[Vision2020] Numerical studies should precede signal decisions
Kenneth Marcy
kmmos at verizon.net
Mon Aug 21 15:26:47 PDT 2006
"I often say that when you can measure what you are speaking about, and
express it in numbers, you know something about it; but when you cannot
measure it, when you cannot express it in numbers, your knowledge is of a
meagre and unsatisfactory kind."
-- Lord Kelvin (William Thomson, 1st Baron) (1824-1907) English physicist and
mathematician. In: Popular Lectures and Addresses, London, 1889, v. I, p. 73.
See also: Life of Lord Kelvin, by S. P. Thompson, 1910, V. 2, p. 792.
With respect to the various discussions of whether or not to install traffic
signs or traffic lights, numerical studies of traffic counts, traffic timing,
and traffic throughput should be conducted before particular instances are
decided.
For example, at the intersection at Sixth and Line, with student housing on
the northwest corner, the steam plant on the northeast corner, the
Engineering block on the southeast corner, and the Natural Resources building
on the southwest corner, and high volumes of vehicular and student traffic at
predictable times of the day, might experience vehicular traffic throughput
increases, and greater student delays in getting to class (making the large,
and often unwarranted, assumption that none of them jaywalk) if timed-cycle
traffic lights were installed. However, one can only say "might" without
actual studies over a variety of time periods and weather conditions in the
absence of numerical count and throughput efficiency studies.
What is more important: getting everyone to and from class safely in a timely
manner, or allowing some fraction of a mile-per-hour velocity increase for
vehicular traffic through what is essentially a pedestrian zone? The value
judgment that should be made here is that pedestrian safety, and, given the
nature of the neighborhood, pedestrian precedence, are to be given preference
over ease, convenience, and timing of vehicular traffic flow, frustrated
drivers or not.
It might well turn out that timed-cycle traffic lights would actually slow the
efficient throughput of a weighted combination of pedestrian and vehicular
traffic. However, heeding Lord Kelvin, numerical data from appropriately
representative observations is needed before well-informed decisions may be
made.
Ken Marcy
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