[Vision2020] MSD Enrollment History and Projections

Dale Courtney dale@courtneys.us
Wed, 16 Apr 2003 07:31:29 -0700


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 MSD Enrollment History/Projections
<http://courtneys.us/MSD/msd_files/msd_9386_image001.gif> 

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<DIV><SPAN class=3D709371114-16042003><FONT face=3DArial =
size=3D2>Attached is the MSD=20
enrollment history since 1997. In this graph, you can see MSD's own =
projections=20
(<A=20
href=3D"http://www.sd281.k12.id.us/GeneralInformation/files/Enrollment.pd=
f">http://www.sd281.k12.id.us/GeneralInformation/files/Enrollment.pdf</A>=
)=20
as well as&nbsp;my straight-line extrapolation (based on all 7 years of =
data).=20
Notice that MSD's projection for the loss of students is half of =
reality.=20
</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D709371114-16042003><FONT face=3DArial=20
size=3D2></FONT></SPAN>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D709371114-16042003><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2>It =
<U>seems</U>, Mr.=20
Cook, that the basis for their data is incorrect; and, in fact, it=20
is.</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D709371114-16042003><FONT face=3DArial=20
size=3D2></FONT></SPAN>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D709371114-16042003><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2>Also, =
the enrollment=20
numbers are being driven by the decrease in students in the elementary =
grades.=20
This will (obviously) reflect itself in the junior high and high school =
numbers=20
within the next 3-6 years. </FONT></SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D709371114-16042003><FONT face=3DArial=20
size=3D2></FONT></SPAN>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D709371114-16042003><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2>Can =
someone please=20
tell me <U>why</U> we are considering building a new high school when =
the=20
enrollment is plummeting? </FONT></SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D709371114-16042003><FONT face=3DArial=20
size=3D2></FONT></SPAN>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D709371114-16042003><FONT face=3DArial =
size=3D2>Best,<BR>Dale=20
Courtney</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D709371114-16042003><FONT face=3DArial =
size=3D2>Moscow,=20
Idaho</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
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