[Vision2020] a look at the federal debt

heirdoug at netscape.net heirdoug at netscape.net
Thu Oct 19 13:19:02 PDT 2006


Bill, that was a good wake up call but maybe you could compare it to 
this chart:

      NATIONAL
              DEBT        G N P                           INTEREST     
UNEMPLOY-
YEAR (BILLIONS) (BILLIONS)     DEBT/GNP      RATE          MENT RATE
1790
1791    0.075                                                3.13       

1795    0.081                                                3.94       

1800    0.083                                                4.07       

1805    0.082                                                5.06       

1810    0.053                                                5.37       

1814    0.081                                                5.67       

1815    0.100                                                5.75       

1816    0.127                                                5.68       

1820    0.091                                                5.63       

1825    0.084                                                5.20       

1830    0.049                                                3.91       

1835    0.000                               0.00                        

1840    0.004                                                4.37       

1845    0.015                                                6.93       

1850    0.063                                                6.00       

1855    0.036                                                6.42       

1860    0.065                                                4.89       

1861    0.091                                                4.40       

1862    0.524                                                2.51       

1863    1.120                                                2.21       

1864    1.816                                                2.96       

1865    2.68                                                  2.89      

1866    2.77                                                  4.80      

1870    2.48                                                  5.21      

1871    2.35        6.71                  0.35          5.34            

1874    2.25        7.53                  0.30          4.75            

1879    2.25        9.18                  0.25          4.68            

1884    1.83       11.3                   0.16          2.98            

1889    1.64       12.5                   0.13          2.50            

1890    1.58       13.1                   0.12          2.28            
 4.0
1891    1.56       13.5                   0.12          2.40            
 5.4
1892    1.63       14.3                   0.114        1.44             
3.0
1893    1.60       13.8                   0.116        1.71           
11.7
1894    1.67       12.6                   0.13          1.67           
18.4
1898    1.80       15.4                   0.12          2.09           
12.4
1899    1.98       17.3                   0.11          2.02            
6.5
1904    2.2        24.2                    0.09          1.12           
 5.4
1909    1.15       31.6                   0.036        1.90            
5.1
1910    1.2        35.5                    0.034        1.78            
5.9
1913    1.2        39.6                    0.030        1.91            
4.3
1914    1.2        38.6                    0.030        1.91            
7.9
1915    1.2        40.0                    0.030        1.91            
8.5
1916    1.2        48.3                    0.025        1.91            
5.1
1917    3.0        60.4                    0.050                        
  4.6
1918   12.5        76.4                   0.16                          
  1.4
1919   25.5        84.0                   0.34          2.43            
1.4
1920   24.3        91.5                   0.27          4.19            
5.2
1921   24.0        69.6                   0.34          4.16          
11.7
1922   23.0        74.1                   0.31          4.31            
6.7
1925   20.5        93.1                   0.22          4.30            
3.2
1929   16.9      103.1                   0.16          4.01            
3.2
1930   16.2        91.1                   0.18          4.07            
8.7
1931   16.8        76.3                   0.22          3.64          
15.9
1932   19.5        58.5                   0.33          3.07          
23.6
1933   23.1        56.0                   0.41          2.98          
24.9
1935   32.0        72.5                   0.44          2.57          
20.1
1940   43.0       100                     0.43          2.42          
14.6
1941   49.0       124                     0.40          2.27            
9.9
1942   72.4       158                     0.46          1.74            
4.7
1943  136.7      192                     0.71          1.32            
1.9
1944   201        210                     0.96          1.30            
1.2
1945   259        214                     1.21          1.40            
1.9
1946   269        210                     1.28          1.75            
3.9
1947   258        231                     1.12                          

1948   252        258                     0.98                          

1949   253        257                     0.98                          

1950   257        285                     0.90          2.24            
5.3
1955   274        397                     0.69          2.32            
4.4
1960   284        506                     0.56          3.30            
5.5
1965   313        688                     0.45          3.68            
4.5
1970   370        982                     0.38          5.56            
4.9
1975   533      1530                     0.35          6.35             

1980   908      2630                     0.35          9.03             

1982  1140     3070                     0.37        11.40               

1983  1380     3310                     0.42                            

1984  1564     3801                     0.42                            

1986  2120     4278                     0.51                            

1988  2601     4908                     0.54                            

1990  3286     5524                     0.59                            

1992  4077     5866                     0.69                            

(source: THE NATIONAL DEBT IN PERSPECTIVE
                        An Eye Opener  by Oscar Falconi )


I also dont have the amount spent on welfare over the past 50 years...
but I think that it is the same as the national debt cumulation.


lemeno,
Doug!








A short history of the federal debt
      Presidents
     National debt run up

     Time it took
     Major events
     Cumulative national debt left after each President

      First 39 Presidents
     $900 billion
     200 years
      Revolutionary War Civil War, WW I, WW II, Korean War, Vietnam War, 
1930 Depression, Cold War
     $900 billion

      Reagan
     $1.8 trillion
     8 years
     Cold War and minor wars $2.7 trillion

      Bush I
     $1.5 trillion
     4 years
     Iraq War I
     $4.2 trillion



      Clinton
     $1.6 trillion
     8 years
      Yugoslavian wars.  Welfare reform.  Clinton had budget surpluses 
in last years of term; last previous surplus was in 1969 in the midst 
of the Vietnam War.
     $5.8 trillion

      Bush II
     $2.7 trillion
     5.5 years
     Iraq War II, War on Terror,

      tax cuts and more tax cuts,
    federal spending gone wild
     $8.5 trillion

      Bush II
     $300 billion
     Projected: August 2006 --January 2007
      More of the same, with the only Bush veto on stem cell research, 
not spending.
     $8.8 trillion






Sources: Bureau of Public Debt, US Treasury Department.  Debt depicted 
on Idaho map.

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