[Vision2020] Grassroots for Dean

Donovan Arnold donovanarnold@hotmail.com
Thu, 06 Nov 2003 13:12:03 -0800


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<P>Rob,</P>
<P>I am not arguing if Dean is ahead in the Democratic nomination or the national polls. Those don't matter one bit. Clark is ahead of Bush in the South. National polls don't mean a thing. If Dean gets 99% of the vote in New England and 40% in the rest of country he will still lose. National polls are meaningless in the election of the President. If the popular vote elected the president Gore would be President. What you want is 50%+ of the vote in as many states as you can, not 65% of the vote in most liberal of states. </P></DIV>
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<P>A vote for Dean is reassurance of an electoral victory for Bush. You need 270 electoral votes, not a majority of the popular vote. It was this misunderstanding that landed Bush in the White House in 2000 and if it continues it will land him there again. Dean is a giant strategic mistake.</P>
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<P>Clark and Edwards have the biggest support in South over Bush.&nbsp;That is what is important. Dean only appears to be the huge favorite because the other 8 candidates are&nbsp;splitting up the vote.&nbsp;Think about it, 13%? What does that tell you? It tells you that in a 9 person race 13% is a pretty even chop up of the vote. Each candidate is so low in support the margin of error is plus or minus 50% of their support. Start looking at people that can beat Bush in the electoral college. Anything else is a fatal flaw that will ruin our chances in 2004.</P>
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<P>Just so you know. No President will give Gays and Lesbians equal rights. Dean didn't even do that. The Vermont Supreme Court did. Dean just made the decision to back the legislation to give Gays and Lesbians Civil Unions instead of full Marriage that the courts ordered. And it will be the Supreme Court that gives Gays and Lesbians the right to marry and adopt in the future. The President has no ability to do it. In terms of National Health Care coverage, that was a federally funded program, not a state funded program. It was not started by Dean. Vermont is a tiny state that used national funding to get health care&nbsp;for most children in the state. What should matter to you is who wins the 270 or electoral votes. Bush or a guy with (D) after his name on the ballot. Dean (D) and Bush (R) will result in 291 electoral votes for Bush (R). Dean supporters can deny it all they want. But that is the fact, regardless of what you want to think or believe Bush will beat Dean. I a!
 gree with Dean supporters 99% on the issues. But their arrogance&nbsp;will lead to the downfall of everything we believe in. Even if we, by miracle, happened to elect Dean President&nbsp;it would cost us Democratic elections all over the country. We would never get any of our issues through congress and state governors would all be Republicans with a capital R. </P>
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<P>Donovan<BR><BR></P>
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<DIV></DIV>&gt;From: "Rob Keenan" <BENJAMIN_BARKER@HOTMAIL.COM>
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<DIV></DIV>&gt;To: <VISION2020@MOSCOW.COM>
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<DIV></DIV>&gt;Subject: Re: [Vision2020] Grassroots for Dean 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt;Date: Thu, 6 Nov 2003 11:37:04 -0800 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt;Just a couple of quick notes: Dean is now leading in New Hampshire. National 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt;polls place him five points ahead of Clark. And he's got the biggest support 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt;(13%) in the South of any Democratic candidate. The man has a viable shot. 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt; 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt;There are two big issues I see facing me personally: health care and gay 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt;rights. Dean's record on both issues speaks for itself. 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt;ROB 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt;----- Original Message ----- 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt;From: "Donovan Arnold" <DONOVANARNOLD@HOTMAIL.COM>
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<DIV></DIV>&gt;To: <BENJAMIN_BARKER@HOTMAIL.COM>; <VISION2020@MOSCOW.COM>
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<DIV></DIV>&gt;Sent: Thursday, November 06, 2003 11:31 AM 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt;Subject: Re: [Vision2020] Grassroots for Dean 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt; &gt; Rob and others, 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt; &gt; While I am a social-progressive, and like Sharpton and Kucinich, I don't 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt;like Howard Dean. There are numerous reasons why that I will not get into 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt;because if I list them it will just cause people to go on the defensive. But 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt;the bottom line is this guy cannot win a single southern state. Nobody more 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt;than the Republican conservatives wants this guy to win the nomination and 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt;are pouring money into his campaign. Dean's confederate flag comment has 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt;cost him the support of Sharpton and Dean will now not be able to win Iowa. 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt;If he loses in New Hampshire, he will not win the nomination, that is for 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt;sure. 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt; &gt; 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt; &gt; Like I said, I personally favor Sharpton and Kucinich for my viewpoints. 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt;However, I am politically inclined enough to realize they cannot win. So the 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt;next couple of people I think fit my views as a social progressive is Kerry 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt;and Clark. Both of these two men can beat Bush and have a shot at the 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt;nomination. I personally like Clark better as a person and think his polling 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt;well in the South over Bush would make him a better choice. But I am equally 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt;comfortable with Kerry being President. 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt; &gt; 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt; &gt; If you really look at Dean's record, he is not as liberal as you think and 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt;has less of a chance of winning. Why a social progressive would back a 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt;candidate that has less of a chance to win and is less socially progressive 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt;than other candidates that can win is something I will understand. 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt; &gt; 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt; &gt; Donovan 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt; &gt; &gt;From: "Rob Keenan" 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt; &gt; &gt;Subject: [Vision2020] Grassroots for Dean 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt; &gt; &gt;Date: Wed, 5 Nov 2003 21:19:23 -0800 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt; &gt; &gt;Visionaries, 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt; &gt; &gt; 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt; &gt; &gt;Tonight I attended a grassroots meeting of Democrats supporting Howard 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt;Dean 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt; &gt; &gt;in Pullman. I was surprised to see the wide range of Dean supporters of 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt;all 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt; &gt; &gt;ages, socioeconomic levels, education levels, and across the political 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt; &gt; &gt;spectrum. The meeting was organized through Meetup.com, a Web site that 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt;puts 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt; &gt; &gt;likeminded people together. 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt; &gt; &gt; 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt; &gt; &gt;One of the big reasons many in the Palouse support Dean is because of the 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt; &gt; &gt;strong level of grassroots support he has encouraged and fostered. This 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt; &gt; &gt;isn't a campaign about money -- it's a campaign about the issues that 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt;affect 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt; &gt; &gt;all of us. Over and over again, I heard the people at the meeting say the 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt; &gt; &gt;same thing: "Dean speaks right to my heart." 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt; &gt; &gt;Another thing many of the supporters tonight brought out was Dean's 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt;strong 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt; &gt; &gt;commitment to speaking his mind on the issues. He hasn't been giving 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt; &gt; &gt;wishy-washy, safe, "political" answers. He's been out there, arguing for 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt; &gt; &gt;things like equality and choice and personal freedoms and the right to 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt; &gt; &gt;health care. Things a community like ours holds very near and dear to its 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt; &gt; &gt;heart. 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt; &gt; &gt;It's unfortunate the media have focused on his Confederate flag remark. 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt; &gt; &gt;Unfortunate, because the remark was taken out of a larger context, a 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt;context 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt; &gt; &gt;in which Dean realizes he will be the President of every American, not 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt;just 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt; &gt; &gt;the ones who agree with him. 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt; &gt; &gt;I came away from this meeting more determined than ever to support Dean 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt; &gt; &gt;through this election and help put a man in the White House who will make 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt; &gt; &gt;sure our country continues to grow and prosper. And Dean aims to grow and 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt; &gt; &gt;prosper our country not by limiting our freedoms, but by embracing them. 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt; &gt; &gt;I invite those of you unfamiliar with his stance on the issues to visit 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt;his 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt; &gt; &gt;Web site, at www.deanforamerica.com. Perhaps I'll even see you at the 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt;next 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt; &gt; &gt;Meetup. 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt; &gt; &gt;Thanks for listening, 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt; &gt; &gt;ROB 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt; &gt; &gt;_____________________________________________________ 
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<DIV></DIV>&gt; &gt; &gt; mailto:Vision2020@moscow.com 
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