a factor over a given amount and can thus be 
>>>> assumed to cover.  Use that to produce a color-coded temperature 
>>>> anomalies map, leaving the blank spots where there is no reliable 
>>>> data intact.  Then, while you're at it, see how well that map 
>>>> correlates with the satellite lower troposphere temperature data.
>>>> Then, if you want to color in the gray areas, setup some more 
>>>> thermometers and start taking readings.  I'd prefer that our 
>>>> confidence on what we actually know was higher rather than assuming 
>>>> we know more than we actually do.
>>>> Anyway, just a thought.
>>>> Paul
>>>> ------------------------------------------------------------------------
>>>> *From:* Ted Moffett <starbliss at gmail.com <mailto:starbliss at gmail.com>>
>>>> *To:* Moscow Vision 2020 <vision2020 at moscow.com 
>>>> <mailto:vision2020 at moscow.com>>
>>>> *Sent:* Sun, June 19, 2011 2:36:08 PM
>>>> *Subject:* [Vision2020] GISS Global May 2011 Temp. Color Map Shows 
>>>> Northwest US Cold Anomaly
>>>> I posted information on the Goddard Institute for Space Studies May
>>>> 2011 global average temperature data yesterday.  But I thought it was
>>>> worth emphasizing that the color coded global temperature map GISS
>>>> displays on their website reveals the Northwest US as one of the
>>>> colder areas on Earth during May, colder compared to normative
>>>> temperature for each area (1951-1980 baseline), that is.
>>>> In fact, if I read this map correctly, the Northwest US shows the
>>>> largest area of deep blue in the Northern Hemisphere, which indicates
>>>> 2-4 degree C. cold anomaly.  I had trouble finding any other area in
>>>> the Northern Hemispshere color coded deep blue... maybe a small area
>>>> off the east coast of Japan.
>>>> What is also noteworthy is the extreme temperature variations south of
>>>> South America extending into Antarctica, from very anomalous warm
>>>> (dark red or brown) to very anomalous cold (purple).  I'm skeptical of
>>>> such an extreme temperature variation over such a small distance.
>>>> Remember, the Knights Carbonic (
>>>> http://www.monbiot.com/2009/11/23/the-knights-carbonic/ ) are
>>>> everywhere!  Trust no one!
>>>> GISS color coded global average temperature map for May 2011:
>>>> http://data.giss.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/gistemp/do_nmap.py?year_last=2011&month_last=05&sat=4&sst=1&type=anoms&mean_gen=05&year1=2011&year2=2011&base1=1951&base2=1980&radius=1200&pol=reg 
>>>> <http://data.giss.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/gistemp/do_nmap.py?year_last=2011&month_last=05&sat=4&sst=1&type=anoms&mean_gen=05&year1=2011&year2=2011&base1=1951&base2=1980&radius=1200&pol=reg>
>>>> -----------------
>>>> “From: ernst.kattweizel at redcar.ac.uk 
>>>> <mailto:ernst.kattweizel at redcar.ac.uk>
>>>> Sent: 29th October 2009
>>>> To: The Knights Carbonic
>>>> Gentlemen, the culmination of our great plan approaches fast. What the
>>>> Master called “the ordering of men’s affairs by a transcendent world
>>>> state, ordained by God and answerable to no man”, which we now know as
>>>> Communist World Government, advances towards its climax at Copenhagen.
>>>> For 185 years since the Master, known to the laity as Joseph Fourier,
>>>> launched his scheme for world domination, the entire physical science
>>>> community has been working towards this moment.
>>>> The early phases of the plan worked magnificently. First the Master’s
>>>> initial thesis - that the release of infrared radiation is delayed by
>>>> the atmosphere - had to be accepted by the scientific establishment. I
>>>> will not bother you with details of the gold paid, the threats made
>>>> and the blood spilt to achieve this end. But the result was the
>>>> elimination of the naysayers and the disgrace or incarceration of the
>>>> Master’s rivals. Within 35 years the 3rd Warden of the Grand Temple of
>>>> the Knights Carbonic (our revered prophet John Tyndall) was able to
>>>> “demonstrate” the Master’s thesis. Our control of physical science was
>>>> by then so tight that no major objections were sustained.
>>>> More resistence was encountered (and swiftly despatched) when we
>>>> sought to install the 6th Warden (Svante Arrhenius) first as professor
>>>> of physics at Stockholm University, then as rector. From this position
>>>> he was able to project the Master’s second grand law - that the
>>>> infrared radiation trapped in a planet’s atmosphere increases in line
>>>> with the quantity of carbon dioxide the atmosphere contains. He and
>>>> his followers (led by the Junior Warden Max Planck) were then able to
>>>> adapt the entire canon of physical and chemical science to sustain the
>>>> second law.
>>>> Then began the most hazardous task of all: our attempt to control the
>>>> instrumental record. Securing the consent of the scientific
>>>> establishment was a simple matter. But thermometers had by then become
>>>> widely available, and amateur meteorologists were making their own
>>>> readings. We needed to show a steady rise as industrialisation
>>>> proceeded, but some of these unfortunates had other ideas. The global
>>>> co-option of police and coroners required unprecedented resources, but
>>>> so far we have been able to cover our tracks.
>>>> The over-enthusiasm of certain of the Knights Carbonic in 1998 was
>>>> most regrettable. The high reading in that year has proved impossibly
>>>> costly to sustain. Those of our enemies who have yet to be silenced
>>>> maintain that the lower temperatures after that date provide evidence
>>>> of global cooling, even though we have ensured that eight of the ten
>>>> warmest years since 1850 have occurred since 2001(10). From now on we
>>>> will engineer a smoother progression.
>>>> Our co-option of the physical world has been just as successful. The
>>>> thinning of the Arctic ice cap was a masterstroke. The ring of secret
>>>> nuclear power stations around the Arctic Circle, attached to giant
>>>> immersion heaters, remains undetected, as do the space-based lasers
>>>> dissolving the world’s glaciers.
>>>> Altering the migratory and reproductive patterns of the world’s
>>>> wildlife has proved more challenging. Though we have now asserted
>>>> control over the world’s biologists, there is no accounting for the
>>>> unauthorised observations of farmers, gardeners, bird-watchers and
>>>> other troublemakers. We have therefore been forced to drive migrating
>>>> birds, fish and insects into higher latitudes, and to release several
>>>> million tonnes of plant pheromones every year to accelerate flowering
>>>> and fruiting. None of this is cheap, and ever more public money,
>>>> secretly diverted from national accounts by compliant governments, is
>>>> required to sustain it.
>>>> The co-operation of these governments requires unflagging effort. The
>>>> capture of George W. Bush, a late convert to the cause of Communist
>>>> World Government, was made possible only by the threatened release of
>>>> footage filmed by a knight at Yale, showing the future president
>>>> engaged in coitus with a Ford Mustang. Most ostensibly-capitalist
>>>> governments remain apprised of where their real interests lie, though
>>>> I note with disappointment that we have so far failed to eliminate
>>>> Vaclav Klaus. Through the offices of compliant states, the Master’s
>>>> third grand law has been accepted: world government will be
>>>> established under the guise of controlling manmade emissions of
>>>> greenhouse gases.
>>>> Keeping the scientific community in line remains a challenge. The
>>>> national academies are becoming ever more querulous and greedy, and
>>>> require higher pay-offs each year. The inexplicable events of the past
>>>> month, in which the windows of all the leading scientific institutions
>>>> were broken and a horse’s head turned up in James Hansen’s bed, appear
>>>> to have staved off the immediate crisis, but for how much longer can
>>>> we maintain the consensus?
>>>> Knights Carbonic, now that the hour of our triumph is at hand, I urge
>>>> you all to redouble your efforts. In the name of the Master, go forth
>>>> and terrify.
>>>> Professor Ernst Kattweizel, University of Redcar. 21st Grand Warden of
>>>> the Temple of the Knights Carbonic.”
>>>> ------------------------------------------
>>>> Vision2020 Post: Ted Moffett
>>>> =======================================================
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>>>>           mailto:Vision2020 at moscow.com <mailto:Vision2020 at moscow.com>
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>>> =======================================================
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