[Vision2020] Good news for McCain from latest Rasmussen poll

No Weatherman no.weatherman at gmail.com
Thu Oct 30 02:57:54 PDT 2008


Good news for McCain from latest Rasmussen poll
Richard Baehr

The Presidential race is getting tighter. The most respected daily
tracking poll (most heavily weighted by Nate Silver at his
fivethrtyeight.com site) is Rasmussen. Today, his 3 day, 3,000 sample
size survey shows Obama up 50-47.
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

Yesterday, the lead was 51-46. A week ago, it was 52-44. Rasmussen
says the race is closer than it has been in five weeks.

My guess is that in last night's survey of 1,000 voters, the race was
about even. Many Obama voters have already shown up. If the perception
catches hold that the race is tightening, that will help turnout for
McCain.

Obama is planning the big victory party, and is working on his
Inaugural Address. He is still the heavy favorite, and much has to go
right in many states for McCain to win, but McCain is still alive, and
has a wind at his back for the first time in quite a while.

As much as the media want Obama to win, they like a horse race that is
close; it gets more people to watch and read about the election. So
the more they start talking about a tightening race, the more they
will reinforce that perception. and I think help McCain. The McCain
campaign has released its strategy memo for the last few days, which
shows where McCain is making gains.

Meanwhile at the Daily Kos, the Kossacks are beginning to freak out,
as Obama's victory looks a bit less inevitable.
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2008/10/29/7614/8669/531/645258
Posted at 02:55 PM | Email | Permalink |
http://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2008/10/good_news_for_mccain_from_late.html



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