[Vision2020] The Great Thermometer Die Off
Paul Rumelhart
godshatter at yahoo.com
Sat Jan 16 00:28:19 PST 2010
I'm replying to myself because I got to wondering if Windows and/or most
people's email clients natively handle png files, since it is an open
source format. So I'm attaching the same files after converting them to
..jpgs.
Paul
Paul Rumelhart wrote:
> Some of you know that I was at one time playing around with graphing
> global temperature data in order to satisfy my curiosity on a number
> of points related to global warming. I wish I'd stuck with it. It
> turns out that someone else (probably many others) has been doing the
> same thing. A programmer named E. M. Smith has done some work with
> the GISS dataset (I've been using the NCDC one). He has found that
> many of the measuring stations which are used for temperature
> reconstructions across the globe have been removed from the global
> temperature data sets for recent years. In fact, the data drops off
> quickly starting in the 80's (at least in the dataset I've been
> working with).
>
> He has done some research into which stations have been removed, and
> has apparently found that lots of higher altitude stations have been
> removed, which would have shown cooler temperatures - leading to a
> corresponding rise in the average temperatures over the years. He has
> a blog which covers this (he goes by the alias "chiefio"). Here is an
> entry in the blog giving an overview of this topic:
> http://chiefio.wordpress.com/2009/11/09/gistemp-a-human-view/
>
> I have not tried to analyze the stations that drop off of the NCDC
> data set yet, perhaps I can get a little work done on that soon.
>
> I'm also attaching a couple of graphs that I created from the NCDC
> data which graph the station counts by years. These are from the
> global minimums data sets, both normal and adjusted. I hadn't yet
> gotten to graphing station counts for the global means and global
> maximums data sets. All uniques stations and sub-stations are
> counted, which will mean that some sub-stations are counted twice if
> the thermometer is moved or something in that year. I was at one
> point trying to find out why these counts dropped off so quickly. It
> makes sense that the number of stations would increase over the years,
> but why the dramatic decrease in station counts? I had originally
> thought that perhaps there are delays in collecting data together, but
> 20-30 year delays? That doesn't seem plausible.
>
> By the way, I learned of this work that E. M. Smith has been doing by
> watching John Coleman's hour long news special titled "Global Warming
> - The Other Side". You can find links to the various parts of this
> here:
> http://wattsupwiththat.com/2010/01/14/john-colemans-hourlong-news-special-global-warming-the-other-side-now-online-all-five-parts-here/
>
>
> Even I thought this video was a bit high in the sensationalist and
> propagandist categories, but it did cover many of the standard
> skeptical viewpoints that I've run into. It might be worth watching,
> even if you're completely convinced we're cooking ourselves with
> carbon dioxide.
>
> Paul
>
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